An Old XTO Johnsrud Well Drilled In 2015 Now Shows Small Jump In Production -- December 27, 2022

The well:

• 29391, 1,142, XTO, Johnsrud Federal 34X-14H, Bear Den, t11/15; cum 125K 10/19; most recent, 2,500 bbls/month; cum 169K 10/22; recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	10-2022	31	1932	1862	2569	2529	2500	2
BAKKEN	9-2022	30	2167	2168	2381	2807	2771	23
BAKKEN	8-2022	31	2173	2127	2706	2833	2789	30
BAKKEN	7-2022	31	2387	2452	2922	3071	3029	27
BAKKEN	6-2022	30	2483	2556	3033	3275	3224	35
BAKKEN	5-2022	31	3296	3064	3379	3578	3415	147
BAKKEN	4-2022	4	224	207	438	295	289	4
BAKKEN	3-2022	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2022	0	0	21	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2022	5	325	395	296	299	297	0
BAKKEN	12-2021	23	1312	1221	3194	1319	1312	0
BAKKEN	11-2021	0	0	25	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2021	13	372	396	875	660	655	2
BAKKEN	9-2021	22	598	588	1309	1010	1005	0
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	1022	1024	1444	1869	1861	0
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	1019	1040	1430	1882	1851	21

Reflection Of The Mission Mountain Range On Flathead Lake -- December 27, 2022

Active rigs: 45.

WTI: $79.74.

Natural gas: $5.183.

Three new permits, #39527, #49528, and #39530:

• Operator: Petro-Hunt
• Field: Little Knife (Billings)
• Comments:
• Petro-Hunt has permits for permits for three Burian wells, NENE 15-144-98; 
• to be sited 375 FNL and between 1250 FEL and 1725 FWL

******************************
Winter 2022

Reflection of the Mission Mountain Range on Flathead Lake, frozen:

EVs -- For The Archives -- December 27, 2022

For the archives:

For one year.

• RIVN: down 83%
• RIDE: down 72%
• LCID: down 83%
• GOEV (Canoo): down 87%
• ARVL (Arrival SA EV): down 98%)
• TSLA: down 70%

EVs: link here. Scorecard. 

 
Folks paying >$80,000 for an EV (a luxury vehicle) will certainly research "cold weather" data following the North American December, 2022, Arctic cyclone bomb.

Winter range loss, link here:

But also note, mileage range in great weather:

• VW e-Golf: 125 miles
• BMW i3: 125 miles
• Tesla Model X: 150 miles
• Nissan Leaf: 175 miles
• Ford Mustang Mach-E: 250 miles
• Hyundai Kona: 280 miles

And as one gets close to 90% of advertised range, one starts looking for a charging unit. 

Price:

• VW e-Golf: $32,000 to $38,000
  
• BMW i3: $44,450 - $48,645
  
• Tesla Model X: $105,000 to $140,000
  
• Nissan Leaf: $28,000 for a golf cart
  
• Ford Mustang Mach-E: starting price of $60,500.
  
• Hyundai Kona: $26,000

My hunch: as the major automakers pivoting to EVs, theirs boards of directors and CEOs, CFOs looking at the "internals" are starting to get a little nervous. The major auto makers can hide "this stuff" for only so long. 

An Old MRO Everett Fisher Well With 24X Jump In Production -- December 27, 2022

As noted, I could do this all day, but it becomes tedious. But this is "The Bakken." It's all about TOC. 

An old parent well: 

• 18880, 129, MRO, Everett Fisher USA 41-6H, Reunion Bay, t7/30; cum 7/10, 10/22; recent production, see table below the graphic: 
• no verification yet, but most likely this well was re-fracked when the newer wells on the Mabel pad were fracked for the first time, June, 2021;
• jump in production from 1500 bbls / month, to 36,000 bbls / month or a 24X jump in production;
• also note the chronologic numbers of these wells.
  

Mabel:

• 37770, drl/A, MRO, Mabel USA 21-6TFH, t--; cum 283K 10/22;
• stimulated: June 15, 2021
• 40 stages; 8,499,993 pounds proppant

The graphic:

Full production profile:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	10-2022	31	3613	3540	4345	17184	16724	6
BAKKEN	9-2022	19	1873	1936	1646	9981	9779	0
BAKKEN	8-2022	29	3458	3472	2575	18163	17835	0
BAKKEN	7-2022	31	6172	6210	6454	20860	20429	0
BAKKEN	6-2022	30	8540	8742	9959	21098	20629	0
BAKKEN	5-2022	31	9603	9302	11919	20460	19612	288
BAKKEN	4-2022	9	2274	2484	1732	5309	5176	0
BAKKEN	3-2022	31	11760	11658	8415	26578	26001	0
BAKKEN	2-2022	28	9872	9787	7085	22147	21696	0
BAKKEN	1-2022	18	7459	7474	5555	12205	11922	0
BAKKEN	12-2021	22	11379	11483	5687	21346	20876	0
BAKKEN	11-2021	30	24253	24280	13903	37945	37061	0
BAKKEN	10-2021	31	33008	32976	20218	39638	38535	0
BAKKEN	9-2021	30	25500	25647	24378	28366	27396	172
BAKKEN	8-2021	29	36363	35998	99154	51854	48761	971
BAKKEN	7-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2021	23	1070	1422	319	1596	1178	223
BAKKEN	2-2021	28	1431	1345	337	2158	1624	286
BAKKEN	1-2021	29	1438	1470	323	2185	1262	673
BAKKEN	12-2020	30	1308	1251	266	1684	1152	283
BAKKEN	11-2020	30	1526	1608	334	2269	1798	207
BAKKEN	10-2020	25	1102	1064	228	1682	1308	175
BAKKEN	9-2020	30	1465	1417	319	2471	1603	606
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	1524	1526	349	2555	1747	529
BAKKEN	7-2020	22	1230	1187	261	2001	791	1008
BAKKEN	6-2020	29	1431	1400	332	2326	2029	37
BAKKEN	5-2020	31	1546	1798	389	2571	2157	134
BAKKEN	4-2020	30	1485	1462	359	2425	1871	289
BAKKEN	3-2020	31	1323	1368	287	2041	1500	273
BAKKEN	2-2020	29	1462	1421	318	2134	1752	120
BAKKEN	1-2020	31	1509	1685	347	2267	1574	418
BAKKEN	12-2019	31	1580	1268	347	2866	1914	671
BAKKEN	11-2019	30	1584	1531	356	2873	1971	626
BAKKEN	10-2019	31	1607	1716	376	2911	1632	1002
BAKKEN	9-2019	30	1532	1430	338	2423	1389	761
BAKKEN	8-2019	31	1623	1669	373	2925	2603	38
BAKKEN	7-2019	31	1670	1729	390	3016	2729	0
BAKKEN	6-2019	30	1648	1601	404	2696	2353	66
BAKKEN	5-2019	31	1751	2109	428	2519	1925	303
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	1763	1567	425	2553	718	1549
BAKKEN	3-2019	31	1884	1685	432	2671	442	1933
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	1722	1807	368	2195	1496	437
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	2146	2729	464	2799	2349	138
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	1902	1732	380	3143	1250	1598
BAKKEN	11-2018	30	2072	1990	473	2758	2433	143
BAKKEN	10-2018	31	2228	2202	470	2643	910	1550
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	2300	2319	507	4067	2500	1386
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	2500	2496	575	4443	2467	1781
BAKKEN	7-2018	6	408	0	203	721	267	422
BAKKEN	6-2018	9	535	962	135	994	885	55
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	1920	1638	454	3509	301	3018
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	2014	2370	487	3739	3320	230
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	2189	1700	476	4150	3721	234
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	2211	2380	491	3962	3549	237
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	2444	2886	477	3366	2795	379
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	2116	1681	424	2934	2372	367
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	2153	2185	410	2987	2065	733
BAKKEN	10-2017	28	1911	2061	547	2638	2089	383
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	1936	1782	509	2696	2279	228
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	2103	2030	425	2958	2538	225
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	2145	1970	434	2951	2474	282
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	2085	2261	415	2683	2264	230
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	2125	2257	423	2655	1865	595
BAKKEN	4-2017	30	2012	1863	423	2528	1560	779
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	2078	2008	403	2656	2153	313
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	2071	2132	405	2638	2230	240
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	2289	2837	453	2881	2406	289
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	2245	1905	460	2720	2091	207
BAKKEN	11-2016	29	2122	1864	440	2858	2385	77
BAKKEN	10-2016	31	2208	2047	473	2564	1537	605
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	2217	2310	480	3480	2946	117
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	2456	2747	532	4032	3451	135
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	2614	2277	567	3758	3049	246
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	2728	2944	565	3124	2451	201
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	2890	2972	590	3485	2875	115
BAKKEN	4-2016	26	2468	2480	487	2512	1850	248
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	2612	2527	585	2640	2049	144
BAKKEN	2-2016	12	836	704	318	818	619	44
BAKKEN	1-2016	27	2254	2361	470	3581	3019	168
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	2677	2595	535	4374	3491	411
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	2604	2592	538	3988	3359	170
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	2673	2558	558	4046	3206	368
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	2641	2998	570	3643	2780	400
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	2653	2318	960	3265	2322	476
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	2705	2783	567	3303	2633	195
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	2680	2754	565	3841	3120	254
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	2864	2957	574	4151	3542	117
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	2848	2942	620	4017	3424	113
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	3071	3079	613	4270	3632	123
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	2958	3030	575	4044	3349	211
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	3562	3280	675	4229	3247	415
BAKKEN	12-2014	28	3376	3519	650	3044	980	1541
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	3339	3292	730	2915	1969	418
BAKKEN	10-2014	14	1504	1830	515	2013	1554	219
BAKKEN	9-2014	23	3387	3390	620	3418	795	2123
BAKKEN	8-2014	27	3691	3486	696	5643	2251	2839
BAKKEN	7-2014	31	4303	4201	797	5299	4413	241
BAKKEN	6-2014	30	3655	3956	687	3951	3351	31
BAKKEN	5-2014	31	3823	3611	726	3753	2812	346
BAKKEN	4-2014	30	3714	3828	961	3529	2646	306
BAKKEN	3-2014	29	2680	2382	1532	2651	1901	294
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	3059	3231	802	2689	2006	188
BAKKEN	1-2014	28	2640	2308	514	2623	1698	475
BAKKEN	12-2013	11	1366	1401	273	875	249	564
BAKKEN	11-2013	29	3446	3674	690	5003	4425	410
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	3913	4073	790	5661	5215	260
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	3906	3936	764	5450	4511	762
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	4090	3913	828	3203	2027	990
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	4542	4449	891	4953	3742	1026
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	5523	5806	1043	6814	6048	586
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	4748	4646	970	4400	3679	536
BAKKEN	4-2013	9	1235	815	319	996	440	502
BAKKEN	3-2013	15	2079	2399	367	2285	1557	638
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	4003	3951	719	4026	3009	849
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	4145	4190	784	3797	2850	763
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	4225	4214	763	3716	3144	386
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	3878	4139	747	2933	2377	376
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	5101	5429	1022	4171	3383	609
BAKKEN	9-2012	30	5506	5172	1062	3878	3268	430
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	6388	6792	1292	2446	1278	982
BAKKEN	7-2012	29	7505	7053	1428	4856	3938	752
BAKKEN	6-2012	30	8047	7990	1520	7051	5517	1354
BAKKEN	5-2012	20	4049	4272	735	1147	274	761
BAKKEN	4-2012	30	9706	9665	2033	8776	0	8599
BAKKEN	3-2012	23	4014	3578	1040	3270	0	3135
BAKKEN	2-2012	15	2581	2864	435	2370	0	2286
BAKKEN	1-2012	31	6323	6359	1213	5791	0	5605
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	6383	6646	1357	5854	0	5668
BAKKEN	11-2011	30	5791	5598	1175	5306	0	5131
BAKKEN	10-2011	26	8624	8500	2177	7795	0	7643
BAKKEN	9-2011	14	2053	2409	418	1905	0	1827
BAKKEN	8-2011	23	3749	2951	663	3485	0	3370
BAKKEN	7-2011	26	3505	3711	617	3286	0	3145
BAKKEN	6-2011	29	5350	5851	995	4969	0	4796
BAKKEN	5-2011	30	8048	8270	1650	7215	0	7053
BAKKEN	4-2011	25	5464	5425	1010	5033	0	4908
BAKKEN	3-2011	27	5975	5703	1078	5507	0	5365
BAKKEN	2-2011	27	7135	7339	1435	6185	0	6035
BAKKEN	1-2011	29	8084	8086	1550	6966	0	6829
BAKKEN	12-2010	30	12364	12461	2980	10597	0	10444
BAKKEN	11-2010	15	8962	8209	2030	8116	0	8027
BAKKEN	10-2010	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2010	6	218	238	0	209	0	184
BAKKEN	8-2010	31	1471	1360	62	1422	0	1242
BAKKEN	7-2010	28	2153	2236	342	1997	0	1832
BAKKEN	6-2010	7	582	249	120	0	0	0

FracFocus:

• API: 33-061-01323. No frack data yet.
  

File report:

• from July, 30, 2010:
• frack: 6/24/10; one stimulation stage; 213,972 pounds proppant;
• no other frack data
• most likely fracked in June, 2021, when the newer wells on the Mabel pad were fracked;