Vaccine Rollout -- A Snapshot In Time -- Sunday, March 14, 2021

Update

March 15, 2021: it turns out there are already stories of vaccine being wasted; folks not showing up for their vaccinations, etc. Link here. 

Even as vaccine manufacturing ramps up, with President Joe Biden promising enough vaccines for all Americans by May, the chaotic rollout, paired with vaccine hesitancy, has created an unequal supply-and-demand equation around the country.

Missed vaccine appointments have resulted in some leftover COVID-19 vaccine doses being available at the end of the day and in some cases being dumped when the vaccines expire.

Later, 10:57 p.m. CT: after posting the note below, I found this article over at The WSJ: vaccine-appointment sites rush to fix glitches, expand capacity as rollout gathers steam. Website administrators are tackling things like confusing interfaces and pages prone to dropping information and freezing. Link here. Tea leaves: next month we're going to have stories on unused vaccine being thrown out at the end of the day.

Original Post 

Vaccine rollout:

		A	B	C	D	E	F
		Total Doses Administered	Number of People Receiving 1 Or More Doses	Number of People Receiving 2 Doses	Number of People Considered Fully Immunized	Delta: Difference in daily doses from previous day	Percent (B+C)/A	Percent Of Americans With 2 Doses
Sunday	March 14, 2021	107,060,274	69,784,210	37,459,269		1,356,773.00	100.17%	14.61%
Saturday	March 13, 2021	105,703,501	68,884,011	36,929,777		4,575,496.00	100.10%	14.41%
Friday	March 12, 2021	101,128,005	65,965,305	35,000,159		2,924,112.00	99.84%	13.65%
Thursday	March 11, 2021	98,203,893	64,071,674	33,863,127		2,482,603.00	99.73%	13.21%
Wednesday	March 10, 2021	95,721,290	62,451,150	32,904,161		2,028,692.00	99.62%	12.84%
Tuesday	March 9, 2021	93,692,598	61,088,527	32,102,061		1,602,746.00	99.46%	12.52%
Monday	March 8, 2021	92,089,852	60,005,231	31,493,040		1,738,102.00	99.36%	12.29%
Sunday	March 7, 2021	90,351,750	58,873,710	30,686,881		2,439,427.00	99.12%	11.97%
Saturday	March 6, 2021	87,912,323	57,358,849	29,776,160		2,904,229.00	99.12%	11.62%
Friday	March 5, 2021	85,008,094	55,547,697	28,701,201		2,233,810.00	99.11%	11.20%
Thursday	March 4, 2021	82,774,284	54,201,638	27,829,503		2,233,810.00	99.10%	10.86%
Wednesday	March 3, 2021	80,540,474	52,855,579	26,957,804		1,908,873.00	99.10%	10.52%
Tuesday	March 2, 2021	78,631,601	51,755,447	26,162,122		1,731,614.00	99.09%	10.21%
Monday	March 1, 2021	76,899,987	50,732,997	25,466,405		1,663,984.00	99.09%	9.94%
Sunday	February 28, 2021	75,236,003	49,772,180	24,779,920		2,429,823.00	99.09%	9.67%

I love these science experiments. I love correlating human behavior with actual data. 

So, here we go.

Look at the seventh column, three data points are in bold red.

• Sunday (data for Saturday) two weeks ago: 2.430 million received their first vaccination.
• Sunday (data for Saturday) one week ago: 2.439 million received their first vaccination.
• Sunday (data for Saturday) today: 1.357 million received their first vaccination.

I chose Saturday data (reporting Sunday) because that seemed a day that would be easiest for most folks to get to their vaccination centers; that may or may not be accurate, but at least we're looking at the "same" day of the week.

Thoughts?

The fact that there was a huge jump yesterday (Friday data, reported Saturday) may have affected the most recent data.

Now, look at the last column.

At the beginning of the rollout, the percent of Americans receiving the vaccination was increasing at 0.2% day-over-day. Then it went to 0.3% where it stayed for quite some time. 

Then it peaked at 0.4%. In fact, most recently, it was high as 0.8%. But in the last twenty-four hours, the number went to 0.2%. 

That's a snapshot in time. 

Thoughts?

I will come back to this a week from now when we have another week of data. I think that's all I will need.