Early Production Numbers For The Oasis Patsy Wells In Siverston Oil Field -- March 25, 2018

This post will not be updated. The Patsy wells are tracked elsewhere.

It appears the Patsy wells have been fracked and soon to be reported.

The Patsy wells:

• 32949, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 11-5 3XT, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 32948, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 11-5 2BX, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33078, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 6B, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33077, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 5T, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33076, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 4B, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33049, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 14-17 13B, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33048, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 14-17 12T, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33047, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 14-17 11B, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33041, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 10B, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33040, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 9T, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33039, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 8B, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 33038, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 7T, Siverston, producing, see below;
• 29167, dry, Oasis, Patsy Pow 5198 33-5, Siverston, 
• 20689, 1,202, Oasis/Zenergy, Patsy 5-8HTF, Siverston, Three Forks Third Bench, 25 stages, 2.8 million lbs , t11/12; cum 157K 1/18; went off-line as of 9/17, suggesting that rest of wells are being completed; back on-line as of 12/17;

 *************************************

Early Production Numbers

32949, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 11-5 3XT, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	11151	20615
12-2017	23900	39554
11-2017	2785	6812

 32948, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 11-5 2BX, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	16514	31955
12-2017	23005	35888

33078, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 6B, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	18810	15985
12-2017	21764	16404

 33077, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 5T, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	4027	3775
12-2017	10364	9553

 33076, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 4B, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	13414	14077
12-2017	32212	20254

33049, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 14-17 13B, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	20840	19137

33048, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 14-17 12T, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	11142	31521

33047, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 14-17 11B, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	7739	6812

 33041, SI/NC, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 10B, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	8644	8653

33040, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 9T, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	15921	17453
12-2017	8032	6922

 33039, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 8B, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	19836	17167
12-2017	19112	18592

33038, SI/NC-->conf, Oasis, Patsy 5198 12-17 7T, Siverston:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	4685	3595
12-2017	3758	3400

A New Well Has Been Added To "Monster Wells" -- March 25, 2018

This well has just been added to "Monster Wells, Generation 3."

• 19296, 2,388, SHD, Golden 22-31H, Deep Water Creek Bay, TF Bench 1, 62 stages, 15 million lbs, t3/15; cum 622K 1/18;

Production data for this well at this link.

600K+ in less than three years.

Tesla -- March 25, 2018 -- Nothing About The Bakken

New Posts

March 27, 2017, 12:01 a.m.:I think a lot of folks agree that "Matt Drudge" of the "Drudge Report" has a pretty good "political" feel. What gets posted, where it's posted (on the Drudge Report page), and most importantly how long it stays on the Drudge page correlates directly with the "importance" of the story and whether the story "will have legs."

Some news items stay on his page for two, three, or even four days.

The CBS "60 Minutes" Stormy Daniels interview was linked Sunday night and into Monday morning, with the banner suggesting this was the highest '60 Minutes" rating in its history. Interestingly, it was not reported very much elsewhere (in other media) throughout the day.

And now, tonight, before midnight, less than 30 hours later, this huge, huge, huge story is no longer linked at the Drudge Report. It's not even moved to the body of the Drudge Report with the hundred-other links, some of which have now been there longer than the Stormy Daniels story.

if Drudge is "right" on this one, this story -- the Stormy Daniels story -- has no legs.
 

Original Post

 

The screenshot via twitter; the link is here for the article itself.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on anything you read here or think you may have read here. I am posting this to provide an example of succinctness in a report.

*******************************

The Apple Page

I don't know if I've blogged anything along this line or not. Don't remember. But this should not be a bit surprising to anyone who actually knows something about Apple.

From Macrumors:

Apple's services revenue is growing at a rapid pace and is on track to be the company's primary revenue driver in the future, according to a note Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty shared with investors this morning.

Huberty believes that over the course of the next five years, services revenue growth will contribute more than 50 percent of Apple's total revenue growth. The iPhone, meanwhile, will make up just 22 percent of revenue growth during the same time period, despite the fact that it's contributed 86 percent of Apple's revenue growth over the past five years.

Of course, this begs some obvious questions. 

Early Production Numbers For CLR's Tarentaise Wells That Will Come Off Confidential List This Week -- March 25, 2018

Locator: 10010TARENTAISE.

This page will not be updated; the CLR Tarentaise wells are tracked at another post. But the Tarentaise wells are starting to come off the confidential list and appear to be quite exciting.  Here are some early production numbers:

Six-well pad sited in 19-153-94 (SWSW), sited north to south:

• 32578, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 6-19H1, Elm Tree, no production data;
• 32577, 2,051, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 5-19H, Elm Tree, 61 stages; 14.8 million lbs; t11/17; cum 111K 1/18; see below;
• 32576, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 4-19H2, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32575, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 3-19H, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32574, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 2-19H1, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32573, SI/NC, , Tarentaise Federal 1-19H, Elm Tree, producing, see below;

Seven-well pad sited in 19-153-94 (SWNW), sited north to south:

• 32588, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 13-19H, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32587, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 12-19H2, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32586, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 11-19H, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32585, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 10-19H1, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32584, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 9-19H, Elm Tree, producing, see below;
• 32583, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 8-19H2, Elm Tree, producing, see below; 
• 32582, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 7-19H, Elm Tree, producing, see below;

 ***********************************
Production

 The seven-well pad:

• 32588, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 13-19H, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	33745	59922
12-2017	38804	57664
11-2017	10807	14966
10-2017	5948	0

• 32587, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 12-19H2, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	27612	47480
12-2017	42859	69712
11-2017	13814	20257
10-2017	2395	0

• 32586, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 11-19H, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	43326	81611
12-2017	50420	85139
11-2017	32100	46811
10-2017	3323	0

• 32585, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 10-19H1, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	13188	22293
12-2017	26953	44422
11-2017	27621	42019
10-2017	2560	0

• 32584, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 9-19H, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	38856	70051
12-2017	44970	73722
11-2017	30629	43314
10-2017	2067	0

• 32583, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 8-19H2, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	11087	18774
12-2017	12367	19879
11-2017	27069	45545
10-2017	817	0

• 32582, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 7-19H, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	33976	61444
12-2017	37197	61026
11-2017	26051	37053
10-2017	77	0
9-2017	1195	0

 

**********************************
Production

 The six-well pad:

•  32577:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	26982	27013	13850	50835	49842	938
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	35963	36036	20666	63188	60624	2507
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	46955	46703	31923	78193	73328	4781

•   32576, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 4-19H2, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	21284	36850
12-2017	26347	43830
11-2017	25480	38729
10-2017	6721	16048

• 32575, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 3-19H, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	25965	46342
12-2017	33633	54524
11-2017	41245	63321
10-2017	13652	17543
9-2017	709	0

• 32574, SI/NC, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 2-19H1, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	25120	47692
12-2017	29232	49985
11-2017	29548	45297
10-2017	8348	11342
9-2017	389	0

• 32573, SI/NC, , Tarentaise Federal 1-19H, Elm Tree:

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2018	32789	59960
12-2017	44126	75108
11-2017	46843	73559
10-2017	11425	15934
9-2017	720	0

Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- March 15, 2018; CLR Will Report Some Huge Tarentaise Federal Wells In Elm Tree

Thursday, March 29, 2018:33487, 1,583, Enerplus, Whooping 150-94-33C-28H-TF2, Spotted Horn, Three Forks, 40 stages; 9.8 million lbs, mesh, t10/17; cum 121K 1/18; 
33486, 1,667, Enerplus, Crane 150-94-33C-28H, Spotted Horn, 40 stages; 19.3 million lbs, mesh; t10/17; cum 184K 1/18;
32582, 1,182, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 7-19H, Elm Tree, 61 stages; 10.1 million lbs, mesh/large, 90K; t11/17; cum 132K 1/18;
30151, SI/NC, Hess, BB-Federal A-151-95-0910H-6, Blue Buttes, no production data;

Wednesday, March 28, 2018:
33882, 1,788, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-23-14-13H, Keene, 24K over 17 days; t1/18; cum 24K 1/18;
32575, 2,414, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 3-19H, Elm Tree; 61 stages; 14.8 million lbs; 41K in first full month; t10/17; cum 115K 1/18;
30150, SI/NC, Hess, BB-Federal A-151-95-0910H-6, Blue Buttes,

Tuesday, March 27, 2018:
33883, 1,982, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-23-14-12H, Keene, 62 stages; 12 million lbs, 21K; t1/18; cum 22K after 19 days;
32574, 1,176, CLR, Tarentaise Federal 2-19H1, Elm Tree, 62 stages; 15.2 million lbs, mesh/large; 108K; t10/17; cum 93K 1/8;
32573, 2,010, CLR Tarentaise Federal 1-19H,  Elm Tree, 61 stages; 14.2 million lbs, mesh/large, 140K; t9/17; cum 136K 1/18;
31129, SI/NC, Enerplus, Siamese 148-93-31D-30H, 
30149, SI/NC, Hess, BB-Federal A-151-95-0910H-4, 

Monday, March 26, 2018:
33884, 2,436, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-23-14-4H, Keene, 62 stages; 12 million lbs, huge well, 35K in first month of reporting; (#18012 off line; a huge well); t1/18; cum 34K after 21 days;
32995, 2,341, Whiting, Hellandsaas 44-8-1H, Banks, 30 stages; 6.2 million lbs, medium/small; a very, very nice well; 80K+ in first four full months; (#19533 with nice jump in production); t10/17; cum 90K 1/18;
32994, conf, Whiting, Hellandsaas 44-8-2H, Banks, a very, very nice well; 80K+ in first four months (#19533 with nice jump in production)
30148, SI/NC, Hess, BB-Federal A-151-95-0910H-3, Blue Buttes, no production data,

Sunday, March 25, 2018:
33966, 960, Iron Oil Operating, Antelope 2-34-27H, Antelope Creek, a very nice well; t1/18; cum 36K 1/18;
33885, 2,011, Newfield, Sand Creek Federal 153-96-23-14-11H, Keene, 62 stages; 11.8 million lbs, a nice well; (#18012 off line; a huge well); t1/18; cum 29K over 21 days;
30147, SI/NC, Hess, BB-Federal A-151-95-0910H-2, Blue Buttes, no production data,

Saturday, March 24, 2018:
31130, SI/NC, Enerplus, Persian 147-93-06A-07H, Moccasin Creek,

The CLR Hendrickson Wells Have Been Updated -- March 25, 2018

Random look at the huge jump in production in one of the CLR Hendrickson wells. The well:

• 18224, 1,099, CLR, Hendrickson 1-36H, Elm Tree, t12/09; cum 755K 4/20; off-line as of 2/17 as more Hendrickson wells are completed; came back on-line 4/17; huge jump in production; FracFocus -- no evidence of re-frac; no sundry form suggesting this well was re-fracked but the huge jump in production suggests that it must have been re-fracked

BAKKEN	8-2017	31	18525	18942	13926	28888	25086	3567
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	12330	12168	13382	19280	17650	1430
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	16936	16845	17495	25895	24705	950
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	22186	22338	22567	39103	25885	12971
BAKKEN	4-2017	20	16275	15840	28381	22993	16226	6611
BAKKEN	3-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2016	2	6	413	165	2	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2016	18	2274	2044	250	1971	1838	42
BAKKEN	9-2016	24	2179	2210	243	3522	3085	69

The Hendrickson wells are tracked here. Production data has been updated; an updated graphic has been posted.

Random Case Study Of WPX Wells In Reunion Oil Field -- March 26, 2018

Updates

November 15, 2018: production update for #19246:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	3399	3385	1458	4811	4286	0
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	3604	3586	1642	5021	4464	0
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	4339	4406	2072	5585	3462	1262
BAKKEN	6-2018	28	4228	4220	3316	5441	2204	2423
BAKKEN	5-2018	27	1102	1123	359	1419	483	437
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	1327	1344	534	1712	1188	0
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	1679	1558	654	2161	86	1498
BAKKEN	2-2018	4	123	140	306	241	8	0
BAKKEN	1-2018	1	1	0	2	231	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	8	299	342	179	624	457	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	1145	1105	280	2034	1657	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	1527	1558	382	2027	1465	0

 

Original Post

 

Incredibly nice well comes off line:

• 19246, 1,425, WPX, Wells 32-29H, Reunion Bay, t3/11; cum 546K 1/18; 

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2018	1	1	0	2	231	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2017	8	299	342	179	624	457	0
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	1145	1105	280	2034	1657	0
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	1527	1558	382	2027	1465	0
BAKKEN	9-2017	28	1343	1316	492	1729	1051	164
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	2471	2505	438	3180	2384	137
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	2986	2989	465	3843	2747	379
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	3017	2978	524	3883	2318	857
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	3474	3486	619	4470	2787	914

For wells like this -- 3K/month after seven (7) years of production and a cumulative of over one-half million bbls of oil -- and then taken off-line -- one suspects some activity in the area -- 

The graphic:

From the graphic: two things to key in on.

First, #28590:

• 28590, 1,258, WPX. Victor Elk 32-29HB, Reunion Bay, t1/15; cum 313K 1/18; look at the jump in production 1/18; FracFocus does not show any re-frack but that could be due to the fact that paperwork not yet received; no sundry form to suggest any plan to re-frack (this well will be interesting to follow -- to see if re-fracked or not); it was recently off-line for all of 22 days; look at recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2018	27	16599	16784	7564	18375	12960	3396
BAKKEN	12-2017	12	1399	1353	1112	1509	801	406
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	4854	4949	2194	5373	3135	1334
BAKKEN	10-2017	22	3509	3274	1701	3884	1926	1241
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	4655	4814	2603	5153	1527	2741
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	4857	4719	2905	5377	3705	754
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	4983	5122	2734	5516	3761	824
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	4362	4313	2576	4830	2125	1854
BAKKEN	5-2017	18	2958	3028	2154	3275	1757	877
BAKKEN	4-2017	30	4761	4705	3333	5271	2910	1492
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	4798	5032	3684	5311	3590	810
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	5992	5927	5498	6632	5245	386

The second thing to key in on: the three wells on confidential status -- #32671, #32672, #32673. All three have been fracked based on production data on the confidential scout tickets:

• 32671, 10K produced after well completed; number of days of production not known;
• 32672, 18K produced after well completed; number of days of production not known;
• 32673, 19K produced after well completed; number of days of production not known;

These are going to be very nice wells. My hunch: 150K+ in first six months.

Now, let's see if FracFocus has anything: yes, they have all been fracked, see dates of frack below --

• 33-025-03139, 12/172017/ - 1/4/2018;
• 33-025-03140, 12/162017/ - 1/4/2018;
• 33-025-03141, 12/172017/ - 1/4/2018;

I'm not going to go through all three because completion strategies are generally similar on neighboring wells fracked at the same time. I looked at two frack reports and the frack reports are almost identical (at FracFocus). Wow, these are small fracks, less than 6 million gallons of water.

33-025-03140: 

• 5,418,936 gallons of water
• 45,221,021 pounds of water 
• water was 87.43% by mass
• 87.43% of ? = 45.221 million lbs
• 51,722,545 total pounds
• sand: 11.75%
• 11.75% of  51,722,545 total pounds = 6077399 lbs of sand
• my estimates seem to come in low, so my hunch is that about 8 million lbs of sand used in the frack; a relatively small frack by today's standards; or maybe "moderate" would be better adjective. Whatever.

So, we learned or noted several things from this exercise simply by noting that a great well had recently come off-line and the obvious question was why? What did we learn or note?

• yes, indeed, there has been recent activity in this area that is not shown by the NDIC map
• three wells have been completed and will report out in the near future (that data is available over at the NDIC but it's irrelevant to me, so I won't look it  up)
• we observed a neighboring well that was taken off-line for 18 days and when it came back on-line production jumped from 4,000 bbls / month to 18,000 bbls / month
• generally a well is taken off-line for a longer period of time if it is going to be re-fracked, suggesting this well was not re-fracked; on the other hand, the jump in production was so great, it's hard to believe it was not re-fracked -- perhaps a mini-re-frack? but I would expect FracFocus to have that data -- it does not
• the amount of water used was incredibly low -- only 5.5 million gallons of water; a typical EOG well in a different field would have used 10 million gallons 
• the amount of sand on a percentage basis was higher than what I normally see; I normally see about 8% sand by mass; this frack used almost 12% by mass
• FracFocus does not identify the size of the sand used; we will have to wait for the operator's report

We will learn a lot more when the wells come off the confidential list.
 
Also noted: #29737 was taken off line for 20 days in December, 2017, and 17 days in January, 2018. It will be another month before we see if that well was affected. #29737 is 211 feet east of #19246.