GE Still Doesn't Get It -- January 24, 2023

Link here.

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The Origin Of 1.5

Link here.

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The Sports Page

Atmospheric CO2 -- October, 2022

Link here.

0.3.333% increase y/y:

• global economy opens up in early 2022

0.644% increase y/y:

• global economy "shut down" for the entire twelve months

0.67% increase y/y, the earth was "shut-down" the entire year of 2022;

• seven of the twelve months, the global economy was shut down

 

aaaaa

Global Warming: Another Ten-Year Reprieve -- February 8, 2022

Link here. Sent to me by a reader. From the European Physical Journal Plus. 

Joe Cramer is at an undisclosed location. He has not been seen since the Metaverse / Facebook debacle. 

And that's it for me. no CNBC for me today, continuing my four-day streak of not watching CNBC. Will get back to it when the market settles down.

Connecting the dots:

• states can't life the mask mandate fast enough;
• directly follows the Canadian truck convoy / protest;
• even a blind man could see how the 2022 midterms were going to play out if the mask mandates remained in place;

White House: my hunch is that the White House can only manage one crisis at a time. The next crisis: Ukraine. Result:

• get the mask mandate off the table; they saw what was happening in Canada.

Carbon Cycle Modeling -- Tom V. Segalstad -- University of Oslo -- October 19, 2021

Published in 2009, I believe.

At this site, click on the "down arrow" to the right of "download full-text PDF" and then click on "read full-text."

From the reader who sent me this link and the paper:

I have attached a paper on the carbon cycle---how long CO2 stays in our atmosphere and where it goes. 

It is great information on the dogma of climate change. If electric propulsion is to replace internal combustion propulsion, the cost of “clean” energy must be competitive with “dirty” energy. We both know it is not even close including heavy subsidies. That is why the cost of carbon based energy will be manipulated upward. Europe is starting to figure out the real costs in alternatives and is rapidly changing their direction.

 The loss of ethane et al when slowing down the use of hydrocarbon fuels has yet to be felt financially and actually in shortages of everything we use. 

Most of our “stuff” comes from the well. I hope more people realize the whole thing is a bunch of crap. The political motivation is varied between power and money, who cares, it’s still all crap. They think stopping pipelines will somehow limit the use of oil. Let’s see how that works. 

Ironically CNBC is now reporting on the "return" to coal due to the global energy crisis.

One Slawson Mauser Federal Well Comes Off Confidential List Today -- October 5, 2021

For the archives: Antarctica posts coldest winter since records began. 

FWIW, top stories from The LA Times today:

• research has confirmed the dramatic erosion of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine’s protection against “breakthrough” coronavirus infections
• as Congress considered COVID-19 relief earlier this year, mayors from across the U.S. pleaded for “immediate action” on billions of dollars to shore up their finances and revive their communities. But as of this summer, a majority of large cities and states hadn’t spent a penny of those funds.
• New Zealand admits it can no longer completely get rid of the coronavirus.

Energy crisis: scanning through my twitter feed this morning suggests this could be a very, very interesting year with regard to price of oil and natural gas. It's almost as if the folks following this closely are seeing one story and mainstream media is either seeing another story, missing it completely, or simply uninterested. 

Peak oil? This has been a consistent them on the blog for perhaps as long as the blog has been running. Not sure when I first posted this likelihood / possibility. Link here to Irina Slav. Most interesting: CNBC, et al, do not seem to have considered this. See Saudi Arabia production numbers -- non-government sources -- here. All things being equal, Saudi production is increased in the summer to meet domestic demand (power for a/c).

Bottom line: when it comes to OPEC production, ignore the speeches and press releases coming out of OPEC (Saudi Arabia); watch the production data. 

Oil, days of supply: the best indicator of where the US stands with regard is the amount of oil in storage measured in "days of supply" and that number is gradually increasing.

WTI: solidly above $78.

Is EU changing the narrative? A reader notes that the EU is suggesting more government control to supply affordable energy and confront climate change. The tea leaves suggest the EU leaders are not concerned in the least about the price of natural gas, with tea leaves suggesting they actually want natural gas to go much higher, make it so painful that voters clamor for more renewable energy. This is very fascinating. 

In the US: would the price of oil be the top story if it weren't for Covid? 

Let's check some ticker symbols, pre-market:

• ENB: no trading; closed yesterday: $40; P/E, 17;
• EPD: whoo-hoo! Up 4% yesterday; now at $22.63, up slightly pre-market; P/E, 13
• SRE: no trading; closed yesterday, $127, well off its high, but a $124-stock; P/E, 18;
• OKE: no trading; closed yesterday, $60; P/E, 20
• DVN: whoo-hoo; apparently pretty flat yesterday but up over two percent in pre-market today; P/E of 218;
• HES: no trading; closed at $82.78 yesterday; P/E, --
• EOG: flat yesterday, but up almost two percent in pre-market today; up $1.59, right at $88; which is its 52-week high; P/E 27
• AAPL: the only thing that matters for AAPL, it's P/E = 27.

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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs, updated end of day:

$78.48	10/5/2021	10/05/2020	10/05/2019	10/05/2018	10/05/2017
Active Rigs	27	11	58	64	59

One well coming off confidential list: 

Tuesday, October 5, 2021: 6 for the month, 6 for the quarter, 230 for the year:

• 37195, conf, Slawson, Mauser Federal 6-18-17H, North Fork, it is unlikely the scout ticket will be updated; NDIC has not updated scout tickets for several months; where production data is being updated it has been delayed. Cannot say if status of wells as reported on scout tickets is accurate any more.
  

RBN Energy: western Canada's propane balances look even tighter.

It wasn’t that long ago that Western Canada was awash in propane, sending the vast surplus for export by railcar to the U.S. That has changed in the past two years as direct exports to Asia opened up and Canada’s domestic demand for propane rose. With supplies becoming tighter, the combined effect with increasing demand spells trouble for higher exports to the U.S. this winter, a time when they are desperately needed. In today’s RBN blog, we explore the current Western Canadian propane market and what might be next in store.

Summary:

Of course, this does not mean supplies are in danger of running out, only that the difference between production and demand in 2021 and 2022 will be met from inventories. The stark shift in 2021 inventory levels so far this year versus 2020 reflects what has been a major mismatch between demand and production. For 2022, we think the increase in demand will still exceed rise in supply, resulting in another downshift for propane inventories, possibly sending them close to the record low seen in March 2013, when just 0.28 MMbbl were reported in storage.

There are plenty of uncertainties in this outlook, not the least of which is how severe the coming winter will be, not just in North America but also in Asia. A mild versus a cold winter could result in huge swings for either railed or marine exports and turn what is currently a snug market balance to an extremely tight or very loose one.

Putting that aside, there are some certainties that we can wrap our arms around looking to the end of 2022. For instance, Alberta propane demand will rise as Brookfield’s Heartland petchem complex begins operations. Marine exports are likely to be stronger next year compared to this year as the full impact of the Prince Rupert terminal becomes clear. Depending on the full magnitude and timing of these demand increases as well as the winter weather, railed propane exports, to the U.S. Midwest in particular, could fall as Alberta’s consumption and marine exports gobble up supplies.

But one needs to read the article to see how the summary is reached. Much more at the linked article. 

Texas Gains Two US House Seats -- Monday, April 26, 2021

Census results are in. Link here.

Congressional seat changes:

• gains 2: Texas (+2)
• gains 1: Oregon, Montana, Colorado, Florida, and NC (+5)
• loses 1: California; New York, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Ohio, Michigan, and Illinois (- 7)
• yup, the math works.

Corn, from social media:

• after a staggering year-to-date rally, corn is now knocking at the $7-per-bushel door.
• record imports by China and concerns about the weather are boosting prices
• spill-over effect into the oil and refinery market via ethanol
• note: a reader wrote me saying it cost him upwards of $6 - $8 to plant/fertilize/de-weed/harvest a bushel of corn
  

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Wow, Doesn't This Look Like Something
Warren Would Dream Up?

All things being equal, this looks superb. I would love this. A one-year holding period to be considered capital gains as it is now, I've always thought somewhat ridiculous.

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Global Warming: Hey, Not So Fast

A top Obama scientist is not rebutting much of the dominant political narrative. WSJ. 

Must be one of them there Neanderthals. 

Facts Don't Matter -- April 24, 2021

At the bottom of the page / bottom of the blog, I have a gazillion tags. Despite the huge number, they help me save time. Because the number of tags has become so large, I'm trying to minimize new tags, hoping I can find an existing tag for new posts. But after a reader sent me this link, I think I may need to come up with a new tag: "Facts_Don't_Matter."

From PowerLine: why wind and solar energy are doomed to failure.

No, I'm not going to add a new tag. We'll use the ones we have. 

For the archives. 

The only question that remains, when will the "house of cards" fall? 

By the way, the central them of the linked article, "land constraints," was pointed out by Exxon about ten years ago. I posted the link at the sidebar at the right, but it appears that article has long disappeared. Exxon was correct then and remains correct today. 

Archived.

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Words Matter

Whorfianism.

Wiki entry.

Another famous anecdote from his job [as a fire inspector for an insurance company] was used by Whorf to argue that language use affects habitual behavior.

Whorf described a workplace in which full gasoline drums were stored in one room and empty ones in another; he said that because of flammable vapor the "empty" drums were more dangerous than those that were full, although workers handled them less carefully to the point that they smoked in the room with "empty" drums, but not in the room with full ones.

Whorf argued that by habitually speaking of the vapor-filled drums as empty and by extension as inert, the workers were oblivious to the risk posed by smoking near the "empty drums."

Earth Day -- April 22, 2021

Graphics sent by a reader. I was aware of the data in the second graph; only recently have I been blogging about the data in the first graphic.

From the reader who sent me these two graphics:

Here's my #2 ranked CO2 table, from Fred Singer about 20 years ago.  

The late Singer is probably the CO2/sunshine-and-breezes-fraudsters-most-hated scientist right up there with Dr Richard Lintzen, who was the first to explain how ethanol consumed more energy than it produced (not counting the near toxic cattle feed byproduct). 

It took years for that to become common knowledge. Another ten years, and a $trillion of wind, solar and battery storage, that hoax will also be "common knowledge, except in liberal minds where there are a lot of strange things bouncing around..

The New Jerusalem -- Sweden; The Second Messiah -- St Greta -- December 3, 2019

The 1000-piece puzzle is complete. The last crazy, little piece has been found, placed in the remaining spot, and the global warming puzzle is complete. I can go back to sleep.

A while back I posted this note, how the global warming myth and "the flood myth" come together. It explains why global warming is so easily accepted by the gullible, the superstitious, the misinformed.

The "flood myth" has been around since "Genesis" (the Bible); every culture, every generation has feared the "flood"; now in the 21st century, we have "rising seas" and more flooding

In the King James Bible, we had the Old Testament and the flood; in the New Testament we had the Messiah. It was the Gospel

Up until now, with regard to the Bible of Global Warming, we've had the old testament, but not the "Good News." The Gospel. The "good news." In a secular setting, the gospel  is an idea or rule that's accepted as undoubtedly true. The science is settled.

We now have the Good News. That missing piece has been found.

It's St Greta. She's a bit late -- about nineteen years to be exact. The Messiah was to have returned at the turn of the millennium -- but nineteen years ain't bad when we talking 2,000 years. And to think her twelve disciples are already in place, to include Occasional Cortex, Neil deGrasse Tyson, and Bill Nye, the "Science Guy."

I cannot make this stuff up.

The New Jerusalem is Stockholm, as in Sweden.

From Paul Joseph Watson, Summit News:

Greta Thunberg is being taught to Swedish children as part of a course about “religious knowledge,” with kids being asked to mock her opponents.

The 16-year-old climate activist is now included in the school curriculum and is being portrayed in an overtly sympathetic light, with the course describing her as an “alarm clock” that “allows us to discuss, talk, and reflect on what is happening to our world.”

According to one student, “Greta is practically painted as a saint.”

“In one task, they are asked to find a picture to illustrate the sentence “One simply doesn’t mess with Greta,” a nod to an outdated Boromir meme from “Lord of the Rings.”

Including Greta in lessons is “important to constantly offer materials and teaching materials that reflect the contemporary.”

The messiah:

Churches in Sweden are now ringing bells in her honor, while last year the Church of Sweden proclaimed Greta to be “Jesus’s Successor.”

As noted, I cannot make this stuff up. 

Global Warming -- Notes From All Over, Part 1 -- November 30, 2019

From Minnesota, an article that "no one" will read but an article that says it all.

The sad story of Minnesota’s green energy failure is one that no doubt is being replicated around the country. And one of the ironies of green energy is that it is terrible for the environment. Both wind and solar energy require enormous amounts of land compared with conventional, reliable energy sources. Minnesota has scarred its landscape with endless acres of giant windmills and, to a lesser degree, solar panels. When those windmills begin to rust and fall still, the environmental damage will be even greater. And the green cronies who are now making millions through their political connections will be long gone.

Bay area freezes. San Francisco ties cold record.

Wind power: incredibly impossible.

Using wind power to replace the 3.9 billion megawatt-hours that Americans consumed in 2018, coal and gas-fired backup power plants, natural gas for home heating, coal and gas for factories, and gasoline for vehicles – while generating enough extra electricity every windy day to charge batteries for just seven straight windless days – would require some 14 million 1.8-MW wind turbines.

Those turbines would sprawl across three-fourths of the Lower 48 US states – and require 15 billion tons of steel, concrete and other raw materials. They would wipe out eagles, hawks, bats and other species.

I don't care for karaoke, but the accordion brought me here:

Global Warming? Now It's Down To Two Years, Maybe One Year -- November 29, 2019

Updates

December 2, 2019: now it's down to one year. LOL. Link here.  

Original Post 

Did anyone catch this?

Some "experts"  now suggest we have only two years when it comes to global warming.

I cannot make this stuff up.

From S&P Global Platts:

While major economies are yet to commit to extending Paris Agreement commitments, more than 70 countries, 10 regions and 102 cities, including California, New York State, Tokyo and Rio de Janeiro, have committed to work towards net zero emissions status by 2050, according to the UN.

Data gathered by Platts show the vast majority of emissions are focused on energy and transport, where cleaner technologies already exist and, in electricity generation at least, the costs are reaching grid parity after 20 years of support.

"Unless in the next one or two years countries double or triple their pledges and fully implement them, we won't meet Paris, and we will be on a pathway of greater than 2 degrees Celsius with profoundly negative consequences," Watson told the BBC on Wednesday.

"When the US pulls out it will make it harder to make 2 degrees, while sending the signal to the rest of the world that, if one of the richest counties can't be bothered, why should anybody else?" Watson said. [To be more precise, he "asked."]

Two years:

• double or triple their pledges
• fully implement them
• otherwise we are all toast, literally and figuratively

Two years.

This, by the way, will be the issue for the 2020 presidential election: global warming.

Most ridiculous graphic I've seen in years.

The "title": eight major economies ... can anyone name any major economy other than these eight?

• China: and this is before China starts building those hundreds of new coal plants.
• US
• EU
• India
• Russia
• Japan
• Brazil
• Indonesia

Oh, I guess there's South Korea, and OPEC.

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Largest Economies In The World

Link here, November 4, 2019:

In 2018, China was the world's largest economy for the fourth year in a row. It produced $25.3 trillion in economic output according to estimates by the International Monetary Fund. It contributed 19% of the world's total gross domestic product of $135.2 trillion.

The European Union was in second place, generating $22 trillion. Together, China and the EU generate 35% of the world's economic output.

The United States remained in third place, producing $20.5 trillion. The world's three largest economies combined produced 50% of the world's total economy.

No other economy is even close to any of these three. The fourth-largest economy was India, producing $10.4 trillion. Japan was fifth, at $5.6 trillion. Germany, the strongest country in the EU, produced $4.4 trillion.

These measurements use purchasing power parity to account for exchange rate changes over time. It also adjusts for government rate manipulation.

Schwab Leaving California; Moving To Texas -- November 25, 2019

Huge story.

Just a few miles west of us down TX-114, Westlake, Texas, Schwab has been building a huge 3,000 - 5,000 employee campus. Nearby is a huge Ameritrade campus.

Today we hear that Schwab is leaving California. That's true, but as I noted the other day, it's only the Bay Area and the sprawling Los Angeles County that is bearing the brunt of California companies moving to Texas.

In this case, it's 7,000 Schwab employees -- repeat, 7,000 Schwab employees -- leaving the Bay Area to move to Tarrant County, Westlake, a suburb of Ft Worth, TX.

Early we posted that this area would be the population center of the DFW metroplex in 2050. The population center will move west from Dallas, Plano, Frisco, McKinney, to Fort Worth, Southlake, Westlake, Roanoke, and Rhome.

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The Science Is Settled

It's really quite "amazing."

I'm sitting here reading the current issue of Scientific American. Some of the stories:

• the challenge of measuring the size of the proton; measurements date back to the 1950s and discrepancies still exist; 
• Alzheimer's: "after a strong of drug failures, it's time to look beyond targeting amyloid"
• Qatar women in STEM (several-page advertising insert)
• escape from a black hole: science told us nothing can escape from a black hole; now new observations may help tell us how
• cancer: "when it comes to human cancers, many theories about treatment have not panned out" -- page 6

So, lots of stuff being studied.

But there it is, the first -- the very first essay in this issue -- page 9, in the "Science Agenda" section,

"To cope with climate change, we need every strategy we've got." 

Yup, the science is settled. Only the name is changing. From "global warming" to "climate change." Politically correct, I may have missed it, but I did not see the phrase, "global warming," but that's what it was all about. This was the "culprit": heat-trapping greenhouse gases. Heat-trapping. Global warming.

When it comes to global warming/climate change, the science is settled. In all other areas of science, nothing is settled. Not even the size of the proton which should have been sorted out decades ago.

And so it goes.

From The Most Rational Man In The Universe -- Flashback -- 1978

The next ice age. LOL.

Leonard Nimoy, the most rational man in the universe
This is so interesting, and had I not blogged, it's likely I never would have known.

Leonard Nimoy -- known for his rational thinking, his scientific curiosity. He narrates the world-famous film at the Griffith Observatory --

The 190-seat Leonard Nimoy Event Horizon presentation theater dramatically expands the Observatory's programming and education capabilities. The Leonard Nimoy Event Horizon realizes an unfulfilled intention of the Observatory's original architects to have a second theater to complement the planetarium.

Though not constructed with the original building, the idea for a presentation theater was not lost, and the need became especially evident as the number of Observatory visitors and programs increased over the years.

The public presentation - "The Once and Future Griffith Observatory" - is a 24-minute film which weaves the history, recent renovation, and future of the Observatory into a tale of observation and inspiration. The theater also hosts live programs and demonstrations including All Space Considered and Let's Make a Comet. The Leonard Nimoy Event Horizon is also a classroom for the Observatory's school programs. 

There was never any science behind global warming; it was a global scam. But "ice age"? Lots of science behind it. 

From a scientist, sent to me by a reader, November 13, 2019, validating my "science" remarks and the science as stated by Leonard Nimoy:

Descent into the next Glacial Period perhaps within our lifetimes

The effects of global cooling will be far more devastating than global warming. 

-- Gregory F. Fegel

Unlike the current CO2-caused Global Warming hysteria, the threat of an approaching “Ice Age” Glacial Period that was presented in the 1970s was based on solid science — including the combined evidence of the geologic record, ice cores, sea sediments, and pollens, all of which matched the cyclical insolation (amount of sunlight) pattern caused by the orbital Milankovitch cycles.

In the 1970s, it was confirmed that the Milankovitch cycles cause the Ice Age cycle — which is taught in earth-science textbooks.

In the 1970s, the media emphasized the fact that a large change in the Earth’s mean global temperature could happen within decades — in that way the media promoted “global cooling hysteria” in the 1970s. In spite of the fact that the climate in the 1980s and 90s became warmer, the scientific evidence for an approaching Glacial Period was valid, and it remains valid. Some scientists claim that our current warm interglacial (the Holocene) will be different from the previous interglacials by lasting twice as long — giving us another 15,000 years of a warm climate. However, that theory of a warm 15,000-year extension is speculative.

Based on the regularity and timing of the Ice Age cycle so far, we should expect the descent into the next Glacial Period to begin (approximately) within hundreds of years, or perhaps within our own lifetimes. The idea that either natural or anthropogenic causes will intercede to prevent the next Glacial Period from returning within its usual time-frame is speculative — and it is perhaps a result of wishful thinking.

If planners and governments want to prepare for a substantial “climate change” in the future, it’s global cooling they should be concerned about, not global warming.

Firstly, because severe global cooling is more likely to happen (eventually). Secondly, because the effects of global cooling will be far more devastating than global warming. A global sea-level rise caused by global warming would be easier to cope with than arctic conditions in Northern Europe, Russia, Canada, and Alaska caused by global cooling.

A warmer global climate would be a net benefit for all life on Earth.

Global Warming: This Will Be Epic -- November 8, 2019

A reader was the first to spot this for me -- a week ago.

Since then, just a few:

• next week's Arctic blast could break 170 records across the US
• Arctic surge to bring record cold temperatures for November -- Fox News (https://www.foxnews.com/us/artic-surge-record-cold-temperatures)
• Arctic blast to be followed by yet another one -- WUWT? 

It will be interesting, over the next few years, to see how weather scientists walk back all this talk about global warming now that the grand solar minimum starts to make sense.  

With regard to the Arctic blast that will hit next week (and then the one after that), the "global warmists" tell us that global warming is responsible for that: global warming will make summers hotter and winters colder.  

*******************************

Vintage Steve

This is just fourteen minutes of the much longer presentation when Steve Jobs introduced the first iPhone back in 2007. 

**************************

Apple Watch

Apple Watch sales grew to 6.8 million units in 3Q19. Staggering? I don't know. But this is: if that estimate is accurate -- Apple won't release official figures -- the Apple Watch shipments are up a shopping 51% compared to 3Q18.

Winter Is Here -- First Day Of Autumn -- September 25, 2019

Link here.

Link here.

For St. Greta — September 24, 2019

Link here.

From the linked article:

I am not sure those numbers are right. I thought the U.S. had reduced CO2 emissions more than the Europeans. But the broader point is undoubtedly well taken. Greta could have ridden a bus across Asia to try to persuade Xi Jinping that his people should stay poor. But what fun would that be? Instead, she sailed to New York on a yacht furnished by the royal family of Monaco to lecture a willing, but entirely insincere, audience at the U.N.

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For The Kennedy Klan Ski Photo Album

2019 - 2020

Global Warming Predictions -- September 21, 2019

Link: https://www.breitbart.com/environment/2019/09/20/nolte-climate-experts-are-0-41-with-their-doomsday-predictions/.

LIST OF DOOMSDAY PREDICTIONS THE CLIMATE ALARMISTS GOT WRONG

Here is the source for numbers 1-27. As you will see, the individual sources are not crackpots, but scientific studies and media reports on “expert” predictions. The sources for numbers 28-41 are linked individually.

1. 1967: Dire Famine Forecast By 1975
2. 1969: Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989 (1969)
3. 1970: Ice Age By 2000
4. 1970: America Subject to Water Rationing By 1974 and Food Rationing By 1980
5. 1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020 or 2030
6. 1972: New Ice Age By 2070
7. 1974: Space Satellites Show New Ice Age Coming Fast
8. 1974: Another Ice Age?
9. 1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life
10. 1976: Scientific Consensus Planet Cooling, Famines imminent
11. 1980: Acid Rain Kills Life In Lakes
12. 1978: No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend
13. 1988: Regional Droughts (that never happened) in 1990s
14. 1988: Temperatures in DC Will Hit Record Highs
15. 1988: Maldive Islands will Be Underwater by 2018 (they’re not)
16. 1989: Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done by 2000
17. 1989: New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater by 2019 (it’s not)
18. 2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is
19. 2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy
20. 2004: Britain will Be Siberia by 2024
21. 2008: Arctic will Be Ice Free by 2018
22. 2008: Climate Genius Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic by 2013
23. 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World
24. 2009: UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’
25. 2009: Climate Genius Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014
26. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2015
27. 2014: Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’
28. 1968: Overpopulation Will Spread Worldwide
29. 1970: World Will Use Up All its Natural Resources
30. 1966: Oil Gone in Ten Years
31. 1972: Oil Depleted in 20 Years
32. 1977: Department of Energy Says Oil will Peak in 90s
33. 1980: Peak Oil In 2000
34. 1996: Peak Oil in 2020
35. 2002: Peak Oil in 2010
36. 2006: Super Hurricanes!
37. 2005 : Manhattan Underwater by 2015
38. 1970: Urban Citizens Will Require Gas Masks by 1985
39. 1970: Nitrogen Buildup Will Make All Land Unusable
40. 1970: Decaying Pollution Will Kill all the Fish
41. 1970s: Killer Bees!

That Martha Vineyard Off-Shore Wind Farm? It's Dead, Fred; Any More Proof Needed That Global Warming Is A Scam? -- August 27, 2019

Updates

Later, 7:51 p.m. Central Time: a reader sent me this note earlier this afternoon but this was as soon as I was able to get back on line -- the Massachusetts Department of Environmental Protetion (MassDEPA) over-ruled Edgartown. MassDEPA says "lay the cable." Edgartown will appeal the decision. And then look at this sh*t:

Edgartown conservation agent Jane Varkonda told The Times Edgartown didn’t receive the August 5 superseding order of conditions from the commonwealth in a timely manner. Varkonda said she learned by happenstance the decision had been made during a conversation with a state official. Upon learning Edgartown was without the decision, the official sent it.

“He sent it to me on Friday [August 16], and the last day to appeal was Monday the 19th,” she said. 

Varkonda said town counsel was able to pull together the appeal in time. “It was a scramble to say the least,” she said. 

Reynolds, Rappaport, Kaplan and Hackney director Michael Goldsmith, who drafted the appeal, declined to speculate on why the order didn’t initially get to Edgartown. 
Varkonda said it’s plausible it was lost in the mail. Comment: my hunch. The MassDEPA letter was accidentally addressed to Jeff Epstein.

Later, 2:48 p.m. Central Time: from a reader who knows and follows this much more closely than I do -- minimally edited --

There are several more "happenings" related to that offshore wind project near Martha's Vineyard. Basically, it's dead, Fred.

Opposition was growing this spring from commercial fishing groups.

Then, the Gloucester office of the NOAA (?) fisheries division released a report saying the important draft EIS (draft Environmental Impact Statement) was inadequate.

Although the BOEM is the lead permitting agency, the Coast Guard, NOAA, and the EPA all refused to sign off on a required evaluation saying they were satisfied with the project's overall impacts.

In early July, BOEM kinda rocked the entire offshore wind industry when it announced that a comprehensive analysis would be undertaken to assess how ALL these several offshore wind farms might effect the East Coast maritime universe.

Vineyard Wind is only a few weeks away from probably announcing that it is aborting/suspending its project as they will lose their needed tax credits if construction does not start prior to this coming December 31, 2019 deadline.

If you google "New York City gas shortage", you may see some amusing/puzzling reports of how local politicians are excoriating the local utility - National Grid - for not providing the much needed natgas to New Yorkers.

Had the reader not add this last line, I would have:

You just can't make this stuff up.

Original Post 

Martha's Vineyard to be underwater in less than ten years due to rising seas / global warming.

President Obama to buy oceanfront property for $15 million on Martha's Vineyard. I assume his daughters are aghast.

That wind farm off Martha's Vineyard?

February 28, 2019:

• Update on off shore wind farm off Martha's Vineyard at this link. Rhode Island approves permit.

May 9, 2019:

• Massachusetts permitting update here. Permit granted.

July 14, 2019:

• Just kidding, never mind. Key cable permit denied. Why is this not surprising. Edgartown, on Martha's Vineyard (island) says "no" to  the necessary undersea cable. Why does this not surprise me. 

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Connecting Dots

Black Water: July 19, 1969.

Quick: name the major NASA event just one day later, July 20, 1969.

One of the most enjoyable books I ever read was Blonde, by Joyce Carol Oates.  I generally don't care for fiction but this one I enjoyed. Again, of course, it may not have been fiction.

For Those Who Are Not Yet Woke On The Global Warming Scam -- August 23, 2019

Updates

August 24, 2019: I was certainly duped, or suckered into this on. The article linked at the original post did not tell the whole story. Here's the rest of the story from a reader:

Japan is actually vigorously investing in the research, technology, and implementation of what is known as HELE ... High  Energy Low Emissions coal  burning for electricity generation.

Some of the particulars involve highly pulverizing the fuel, using an oxygen rich combustion environment, higher boiler pressures, and many other components.

They are so far advanced in this field that they are touting its buildout - under Japanese contracting - all around the world.

I should have looked at the source of the article. The source: Greenpeace.

Some will argue that there is no such thing as clean coal but that brings us to a whole new discussion for another day. Bottom line here: the bigger story here, as far as the blog is concerned, is not that Japan is still using coal, but that we  have yet another example of a type of "fake news."

Original Post

Anyone who hasn't figured out the "global warming" issue is one big scam has not been paying attention.

For those who need yet another example, Don provided this link from The Diplomat, published last October, 2018, but most of us missed it, including me.

From the link:

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has been on a charm offensive recently on climate change. He’s talked about Japan’s leading role in taking action on climate issues, and his intention to make climate change a key agenda item at this year’s G20 meeting. This should come as no surprise given how extreme weather events such as heat waves and flooding have recently wracked part of the country. [Fake news.]

But Abe’s addiction to coal shows that this charm offensive lacks substance, especially when it comes to Japan’s own energy policy. In Japan’s latest energy strategy published in June, coal remains a major part of the energy mix into the future. Currently, the coal fleet in Japan is growing, not decreasing: At the moment, 35 new coal power plant are in the pipeline all over Japan, adding to the around 100 coal plants already in operation. If all of these plants are built, 107.920 million tonnes of CO2 will be emitted annually, and according to analysis by Climate Analytics, Japan’s share of the Paris Agreement carbon budget would be exceeded by about three times.

Among G7 nations, Japan is also one of the biggest investors in coal power globally. Besides expanding the domestic coal fleet, Japan is subsidizing the export of coal-fired power plants to other countries like Indonesia and Vietnam.

Meanwhile, Abe’s stubborn push for an unrealistic amount of nuclear plant restarts is slowing the necessary large-scale phase in of renewable energy. Even though most of Japan’s nuclear plants remain out of operation and are unlikely to be brought online anytime soon due to safety issues, public opposition, and legal hurdles, the government has insisted on keeping the share of nuclear high in its 2030 energy scenario. This in turn translates to high uncertainty about future electricity generation capacity as well as hindering grid access for renewable developers.

Cooler Than Normal -- I Can't Make This Stuff Up -- Global Warming? What Global Warming? -- August 21, 2019

Link here.