Showing posts with label TrumpShift. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TrumpShift. Show all posts

Friday, November 24, 2017

The Market And Energy Page, T+307 - November 24, 2017 -- S&P 500 With 54 Record Highs (So Far) Under Trump's First Year

Gasoline demand (remember, 2016 was record year for gasoline demand), source:


Another Trump record: Cyber Monday expected to be largest shopping day in US history. Not just this year; not just this decade. Not just this century. In the entire US history. A huge indicator of consumer confidence in Trump.

Market: Nasdaq and S&P 500 hit new highs.

No one saw it coming -- WSJ:
Torrid pace of gains has pushed index to highs unimaginable earlier this year, and analysts are putting lofty targets on where index will go next year.
U.S. stocks are on the verge of a level few thought they would see this year: 2600 on the S&P 500.

Stocks’ upward climb has defied many analysts early-year predictions for a 2017 stall, leaving some upgrading their year-end forecasts to account for the benchmark index’s double-digit gains. Bank of America, for example, initially called for the S&P to finish the year at 2300, while Deutsche Bank expected the broad index to end up at 2350—milestones the S&P has blown past in 2017.

The increasingly upbeat outlooks underscore analysts and investors’ belief that synchronized global growth, an expanding U.S. economy and companies’ strong profit reports can extend stocks’ rally even further. The optimism and fear of missing out on gains—the S&P 500 is up 16% so far for the year—has helped markets rebound quickly from pullbacks.


Egg on face (actually the entire omelet):









My favorite:


Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Democracy Is Coming To The USA -- Leonard Cohen -- November 14, 2016

Updates

Later, 7:32 p.m. Central Time: diminished. That's the word that first came to mind when listening to the Obama press conference in Greece. The last time Obama made an international trip he said a) Trump was unfit to be president; and, b) that Trump would not be elected. Now Obama is eating crow: Trump has been elected president, and Obama has not reiterated that Trump is unfit for office. He is now reassuring the EU, NATO, and European allies that "everything will be okay" under Trump. Obama said this the same day a) GOP members in Congress were falling all over themselves to be the first in line to say they want to work with Trump; and, b) the stock market had the fifth consecutive day setting all-time highs. Obama looked "diminished." Talk about the "JV team." In less than seven days, Obama and his administration look like the JV team and the all-stars are about to enter the arena.

Later, 7:29 p.m. Central Time. The Los Angeles continues the spin. This headline: Donald Trump's transition team loses a key figure as  he struggles to find his footing.

Talk about naïve. Slanted. Untrue. Inaccurate. Spin.
 
You have to read several paragraphs into the story to discover that the individual removed from Trump's transition team was a Chris Christie operative. Time for him to go. "You're fired." I love it: Trump is cleaning his own house.

Original Post
 
President Trump mentioned his "top 3 issues" on 60 Minutes on which he will focus. The tea leaves suggest:
  • every executive order issued by the Obama administration affecting the oil and gas industry will be reviewed by the new Interior Secretary; within 100 days he will act / not act on each of those executive orders
  • there will be lots of talk about trade wars but that talk will fade over time
  • all that silly talk about banning fracking is now off the table
  • all that silly talk about global warming is now off the table inside the White House
  • enthusiasm for wind and solar energy -- for so many reasons -- will fade away
  • the military will see a huge infusion of money for the active duty
  • no more bowing to foreign leaders; he will look them squarely in the eyes with a firm handshake
  • law-abiding illegal aliens have nothing to fear in the first Trump administration
  • illegal aliens with any outstanding warrant -- including unpaid parking tickets -- will start leaving the US in droves (we won't hear about that) 
  • the US will re-negotiate from a position of a) a level playing field; and, b) from an "American first" doctrine
  • the EPA will have a new head, and new marching orders
  • the attorney general will be pushed to look into illegal voting in several states
  • tax reform will be high on his agenda
  • if GOP in the House does not "play ball" Trump will have plenty of allies on the other side of the aisle; I get the feeling he won't spend a lot of time spinning his wheels
 *********************************
Democracy Is Coming To America

The meme that Hillary won the popular vote will be found to be untrue/inaccurate once the secretaries of the 52 states and the District of Columbia verify the legitimacy of the voters. Three million votes were likely cast by illegal aliens. It won't amount to a hill of beans in the national election, but the 60,000 felons voting in Virginia gave that state's electoral votes to Trump. See also the "popular vote" note posted at this site on November 15, 2016.

Democracy, Leonard Cohen


Best Symphony Ever


Trump Protest Buses
Link here.