The WPX Charles Blackhawk Pad

The wells:

• 22649, IA/709, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HA, Heart Butte, t11/12; cum 216K 3/20; remains off line 6/21; see this post; cum 280K 6/22;
• 22650, 247, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HX, Heart Butte, t11/12; cum 195K 6/21; only two days, 6/21; see this post; cum 235K 6/22;
• 22651, 219, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HB, Heart Butte, t11/12; cum 245K 6/21; only two days, 6/21; see this post; cum 253K 6/22;
  
• 37843, loc/A, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HY, Heart Butte, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 199K 6/22;
• 22652, loc/A, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HC, Heart Butte,, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 188K 6/22;
• 22653, loc/A, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HZ, Heart Butte, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 201K 6/22;
• 22654, conf, WPX, Charles Blackhawk CB1-AC, Heart Butte, first production, t--; cum --;
• 22655, conf, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HD, Heart Butte, first production, t--; cum --;
• 37842, loc/A, WPX, Charles Blackhawk 31-30HDL, Heart Butte, first production, 9/21; t--; cum 212K 6/22;
  

The graphics:

THe MRO A-D-E-F-G-H-L-2M-P-S-W Pad; AKA The MRO Wolf-Fox Pad -- Moccasin Creek

The wells:

• 28076, IA/3,255, MRO, Hale USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, t2/15; cum 303K 1/21; offline 2/21; remains offline 3/21; remains off line 9/21;
  
• 28075, IA/3,255, MRO, Anthony USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, t2/15; cum 513 1/21; offline 2/21; remains off line 3/21; remains off line 9/21;
  
• 24744, 2,715, MRO, Fox USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, t1/15; cum 483K 11/20; off line 11/20; remains off line 3/21; remained off line until one day in 9/21;
  
• 24745, 1,916, MRO, Melvain Fox USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, t2/15; cum 580K 1/21; off line 2/21; remains off line 9/21;
  
• 37746, drl/dr-->drl/NC, MRO, Pauline USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 4/21, t--; cum --; huge well;
  
• 37745, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Dancing Bull USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 4/21, t--; cum --;
• 37744, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Eugene USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 9/21, t--; cum --;
• 37743, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Grinnel USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 4/21, t--; cum --;
• 37742, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Marian USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 9/21, t--; cum --;
• 37741, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Leon USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, t--; cum --;
• 37740, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Sylvestor USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 9/21;, t--; cum --;
• 37739, drl/drl-->drl/NC, Wof USA, Moccasin Creek, first production, 9/21, t--; cum --;

The graphics:

Notes From All Over -- The Late Edition -- March 14, 2021

Oh-oh: AstraZeneca Covid vaccine -- huge mess. I'm waiting for Dr Faust's advice. 

Focus on Fracking: posted. 

Retires: Drew Brees.

Griddy: heading for bankruptcy. Interesting story. ERCOT -- Texas February Freeze. State regulators have barred the energy supplier from the market after it charged customers big electricity-price increase during the freeze. 

NFTs: my hunch -- they will be used for a lot more things than art in the future.

A RimRock Moccasin Creek Well Has Just Gone Over 500K Bbls Crude Oil -- March 14, 2021

The well:

• 35499, 2,859, RimRock Oil & Gas, MC MHA 24-10HU, Moccasin Creek, t3/19; cum 500K 1/21; see this note;

Vaccine Rollout -- A Snapshot In Time -- Sunday, March 14, 2021

Update

March 15, 2021: it turns out there are already stories of vaccine being wasted; folks not showing up for their vaccinations, etc. Link here. 

Even as vaccine manufacturing ramps up, with President Joe Biden promising enough vaccines for all Americans by May, the chaotic rollout, paired with vaccine hesitancy, has created an unequal supply-and-demand equation around the country.

Missed vaccine appointments have resulted in some leftover COVID-19 vaccine doses being available at the end of the day and in some cases being dumped when the vaccines expire.

Later, 10:57 p.m. CT: after posting the note below, I found this article over at The WSJ: vaccine-appointment sites rush to fix glitches, expand capacity as rollout gathers steam. Website administrators are tackling things like confusing interfaces and pages prone to dropping information and freezing. Link here. Tea leaves: next month we're going to have stories on unused vaccine being thrown out at the end of the day.

Original Post 

Vaccine rollout:

		A	B	C	D	E	F
		Total Doses Administered	Number of People Receiving 1 Or More Doses	Number of People Receiving 2 Doses	Number of People Considered Fully Immunized	Delta: Difference in daily doses from previous day	Percent (B+C)/A	Percent Of Americans With 2 Doses
Sunday	March 14, 2021	107,060,274	69,784,210	37,459,269		1,356,773.00	100.17%	14.61%
Saturday	March 13, 2021	105,703,501	68,884,011	36,929,777		4,575,496.00	100.10%	14.41%
Friday	March 12, 2021	101,128,005	65,965,305	35,000,159		2,924,112.00	99.84%	13.65%
Thursday	March 11, 2021	98,203,893	64,071,674	33,863,127		2,482,603.00	99.73%	13.21%
Wednesday	March 10, 2021	95,721,290	62,451,150	32,904,161		2,028,692.00	99.62%	12.84%
Tuesday	March 9, 2021	93,692,598	61,088,527	32,102,061		1,602,746.00	99.46%	12.52%
Monday	March 8, 2021	92,089,852	60,005,231	31,493,040		1,738,102.00	99.36%	12.29%
Sunday	March 7, 2021	90,351,750	58,873,710	30,686,881		2,439,427.00	99.12%	11.97%
Saturday	March 6, 2021	87,912,323	57,358,849	29,776,160		2,904,229.00	99.12%	11.62%
Friday	March 5, 2021	85,008,094	55,547,697	28,701,201		2,233,810.00	99.11%	11.20%
Thursday	March 4, 2021	82,774,284	54,201,638	27,829,503		2,233,810.00	99.10%	10.86%
Wednesday	March 3, 2021	80,540,474	52,855,579	26,957,804		1,908,873.00	99.10%	10.52%
Tuesday	March 2, 2021	78,631,601	51,755,447	26,162,122		1,731,614.00	99.09%	10.21%
Monday	March 1, 2021	76,899,987	50,732,997	25,466,405		1,663,984.00	99.09%	9.94%
Sunday	February 28, 2021	75,236,003	49,772,180	24,779,920		2,429,823.00	99.09%	9.67%

I love these science experiments. I love correlating human behavior with actual data. 

So, here we go.

Look at the seventh column, three data points are in bold red.

• Sunday (data for Saturday) two weeks ago: 2.430 million received their first vaccination.
• Sunday (data for Saturday) one week ago: 2.439 million received their first vaccination.
• Sunday (data for Saturday) today: 1.357 million received their first vaccination.

I chose Saturday data (reporting Sunday) because that seemed a day that would be easiest for most folks to get to their vaccination centers; that may or may not be accurate, but at least we're looking at the "same" day of the week.

Thoughts?

The fact that there was a huge jump yesterday (Friday data, reported Saturday) may have affected the most recent data.

Now, look at the last column.

At the beginning of the rollout, the percent of Americans receiving the vaccination was increasing at 0.2% day-over-day. Then it went to 0.3% where it stayed for quite some time. 

Then it peaked at 0.4%. In fact, most recently, it was high as 0.8%. But in the last twenty-four hours, the number went to 0.2%. 

That's a snapshot in time. 

Thoughts?

I will come back to this a week from now when we have another week of data. I think that's all I will need.

Petro-Hunt Wells In Phelps Bay Now Reporting Production -- March 14, 2021

The well, came off confidential list earlier this year, Sunday, January 10, 2021:

• 37461, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-13C-12-3H, Phelps Bay, first production --; t--; cum -- 
  

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	1	16	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2020	5	2327	1934	2329	2343	2193	117

The wells, came off confidential list earlier this year, Saturday, January 9, 2021:

• 37460, conf-->F/A, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-13C-12-4H, Phelps Bay, first production, 12/20; t--; cum 30K 1/21;

  Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
  BAKKEN	1-2021	31	21907	21772	11845	32458	31671	571
  BAKKEN	12-2020	14	8571	8144	11140	10460	10102	281

• 37459, conf-->loc/A, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-13D-12-5H, Phelps Bay, first production, 12/20; t--; cum 33K 1/21;

  Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
  BAKKEN	1-2021	31	21756	21885	14550	33835	32915	704
  BAKKEN	12-2020	20	11533	11084	9582	14066	13711	271

The well, came off confidential list earlier this year, Friday, January 8, 2021:

• 37458, loc/NC-->F/A, Petro-Hunt, USA153-95-13D-12-6H, Phelps Bay, first production, 12/20; t--; cum 45K 1/21;

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	30390	30316	11694	46876	45795	865
BAKKEN	12-2020	22	15060	14639	6667	20000	19477	321

The well, came off confidential list earlier this year, Thursday, January 7, 2021:

• 37457, loc/NC-->F/A,  Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-13D-12-7H, Phelps Bay, first production, 12/20; t--; cum 44K 1/21;

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	24996	24969	11355	37272	36399	657
BAKKEN	12-2020	24	19122	18553	10571	21714	21241	320

Zavanna Panther Well: Nice Jump In Production -- March 14, 2021

The well:

• 21226, 996, Zavanna, Panther 16-21H, Stony Creek, t4/12; cum 426K 5/19; off line as of 6/19; back on line 2/20; huge jump in production; recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2021	31	4029	3781	9030	19295	13210	435
BAKKEN	12-2020	31	5600	5361	11012	25040	16982	324
BAKKEN	11-2020	30	6179	5745	11146	23130	14916	1116
BAKKEN	10-2020	31	9303	8810	15158	31863	18457	416
BAKKEN	9-2020	28	6669	6310	11647	20442	11464	238
BAKKEN	8-2020	31	9500	8544	16488	25578	15680	1029
BAKKEN	7-2020	31	10133	9183	19315	23658	12807	671
BAKKEN	6-2020	30	8189	7259	19194	17185	12577	416
BAKKEN	5-2020	31	8252	7253	23799	17702	12033	363
BAKKEN	4-2020	28	6802	6184	30585	15581	8737	221
BAKKEN	3-2020	31	7210	6350	55903	12634	12314	225
BAKKEN	2-2020	3	992	918	3526	2281	2255	17
BAKKEN	1-2020	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2019	26	1912	2109	1767	2301	1842	72
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	2124	2099	2193	2095	1342	306
BAKKEN	3-2019	30	2389	2692	2198	2839	1529	863

Initial Production For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- March 14, 2021

The wells:

• 36544, conf,  Zavanna, Blue Heeler 20-16 4H, Stony Creek,

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	16986	25298
12-2020	30998	33766
11-2020	4284	5634
9-2020	37	0

• 37395, conf, MRO, Wallentinson USA 44-8H, Reunion Bay,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	35044	73975
12-2020	47675	78477
11-2020	44448	56702
10-2020	50851	51105
9-2020	25838	29722

• 37034, conf, Zavanna, Leopard 20-17 2TFH, Stony Creek,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	14928	24957
12-2020	19345	26844
11-2020	22688	24354
10-2020	19438	21507
9-2020	31	77

• 34653, conf, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-3D-10-5H, Charlson,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	5342	7031

• 36096, conf, CLR, Gordon Federal 12-5H1, Haystack Butte,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	33289	52693
12-2020	17171	25195
11-2020	24641	33977
9-2020	169	0

• 37035, conf,  Zavanna, Leopard 20-17 3H, Stony Creek,
  
  

  Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
  1-2021	16846	26424
  12-2020	27045	33578
  11-2020	28094	27915
  10-2020	26249	25933
  9-2020	40	143

  
  
• 36246, conf,  BR, Maverick 2E TFH, Dimmick Lake, no production data, 

• 36098, conf,  CLR, Gordon Federal 10-5H1, Haystack Butte,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	19601	31472
12-2020	28752	39387
11-2020	40435	49499
9-2020	81	0

• 36097, conf, CLR, Gordon Federal 11-5H, 37036, conf, Zavanna, Leopard 20-18 4TFH, Cow Creek, producing,
  

Date	Oil Runs	MCF Sold
1-2021	14745	23800
12-2020	20583	31113
11-2020	24320	28133
10-2020	25175	24082
9-2020	8	25