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Sunday, February 26, 2017

Steve Harvey Will Sleep Very, Very Well Tonight -- February 26, 2017

And I'm calling it a night also.

Good luck to all, tomorrow.

Idle Rambling Comparing Two Wells That Were Not All That Great Early On -- Then Their Production Diverged -- February 26, 2017

This is going to be a long note. It is likely to be confusing. It may not be worth the effort. In a long note, there will be factual and typographical errors. If this is important to you, go to the source.

These are two QEP wells very, very close to each other and drilled about the same time. They both had similar births. One died early; one is still alive.

The first QEP well; it may have been killed prematurely; it was never all that good to begin with; its production was about 1,000 bbls of oil/month when it was killed (PA). Monthly production data shortly before it was killed:

Monthly Production Data for well #1:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-20130000000
BAKKEN9-20130000000
BAKKEN8-20130000000
BAKKEN7-20130000000
BAKKEN6-20130000000
BAKKEN5-20130000000
BAKKEN4-20130000000
BAKKEN3-20130000000
BAKKEN2-20130000000
BAKKEN1-20130000000
BAKKEN12-201231000000
BAKKEN11-20120000000
BAKKEN10-20120000000
BAKKEN9-2012002140000
BAKKEN8-20120000000
BAKKEN7-20122580035035
BAKKEN6-20120000000
BAKKEN5-20123011471180187134313430
BAKKEN4-20123012211194180121512150
BAKKEN3-20123112651673167136313630
BAKKEN2-2012291159929110106610660
BAKKEN1-20123112901456145115111510
BAKKEN12-20113112901208150128212820

Notice: that well was killed in May, 2012.

The second well was drilled/completed/tested at almost the very same time, in early 2008.

This is well #2. This was its production between December, 2011, and May, 2012, to compare with the well above:
BAKKEN5-2012319409522577917910
BAKKEN4-20123092811542273673670
BAKKEN3-201231936695237127912790
BAKKEN2-20122910011177257132013200
BAKKEN1-20122912101196287155315530
BAKKEN12-2011319097021606806800

That well, well #2, was no better, producing about 1,000 bbls of crude oil / month.

But it was allowed to live.

Look at the production since October, 2015, and to the present. Going from around 1,000 bbls of crude oil / month, it jumped to over 8,000 bbls (extrapolated to full 31 days) in October, 2015:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2016301475158014953278291796
BAKKEN11-201628159311701615410841080
BAKKEN10-2016231227113713582859274996
BAKKEN9-201630200320811965610861062
BAKKEN8-201631256129782413683368321
BAKKEN7-201614100168912781266125115
BAKKEN6-2016302596270321504183415825
BAKKEN5-2016313080320022223691351864
BAKKEN4-201630340233872554480844392
BAKKEN3-20169124811331141129912310
BAKKEN2-20169716658137780865954
BAKKEN1-20162846374567562558805459112
BAKKEN12-20150000000
BAKKEN11-20151933833435160744123924121
BAKKEN10-2015277947818737181080810445311

I do not know why well #1 was killed and why well #2 was allowed to live. That's unimportant now.

The question is whether well #1 could have come back as strong as #2 came back after it, too, looked like it was never going to do all that well.

The wells:
  • #1, killed: 16959, 971, QEP, Jones 16-14H, Blue Buttes, t6/08; cum 102K 5/12;
  • #2, kept alive: 16960, 768, QEP, Jones 4-23H, Blue Buttes, t4/08; cum 156K 12/16;
  • #3, in the graphic but not discussed in this post: 17266, 912, QEP, Jones 4-24H, Spotted horn, t1/09; cum 186K 12/16;
The graphic:


Re-Entry; A Second Lateral; Production Profile Of A QEP Well In The Blue Buttes Oil Field -- February 26, 2017

 Updates

April 27, 2017: update.

Original Post
 
Originally, this was a Three Forks well, lateral #1. Shortly thereafter, it was re-entered, and lateral #2 was drilled, targeting the middle Bakken. There were drilling problems with the second lateral and it was very, very short but the geologists opined in their report that it was still likely to be a great well. Re-entry rig began work September 27, 2007.
  • 16652, 434, QEP, Levang 3-22H, Blue Buttes, t6/07; cum 230K 12/16;
The two laterals (the lower lateral was the first lateral drilled):
  • Lateral 1: 368,600 lbs Carboprop open hole, test date, 9/5/2007; Three Forks (short lateral)
  • Lateral 2: 98,600 lbs Carboprop open hole, test date, 2/27/2008; middle Bakken -- problems with drilling -- notice in graphic show short the middle Bakken lateral is;
No evidence this well was ever re-fracked (see FracFocus).

From a sundry form:  
The lower / lateral #1 (Three Forks) was IP's separately on 9/5/2007 543 bopd 597 mcfd 218 bwpd. The upper / lateral #2  (middle Bakken) was IP'd separately on 11/14/2007 269 bopd 253 mcfd 37 bwpd. The combined rate was IP's on 2/27/2008 434 bopd 312 mcfd 65 bwpd. The lower lateral is obstructed with proppant and precipitated salt and will be cleaned out and returned to production later in 2008.
Production profile for this well:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-201631286223301452644161786
BAKKEN11-201630332432311712604660451
BAKKEN10-201678256814771256124511
BAKKEN9-2016303379345421477111706744
BAKKEN8-2016315296550532881199611756226
BAKKEN7-2016306986683936001130298881414
BAKKEN6-2016309036903637681320083214865
BAKKEN5-2016317668749834751104810350657
BAKKEN4-20163033593183103533632367859
BAKKEN3-2016132643277422381672154226
BAKKEN2-20162242215231000
BAKKEN1-20160000000
BAKKEN12-20150000000
BAKKEN11-20150000000
BAKKEN10-2015171264505238380
BAKKEN9-2015525906620985110
BAKKEN8-20152144453202112062
BAKKEN7-20153394050302183116
BAKKEN6-20150000000
BAKKEN5-20150000000
BAKKEN4-20150000000
BAKKEN3-20150000000
BAKKEN2-20156236473508794990
BAKKEN1-201528153811623582353193154
BAKKEN12-201420809935185179013879
BAKKEN11-201430135714142682526206058
BAKKEN10-201431156315753522740226851
BAKKEN9-201428117711122781700132716
BAKKEN8-2014261018109415320211236425
BAKKEN7-20143112871527265296925480
BAKKEN6-20143016481484258278223760
BAKKEN5-20143013111202367315427530
BAKKEN4-20142916331971328288925340
BAKKEN3-20143116141405355253721360
BAKKEN2-20142820322074543288925240
BAKKEN1-20142922962460513293025420
BAKKEN12-20132926732725610386234770
BAKKEN11-20132516011346450204917260
BAKKEN10-20132011751121203180115290
BAKKEN9-20132818692023380282024400
BAKKEN8-20136120611522278200
BAKKEN7-20133122282523553490644860
BAKKEN6-20133031112763820446944690
BAKKEN5-20131513411405560156215620
BAKKEN4-20133022522355523230323030
BAKKEN3-20133111308521101681680
BAKKEN2-20132810161181671791790
BAKKEN1-20133124152378497232223220
BAKKEN12-20123127732826567266826680
BAKKEN11-20123031483508702333333330
BAKKEN10-20123142264220844375137510
BAKKEN9-20122437753729768428042800
BAKKEN8-201226380536611084426242620
BAKKEN7-20123149725106133960755465610
BAKKEN6-20123064376359183070706700370
BAKKEN5-201218474339592632389838980
BAKKEN4-20120000000
BAKKEN3-2012000047470
BAKKEN2-201252106992103123120
BAKKEN1-20123012281194125144814480
BAKKEN12-20113112461125108153715370
BAKKEN11-20113012651428137155615560
BAKKEN10-20113113051616127150815080
BAKKEN9-20113012971386143148814880
BAKKEN8-2011311443897172181218120
BAKKEN7-20112814331430220175217520
BAKKEN6-20113016931638133181618160
BAKKEN5-201110935696425995990
BAKKEN4-201117453092920
BAKKEN3-20112914031392152180818080
BAKKEN2-20112612559501151515150
BAKKEN1-20113013751684168180818080
BAKKEN12-20103114531420203193119310
BAKKEN11-20103014181639163187718770
BAKKEN10-20103114111133189200420040
BAKKEN9-20102914331335200192519250
BAKKEN8-20103013781387170174617460
BAKKEN7-20103115101596201224722470
BAKKEN6-20103014681399223220722070
BAKKEN5-20103115691607147236823680
BAKKEN4-20103016161805220238423840
BAKKEN3-20102816171863289223322330
BAKKEN2-20102815451009186221022100
BAKKEN1-20103117202270295256125610
BAKKEN12-20093117061544151234023400
BAKKEN11-20093016901672119189418940
BAKKEN10-20093119352124138211621160
BAKKEN9-20092716661628177234423440
BAKKEN8-20093118812055118272827280
BAKKEN7-20093121301854133191619160
BAKKEN6-20093019761842151211921190
BAKKEN5-20093122472462155243224320
BAKKEN4-20093022801862124212121210
BAKKEN3-20092924803230332260502605
BAKKEN2-200923189511921281990141976
BAKKEN1-20093122952529228136813680
BAKKEN12-20083136563320230252925290
BAKKEN11-200815166718972341682962720
BAKKEN10-20083132253216242269826980
BAKKEN9-2008304272442437342558053450
BAKKEN8-2008119899021048995195800
BAKKEN7-20082514192099199217021700
BAKKEN6-20083035313423274345534550
BAKKEN5-20083139563386233387738770
BAKKEN4-20083042264235437479947990
BAKKEN3-20083176507782956806180610
BAKKEN2-2008424972158242120912090
BAKKEN1-200814304229290
BAKKEN12-20074696787156765664101
BAKKEN11-200729491246132279540341551248
BAKKEN10-200723672082193373370
BAKKEN9-200720683968112783820708

In the other graphic below, the other well of interest is:
  • 20591, 2,656, QEP, Jones 4-15/22H, Blue Buttes, t4/12; cum 553K 12/16; API: 33-053-03529; no evidence this well was re-fracked. 
Monthly Production data:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2016293211326930252211214962
BAKKEN11-201630460546223122664466431
BAKKEN10-20163158185760388894639337126
BAKKEN9-20163037183686320839063726180
BAKKEN8-20163129002988359530362336700
BAKKEN7-20163161886310463689548081872
BAKKEN6-2016301599815949889228154260072147
BAKKEN5-201631107461051489351739316802591
BAKKEN4-20163019529152951321284
BAKKEN3-20161345224503473254515179272
BAKKEN2-2016422822341187729152792120
BAKKEN1-2016261881019033114762639026127263
BAKKEN12-2015751034894530562065817389
BAKKEN11-20153023383234251674331862296172245
BAKKEN10-201531288672868229793328381896713760
BAKKEN9-201544854751011039601432
BAKKEN8-201552542540000
BAKKEN7-20153157555942657804607898
BAKKEN6-20153055515324637774107578
BAKKEN5-20153159145987663821408026
BAKKEN4-20153058145678697796907665
BAKKEN3-20153162226205722851608108
BAKKEN2-20152856895652823798607606
BAKKEN1-20152654295464830703010615602
BAKKEN12-2014305545608257877116409894
BAKKEN11-20143057675299774794365341001
BAKKEN10-2014317186752691895238210892
BAKKEN9-2014174435403547850284426372
BAKKEN8-20142545564599533649661560
BAKKEN7-20143161786385818972693050
BAKKEN6-20143059655771855899885980
BAKKEN5-20143169856979962991994980
BAKKEN4-201429667566911053200316180
BAKKEN3-201431838182881225958891840
BAKKEN2-2014281004810041142711402110240
BAKKEN1-20141225702794338289427370
BAKKEN12-20132962656008515722268870
BAKKEN11-20133072217664845817877820
BAKKEN10-201331852582021047908386700
BAKKEN9-20132861567091475647761220
BAKKEN8-20133198439168134040400
BAKKEN7-201331100269881158820018195970
BAKKEN6-2013301057510720115512343123430
BAKKEN5-20132069706885717669066900
BAKKEN4-20133089348853894835583550
BAKKEN3-2013311103711136137213860138600
BAKKEN2-2013281101810928149212690126900
BAKKEN1-2013311337613654174910626106260
BAKKEN12-2012311516514904199916056160560
BAKKEN11-2012301552015153179915490154900
BAKKEN10-20123113560134151352717471740
BAKKEN9-20123014358145351559963371232510
BAKKEN8-2012311755917422192019078180081070
BAKKEN7-2012241553615670205416970145802390
BAKKEN6-2012292311123281232426042229923050
BAKKEN5-201231291242901748323578935350439
BAKKEN4-201229441514470112655534853898714498
BAKKEN3-20122351125113241375722491


The graphic: