Thursday, April 2, 2026

Getting Ready To Go Bike-Riding -- Sun Needs To Come Up -- Roads Need To Dry Up A Little -- Rain Has Quit For The Day -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50403EGGS.  

NCAA -- Basketball -- Men's / Women's: this weekend we wrap it up --

Well, that was an expensive trip: link here. I'm sure they have a "get out of jail free" card. It appears one of the three was able to post bond immediately. The other two .... well ... I assume they missed their connecting flight.

But at least eggs are 60% cheaper:

History May Not Repeat Itself, But It Certainly Rhymes -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50402IRAN. 

When do the Dems start talking about windfall profit tax?  My hunch: when 3Q26 earnings are released.

If the initial phase of the US/Israel-Iran war ends in two weeks + two days

  • start: February 28, 2026
  • finish: April 18, 2026
  • length: 50 days, including above dates
  • as of today: 34 days, starting the 35th day

The US-Iraqi war (began under George W Bush):

  • note: the initial war phase: 43 days (per google)

Pre-Market -- LNG -- Cheniere -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50401LNG. 

Pre-market trading suggests that LNG (Cheniere) will more than make up for its losses yesterday.

Anchor Babies -- The New Tourist Industry -- Ninos So' Nos -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50400ANCHORBABIES. 

Prediction: after the war is over and after the US Supreme court rules, there will be a surge in "anchor babies": 

  • by air: from the Mideast, Mexico, Venezuela; and, 
  • by ground, from Mexico.

Which cities, states stand to gain?

  • New York state
    • NYC 
  • Texas
    • San Antonio will lead the pack
    • El Paso
    • Dallas - Ft Worth
  • California, New Mexico, and Arizona  

Venezuelan Oil Exports Hit Six-Year High -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50399VENEZUELA. 

Link here

Link here

From March 28, 2026:

From AI:

Comparing Data Center Development Drivers Across Key States -- RBN Energy -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50398LDCS. 

RBN Energy: comparing data center development drivers across key states. Link here. Archived.

Data centers are cropping up everywhere. Established markets like Northern Virginia are expanding, and Texas has received a wave of proposals. But while data centers have found new homes in Georgia and Ohio, mature markets like California and Illinois are becoming less attractive to new development. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll examine the factors that influence data center development across seven key states — Arizona, California, Georgia, Illinois, Ohio, Texas and Virginia — and show how each stacks up.

We’ve been hard at work mapping the what, the where, and the when regarding the U.S. data center buildout. As data centers have come online across the country, the uncertainty surrounding regional power and natural gas demand has only grown. In Won’t Get Fooled Again, we addressed how data centers will impact natural gas demand in Texas and Louisiana — a necessary data series for the Arrow Model, our proprietary analytical framework built to assess both states’ gas markets. But understanding data centers’ impact requires knowing where they will be built in the first place.

Back in 2024, Where You Lead I Will Follow examined the factors that influence data center development, focusing on the importance of uninterrupted power supply in established markets like Northern Virginia, Texas, Chicago and Silicon Valley. But the data center map has changed significantly since then, with Georgia, Arizona and Ohio emerging as important growth markets. Nationally, this growth has coincided with a changing regulatory environment, particularly in mature markets.

Figure 1 below offers our updated view of the seven leading states for existing and new data centers, comparing each on the key factors that determine where projects are built. While we covered many of these topics for Virginia in Part 1 of our Sweet Virginia blog series, any state’s strengths and weaknesses are relative to the other markets developers may consider. As a result, the matrix in Figure 1 indicates whether a specific factor (rows) is a relative strength (green plus sign), weakness (red minus sign), or neither (yellow tilde), in each state. 

Figure 1. Relative Strengths and Weaknesses of Key Data Center States. Source: RBN

Un-TACO Thursday -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50397B.

Chatbots and blogs: currently the chatbots I use (several) do not search blogs -- at least they don't search my blogs. That's a pity. 

Anthropic: what a mess. Leaked its own source code; source code posted on GitHub; Anthropic "shuts down Github by mistake." Github, wiki

Overnight: I keep hearing pundits say that Trump has not offered a path (or an off-ramp) to end the war. 

In fact, he's been quite clear about it. In fact, he's been too clear about the timeline which gives the Iranians TMI. Again, Trump telegraphed to Iran: in two weeks + two days this will all be over. Yeah, it will be a tough two weeks, but just wait it out. Iran will soon control the strait. Is that how the oil market interpreted the speech? Oil is up 8% in pre-market trading. 

Who's pulling the strings? Netanyahu. Saudi Arabia. Hegseth, Marco Rubio. Probably not in that order. Without question Marco Rubio "gets it." That does not mean he will be rewarded. High stakes game, politically.

DOD: incredibly important war for DOD to be fighting. The focus on the US SPR may have been the wrong place to focus. My hunch: DOD is going to be stockpiling a lot more weapons in the future, and a different type of weapon. Or different types of weapons. Also, a new lease on life for the Warthog.  

Baghdad Bob / Tehran Timmy: Iranian spokesperson says, in response to Trump's speech, and this is almost verbatim, as I remember the quote: "The Iranian military has not been degraded." 

TACO: "Trump always chickens out" -- according to naysayers, Trump haters and "nattering nabobs of negativism -- well, after last night -- did we see the Un-TACO version? 

TOTG: Peter Zeihan says "troops on the ground" are coming. If so, it will be fascinating to watch. But his is what US Marines live (and die) for.

********************************
Back to the Bakken

WTI: $107.90. Up almost 8% overnight; up $7.80. The US is in the catbird seat. From my blog of September 23, 2018:

A great example of why the Bakken will be in the catbird seat for quite some time, regardless of Nick's pessimism (see original post). OPEC says $11 trillion invested needed to meet crude oil demand through 2040. Source: CNBC and OPEC, both well known for integrity and impartiality.

New wells reporting:

  • Friday, April 3, 2026: 7 for the month, 7 for the quarter, 164 for the year,
    • 42219, conf, CLR, Louisville Federal 7-7HSL,
    • 41683, conf, Hunt Oil, State A 156-90-9-16H-2,
    • 41424, conf, Hunt Oil, State A 156-90-9-16H-3;

  • Thursday, April 2, 2026: 4 for the month, 4 for the quarter, 161 for the year,  
    • 42218, conf, CLR, Louisville Federal 6-7H, 

RBN Energy: comparing data center development drivers across key states. Link here.

Data centers are cropping up everywhere. Established markets like Northern Virginia are expanding, and Texas has received a wave of proposals. But while data centers have found new homes in Georgia and Ohio, mature markets like California and Illinois are becoming less attractive to new development. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll examine the factors that influence data center development across seven key states — Arizona, California, Georgia, Illinois, Ohio, Texas and Virginia — and show how each stacks up.

We’ve been hard at work mapping the what, the where, and the when regarding the U.S. data center buildout. As data centers have come online across the country, the uncertainty surrounding regional power and natural gas demand has only grown. In Won’t Get Fooled Again, we addressed how data centers will impact natural gas demand in Texas and Louisiana — a necessary data series for the Arrow Model, our proprietary analytical framework built to assess both states’ gas markets. But understanding data centers’ impact requires knowing where they will be built in the first place.

Back in 2024, Where You Lead I Will Follow examined the factors that influence data center development, focusing on the importance of uninterrupted power supply in established markets like Northern Virginia, Texas, Chicago and Silicon Valley. But the data center map has changed significantly since then, with Georgia, Arizona and Ohio emerging as important growth markets. Nationally, this growth has coincided with a changing regulatory environment, particularly in mature markets.

Figure 1 below offers our updated view of the seven leading states for existing and new data centers, comparing each on the key factors that determine where projects are built. While we covered many of these topics for Virginia in Part 1 of our Sweet Virginia blog series, any state’s strengths and weaknesses are relative to the other markets developers may consider. As a result, the matrix in Figure 1 indicates whether a specific factor (rows) is a relative strength (green plus sign), weakness (red minus sign), or neither (yellow tilde), in each state. 

Figure 1. Relative Strengths and Weaknesses of Key Data Center States. Source: RBN

This will be a stand-alone post because I have been posting any number of blogs on the very same subject. 

PSA: Tricare For Live -- Medical Insurance Coverage For Military Retirees -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50396TRICARE.

Tag: Tricare For Life (TFL). 

AI prompt: which insurance company covers Texas?

The reply

Well, that's interesting. I did not know that the powers that be had divided Texas. I was aware of the "new" division buy my updates from Tricare did not mention "parts of Texas." 

So, next AI prompt

Tricare For Life: which "part of Texas" is covered by TriWest and which "part of Texas" is still covered by Humana Military?

Reply


So, again, in the original reply, Google Gemini got it wrong, but then corrected it when asked a different way. 

An aside: the combination of Medicare and Tricare simply cannot be beat. Somewhat costly perhaps but well worth it. No complaints. None. 

Drones -- US Responds -- April 2, 2026

Locator: 50395DRONES.

Tag: SpektreWorks

Yesterday, The WSJ printed an article that was sent to my iPhone as breaking news. It's key words for search were "Corolla" and "drones." That piqued my interest.  Here's the link. Page 1, position 1. 

Very, very interesting article. Then I got near the end and realized I had posted a link to the same story over at Reuters some weeks ago. Here's the link. The tag: Locator: 50129LUCAS. Amazing. Whatever. Much could be said, but time to move on. But using "Toyota Corolla" in its headline -- and the story having nothing to do with either Toyota or Corolla -- almost makes this story at TWSJ clickbait. Fun to read, but still clickbait. 

Having said that, there was still some interesting information contained in the article. A must-read, must keep.

Most interesting: who owns the rights to Lucas.

Also interesting, mentioning a second name along with SpektreWorks: 

Little-known Scottsdale, Ariz.-based SpektreWorks and Huntsville, Ala.-based Integration Innovation were tapped to build the drones. A total of five manufacturers will be selected, each set up to produce 300 drones a month, a former senior defense official familiar with the plans said.

SpektreWorks and Integration Innovation didn’t respond to requests for comment.

The Marine Corps was the first to use the drones, and ordered around 6,000, destined for the Indo-Pacific. But then the war with Iran began. The drones were handed over to U.S. Central Command and in February made their first appearance in combat.

The Trump administration has enacted sweeping reforms in defense procurement, making it easier for the military to quickly buy weapons and emphasizing commercial technology to modernize the U.S. arsenal. In particular, an August decision by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to rescind long-held requirements processes for acquiring technology made the rapid deployment of Lucas possible, current and former defense officials said. 

Still, other changes will take longer to trickle through the Pentagon’s bureaucracy, and it will take time to reorient America to a new way of fighting wars, even as China is developing advanced ways to strike the U.S., say intelligence and military officials.