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Tuesday, December 27, 2022

An Old XTO Johnsrud Well Drilled In 2015 Now Shows Small Jump In Production -- December 27, 2022

The well:

  • 29391, 1,142, XTO, Johnsrud Federal 34X-14H, Bear Den, t11/15; cum 125K 10/19; most recent, 2,500 bbls/month; cum 169K 10/22; recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-202231193218622569252925002
BAKKEN9-2022302167216823812807277123
BAKKEN8-2022312173212727062833278930
BAKKEN7-2022312387245229223071302927
BAKKEN6-2022302483255630333275322435
BAKKEN5-20223132963064337935783415147
BAKKEN4-202242242074382952894
BAKKEN3-20220000000
BAKKEN2-202200210000
BAKKEN1-202253253952962992970
BAKKEN12-202123131212213194131913120
BAKKEN11-202100250000
BAKKEN10-2021133723968756606552
BAKKEN9-2021225985881309101010050
BAKKEN8-202131102210241444186918610
BAKKEN7-2021311019104014301882185121

Reflection Of The Mission Mountain Range On Flathead Lake -- December 27, 2022

Active rigs: 45.

WTI: $79.74.

Natural gas: $5.183.

Three new permits, #39527, #49528, and #39530:

  • Operator: Petro-Hunt
  • Field: Little Knife (Billings)
  • Comments:
    • Petro-Hunt has permits for permits for three Burian wells, NENE 15-144-98; 
      • to be sited 375 FNL and between 1250 FEL and 1725 FWL

******************************
Winter 2022

Reflection of the Mission Mountain Range on Flathead Lake, frozen:

EVs -- For The Archives -- December 27, 2022

For the archives:

For one year.
  • RIVN: down 83%
  • RIDE: down 72%
  • LCID: down 83%
  • GOEV (Canoo): down 87%
  • ARVL (Arrival SA EV): down 98%)
  • TSLA: down 70%

EVs: link here. Scorecard

 
Folks paying >$80,000 for an EV (a luxury vehicle) will certainly research "cold weather" data following the North American December, 2022, Arctic cyclone bomb.

Winter range loss, link here:

But also note, mileage range in great weather:

  • VW e-Golf: 125 miles
  • BMW i3: 125 miles
  • Tesla Model X: 150 miles
  • Nissan Leaf: 175 miles
  • Ford Mustang Mach-E: 250 miles
  • Hyundai Kona: 280 miles

And as one gets close to 90% of advertised range, one starts looking for a charging unit. 

Price:

  • VW e-Golf: $32,000 to $38,000
  • BMW i3: $44,450 - $48,645
  • Tesla Model X: $105,000 to $140,000
  • Nissan Leaf: $28,000 for a golf cart
  • Ford Mustang Mach-E: starting price of $60,500.
  • Hyundai Kona: $26,000

My hunch: as the major automakers pivoting to EVs, theirs boards of directors and CEOs, CFOs looking at the "internals" are starting to get a little nervous. The major auto makers can hide "this stuff" for only so long. 

An Old MRO Everett Fisher Well With 24X Jump In Production -- December 27, 2022

As noted, I could do this all day, but it becomes tedious. But this is "The Bakken." It's all about TOC. 

An old parent well

  • 18880, 129, MRO, Everett Fisher USA 41-6H, Reunion Bay, t7/30; cum 7/10, 10/22; recent production, see table below the graphic: 
    • no verification yet, but most likely this well was re-fracked when the newer wells on the Mabel pad were fracked for the first time, June, 2021;
    • jump in production from 1500 bbls / month, to 36,000 bbls / month or a 24X jump in production;
    • also note the chronologic numbers of these wells.

Mabel:

  • 37770, drl/A, MRO, Mabel USA 21-6TFH, t--; cum 283K 10/22;
    • stimulated: June 15, 2021
      • 40 stages; 8,499,993 pounds proppant

The graphic:

Full production profile:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20223136133540434517184167246
BAKKEN9-202219187319361646998197790
BAKKEN8-20222934583472257518163178350
BAKKEN7-20223161726210645420860204290
BAKKEN6-20223085408742995921098206290
BAKKEN5-20223196039302119192046019612288
BAKKEN4-20229227424841732530951760
BAKKEN3-2022311176011658841526578260010
BAKKEN2-20222898729787708522147216960
BAKKEN1-20221874597474555512205119220
BAKKEN12-2021221137911483568721346208760
BAKKEN11-20213024253242801390337945370610
BAKKEN10-20213133008329762021839638385350
BAKKEN9-2021302550025647243782836627396172
BAKKEN8-2021293636335998991545185448761971
BAKKEN7-20210000000
BAKKEN6-20210000000
BAKKEN5-20210000000
BAKKEN4-20210000000
BAKKEN3-2021231070142231915961178223
BAKKEN2-2021281431134533721581624286
BAKKEN1-2021291438147032321851262673
BAKKEN12-2020301308125126616841152283
BAKKEN11-2020301526160833422691798207
BAKKEN10-2020251102106422816821308175
BAKKEN9-2020301465141731924711603606
BAKKEN8-2020311524152634925551747529
BAKKEN7-2020221230118726120017911008
BAKKEN6-202029143114003322326202937
BAKKEN5-2020311546179838925712157134
BAKKEN4-2020301485146235924251871289
BAKKEN3-2020311323136828720411500273
BAKKEN2-2020291462142131821341752120
BAKKEN1-2020311509168534722671574418
BAKKEN12-2019311580126834728661914671
BAKKEN11-2019301584153135628731971626
BAKKEN10-20193116071716376291116321002
BAKKEN9-2019301532143033824231389761
BAKKEN8-201931162316693732925260338
BAKKEN7-20193116701729390301627290
BAKKEN6-201930164816014042696235366
BAKKEN5-2019311751210942825191925303
BAKKEN4-2019301763156742525537181549
BAKKEN3-2019311884168543226714421933
BAKKEN2-2019281722180736821951496437
BAKKEN1-2019312146272946427992349138
BAKKEN12-20183119021732380314312501598
BAKKEN11-2018302072199047327582433143
BAKKEN10-2018312228220247026439101550
BAKKEN9-20183023002319507406725001386
BAKKEN8-20183125002496575444324671781
BAKKEN7-201864080203721267422
BAKKEN6-2018953596213599488555
BAKKEN5-2018311920163845435093013018
BAKKEN4-2018302014237048737393320230
BAKKEN3-2018312189170047641503721234
BAKKEN2-2018282211238049139623549237
BAKKEN1-2018312444288647733662795379
BAKKEN12-2017312116168142429342372367
BAKKEN11-2017302153218541029872065733
BAKKEN10-2017281911206154726382089383
BAKKEN9-2017301936178250926962279228
BAKKEN8-2017312103203042529582538225
BAKKEN7-2017312145197043429512474282
BAKKEN6-2017302085226141526832264230
BAKKEN5-2017312125225742326551865595
BAKKEN4-2017302012186342325281560779
BAKKEN3-2017312078200840326562153313
BAKKEN2-2017282071213240526382230240
BAKKEN1-2017312289283745328812406289
BAKKEN12-2016312245190546027202091207
BAKKEN11-201629212218644402858238577
BAKKEN10-2016312208204747325641537605
BAKKEN9-2016302217231048034802946117
BAKKEN8-2016312456274753240323451135
BAKKEN7-2016312614227756737583049246
BAKKEN6-2016302728294456531242451201
BAKKEN5-2016312890297259034852875115
BAKKEN4-2016262468248048725121850248
BAKKEN3-2016312612252758526402049144
BAKKEN2-20161283670431881861944
BAKKEN1-2016272254236147035813019168
BAKKEN12-2015312677259553543743491411
BAKKEN11-2015302604259253839883359170
BAKKEN10-2015312673255855840463206368
BAKKEN9-2015302641299857036432780400
BAKKEN8-2015312653231896032652322476
BAKKEN7-2015312705278356733032633195
BAKKEN6-2015302680275456538413120254
BAKKEN5-2015312864295757441513542117
BAKKEN4-2015302848294262040173424113
BAKKEN3-2015313071307961342703632123
BAKKEN2-2015282958303057540443349211
BAKKEN1-2015313562328067542293247415
BAKKEN12-2014283376351965030449801541
BAKKEN11-2014303339329273029151969418
BAKKEN10-2014141504183051520131554219
BAKKEN9-2014233387339062034187952123
BAKKEN8-20142736913486696564322512839
BAKKEN7-2014314303420179752994413241
BAKKEN6-201430365539566873951335131
BAKKEN5-2014313823361172637532812346
BAKKEN4-2014303714382896135292646306
BAKKEN3-20142926802382153226511901294
BAKKEN2-2014283059323180226892006188
BAKKEN1-2014282640230851426231698475
BAKKEN12-20131113661401273875249564
BAKKEN11-2013293446367469050034425410
BAKKEN10-2013313913407379056615215260
BAKKEN9-2013303906393676454504511762
BAKKEN8-2013314090391382832032027990
BAKKEN7-20133145424449891495337421026
BAKKEN6-20133055235806104368146048586
BAKKEN5-2013314748464697044003679536
BAKKEN4-201391235815319996440502
BAKKEN3-2013152079239936722851557638
BAKKEN2-2013284003395171940263009849
BAKKEN1-2013314145419078437972850763
BAKKEN12-2012314225421476337163144386
BAKKEN11-2012303878413974729332377376
BAKKEN10-20123151015429102241713383609
BAKKEN9-20123055065172106238783268430
BAKKEN8-20123163886792129224461278982
BAKKEN7-20122975057053142848563938752
BAKKEN6-201230804779901520705155171354
BAKKEN5-201220404942727351147274761
BAKKEN4-201230970696652033877608599
BAKKEN3-201223401435781040327003135
BAKKEN2-20121525812864435237002286
BAKKEN1-201231632363591213579105605
BAKKEN12-201131638366461357585405668
BAKKEN11-201130579155981175530605131
BAKKEN10-201126862485002177779507643
BAKKEN9-20111420532409418190501827
BAKKEN8-20112337492951663348503370
BAKKEN7-20112635053711617328603145
BAKKEN6-20112953505851995496904796
BAKKEN5-201130804882701650721507053
BAKKEN4-201125546454251010503304908
BAKKEN3-201127597557031078550705365
BAKKEN2-201127713573391435618506035
BAKKEN1-201129808480861550696606829
BAKKEN12-2010301236412461298010597010444
BAKKEN11-201015896282092030811608027
BAKKEN10-20100000000
BAKKEN9-2010621823802090184
BAKKEN8-2010311471136062142201242
BAKKEN7-20102821532236342199701832
BAKKEN6-20107582249120000

FracFocus:

  • API: 33-061-01323. No frack data yet.

File report:

  • from July, 30, 2010:
  • frack: 6/24/10; one stimulation stage; 213,972 pounds proppant;
  • no other frack data
  • most likely fracked in June, 2021, when the newer wells on the Mabel pad were fracked;