Global Warming In Check -- March 23, 2022

Today's milk carton photo: Greta. 

Link here.

Lots Of Work Left In The Bakken -- March 23, 2022

Updates

March 24, 2022: see first comment. I brought it up here for easier searching / browsing: 

The Rolf 1 as well as The Gjorven 1 both completed drilling in the very early spring of 2011 and required significant cost and effort to get both rigs off and get the pads ready for frac.

They sit on 56th street. I can't tell you how many thousands of loads of Scoria were bladed out on 56th street between the Hartford 1 to the east going back west to Barney 1 fixing 56th street itself and the wells on it. I had two blades working on 56th street and we probably had 12 - 20 trucks hauling to us daily.

The Hartford, Gronfur and Barney were producing but shut in until we got the locations built back up to support truck traffic. If memory serves me correctly the rig on the Rolf went right down the street to the Rennerfeld 1 and the rig on the Gjorven likely went close as well so I'd have to say two rigs drilled that field.

I'm sure a lot of folks have forgot how bad that winter was and how devastating the thaw and runoff were. You had to be there for the duration to truly appreciate it.

At the same time there were rigs done drilling mudded in on the Rosenvold 1 and Gerhardsen 1 north of Wildrose in Divide County and a rig mudded in just NE of McGregor ND on the first Lawrence Omar Eco pad. Another on the Freddie 1 south of Noonan.

We worked on all these through the summer of 2011. Doing rig moves and drill pad clean offs was considerably easier the following years LOL 

Original Post 

Random look at one section in the CLR-owned Brooklyn oil field.

Brooklyn: a small, non-descript field NE of Williston; "owned" by CLR; excellent example of how an operator systematically drilled one entire field with one rig; holding the entire field by production within a year or so; has received the most comments of any field. 

Twenty-two well locations in this screen shot. Approximately half will run north, half will run south.

The older well running from the south to the north:

• 21083, 282, CLR, Rolf 1-20H, Brooklyn oil field, t6/11; cum 444K 1/22;

Current production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2022	31	2025	1907	2281	8248	7756	73
BAKKEN	12-2021	31	1967	2062	2392	9648	9011	220
BAKKEN	11-2021	30	2065	1915	2589	9066	8662	0
BAKKEN	10-2021	31	2153	2312	2803	8231	7813	0
BAKKEN	9-2021	26	1675	1598	2230	5259	4935	0
BAKKEN	8-2021	31	2122	2231	2243	8301	6711	1171
BAKKEN	7-2021	31	2346	2287	2572	8238	7820	0
BAKKEN	6-2021	30	1989	1964	2153	7060	6666	0
BAKKEN	5-2021	31	2245	2231	2214	8412	7993	0
BAKKEN	4-2021	30	2266	2269	2370	8327	7922	0

Jump in production back in 2019:

BAKKEN	5-2019	29	13102	13287	19792	26031	19811	5828
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	25111	25266	40169	50438	35074	14972
BAKKEN	3-2019	31	28935	28999	52607	46605	32389	13797
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	23561	23433	49985	31156	30791	0
BAKKEN	1-2019	30	19636	19251	58855	25522	24915	220
BAKKEN	12-2018	5	462	435	22	923	0	882
BAKKEN	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2018	4	145	265	87	335	267	20
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	1489	1614	885	3441	3025	0
BAKKEN	7-2018	29	1284	1147	691	2921	2546	0

Initial production:

BAKKEN	11-2011	30	8991	8616	2538	14460	14460	0
BAKKEN	10-2011	31	11139	11124	3110	13966	13966	0
BAKKEN	9-2011	27	10609	10549	3230	14832	14832	0
BAKKEN	8-2011	29	7372	7659	2768	9498	9498	0
BAKKEN	7-2011	31	14512	14719	6807	13969	13969	0
BAKKEN	6-2011	6	3135	2456	1597	0	0	0

The "lonely" well to the north:

• 21086, 667, CLR, Springfield 1-8H, Brooklyn, t1/12; cum 321K 1/21;

It also had a jump in production back in 2019:

BAKKEN	3-2019	31	16055	16095	43275	21599	18576	2605
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	15058	15095	43635	19929	19276	296
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	17023	16908	60591	22051	20759	874
BAKKEN	12-2018	25	5537	5149	27524	8109	4603	3198
BAKKEN	11-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2018	2	52	0	39	1	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2018	27	894	1124	990	2223	1872	0
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	1146	1218	1131	2781	2375	0
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	1177	1159	1080	2809	2404	0

COVID 19 -- Chinese Flu / Wuhan Flu / SARS-CoV-2 -- Page 7

Locator: 10007COVID.

 

Page One
Page Two
Page Three
Page Four
Page Five

Page Six

This is page seven: March 23, 2022 -- present.

The best historic precedent: The Spanish flu, also known as the 1918 flu pandemic, was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic caused by the H1N1 influenza A virus. Lasting from February 1918 to April 1920, it infected 500 million people – about a third of the world's population at the time – in four successive waves. The death toll is typically estimated to have been somewhere between 17 million and 50 million, making it one of the deadliest pandemics in human history.

Quick links:

• Coronavirus: statistics. By country. By state.
• The World In Data.
  
• WSJ - Johns Hopkins data.  
• CDC: vaccine rollout.

Updates

August 21, 2023: lessons learned, Sweden. The hard way.

January 30, 2023: update -- President Biden has set May 1, 2023, as the date to end the two "emergency declarations." 

January 20, 2023: update -- China has quit testing; Japan re-classifies Covid-19 as "flu."

January 10, 2023: the most under-reported story so far this year.

December 4, 2022: tea leaves suggest Joe Biden will lift Covid-19 vaccine mandate for the military. The Kennedy family fingerprints are all over this one. [Later: the military mandate was lifted.]

October 21, 2022: the leading cause of death for those age 45 - 54, in 2020 - 2021.

October 17, 2022: starting a library on Covid-19.

• Spike: Farrar;
• Breathless: Quammen.

September 2, 2022: update here. New vaccine; statistics. 

March 23, 2022: CDC quietly updates pediatric mortality data related to Covid-19. Deaths in children revised 24% lower. 

March 23, 2022: many noted "celebrities" -- most likely fully vaccinated -- have recently tested positive with minimal symptoms: former President Obama; WH press secretary Jen Psaki (at least her second time to test positive); apparently still at work (needs to be fact-checked); former presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

March 23, 2022: Moderna's Covid-19 vaccine works safely in young children; ages six months to five years; company plans to seek authorization for use. This would target the last "broad" reservoir of disease. Would add another layer of protection for immunosuppressed children. 

Moderna said the vaccine’s efficacy against symptomatic infections was 43.7% in children ages 6 months to 2 years, and 37.5% in children ages 2 to 5.

The efficacy rates were lower than seen during adult testing, which took place before Omicron emerged, but comparable to the real-world effectiveness of two doses of Moderna’s vaccine found among adults during the Omicron wave. Pfizer is soon to release its own pediatric version.

Oil: Up Again -- March 23, 2022

Noted, March 23, 2022, 9:18 p.m. CT:

• Brent: up 1.37%; up $1.66; trading at $123.30.
• WTI: up 1.15%; up $1.32; trading at $116.30.

Is GasBuddy Gaslighting Us? March 23, 2022

Updates

March 24, 2022: aha! Charles Kennedy agrees with me. He is seeing what I am seeing. Link here.   

The four-week rolling average of oil products supplied, the report said, remained almost unchanged last week at 8.82 million bpd. This is a marked departure from patterns of consumption seen over the past six years with the exception of 2020, the lockdown year.

Original Post

 For the past week I've been reading reports that the "demand" for gasoline is surging.

Now, this, today, from the EIA weekly petroleum report. I'm not seeing it.

Link here.