Wednesday, March 3, 2021

Berkshire Hathaway Energy: One Of Warren's Four Jewels -- March 3, 2021

The four jewels, link at Barron's:

  • insurance (Geico), of course
  • Burlington Northern Santa Fe, probably valued at about $140 billion; pays a huge dividend
  • Apple, probably worth about $120 billion
  • Berkshire Hathaway Energy (which pays no dividend);
  • would be the fifth largest utility in the US if it were independent, publicly traded

Nice article, but I liked this comments from Jay Jensen better:

Congratulations to Andrew Bary for his skillful analysis of the value of BHE. $54 billion is probably a very close estimate.

Buffet's annual letter gives us the numbers to see what we are getting for the stock's $580 billion market cap.

We have $290 billion of stocks ($280 plus Heinz Kraft) and $150 billion of cash/short term bonds ($440 billion).


If we add in the value of the Berkshire Hathaway Insurance companies at approximately $140 billion, that sum equals the entire market cap of Berkshire.

Stocks plus cash plus Berkshire insurance equals the entire market cap of the company.That means that Berkshire shareholders get BNSF ($130 billion), BHE ($54 billion), Marmon, and all the other operating companies completely for free

.The annual report was criticized because it was "tone deaf" to the COVID crisis and concerns about racial injustice.We may be getting BNSF, BHE, and Marmon for free, but with $150 billion in cash/short term bonds ... one wonders .... the recent Chevron acquisition was only around $4 billion if I recall correctly. 

Imagine. $150 in your billfold and you spent $4 on a trinket.

More on Chevron here, from TipRanks, March 1, 2021: a compelling oil play with a 5% dividend. This article is chockfull of data; it's a keeper. Archived.

Which Was More Resilient? The Bakken Or The Permian? -- March 3, 2021

Re-posting. 

***********************************
Bakken Vs Permian

At the sidebar at the right, I have a section called "WTI Beatdown." This has to do with the crash in oil prices a year ago (the original post is dated March 9, 2020)  -- even to the point when WTI actually went negative -- which is an anomaly generally not worth mentioning.

At the time I asked which was more resilient: the Bakken or the Permian?

June 15, 2020: Argus Media calls it -- the Permian wins.

Perhaps Argus Media was premature in its call.

Now this, from Reuters: COP is still working torestore Permian oil output after freeze. 

I think one can safely assume that if one of the best names in the business is still trying to thaw out in the Permian, it's the same for the other Permian operators.

What about the Bakken, you ask? From the linked article:

Houston-based ConocoPhillips has restored, all of its Eagle Ford, Texas crude output back online and most of its production in the Bakken shale basin in North Dakota and Montana, chief economist Helen Currie said during CERAWeek by IHS Markit.
So, perhaps, with a 100-year freeze put into the equation, the Bakken is more resilient than the Permian.

"Runs" Data For CLR's Anna Wells In Last Chance Oil Field Have Been Updated -- March 3, 2021

January, 2021, data posted.

Link here.

Runs:

  • December, 2020: 13,570
  • January, 2021: 15,235
  • 12.2% increase month-over-month

***********************************
Bakken Vs Permian

At the sidebar at the right, I have a section called "WTI Beatdown." This has to do with the crash in oil prices a year ago (the original post is dated March 9, 2020)  -- even to the point when WTI actually went negative -- which is an anomaly generally not worth mentioning.

At the time I asked which was more resilient: the Bakken or the Permian?

June 15, 2020: Argus Media calls it -- the Permian wins.

Perhaps Argus Media was premature in its call.

Now this, from Reuters: COP is still working torestore Permian oil output after freeze. 

I think one can safely assume that if one of the best names in the business is still trying to thaw out in the Permian, it's the same for the other Permian operators.

What about the Bakken, you ask? From the linked article:

Houston-based ConocoPhillips has restored, all of its Eagle Ford, Texas crude output back online and most of its production in the Bakken shale basin in North Dakota and Montana, chief economist Helen Currie said during CERAWeek by IHS Markit.

So, perhaps, with a 100-year freeze put into the equation, the Bakken is more resilient than the Permian.

Just saying.

Tuesday, March 2, 2021

A Zavanna Panther Well Has Just Gone Over 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- March 2, 2021

This page will not be updated.

The Zavanna Panther wells in Stony Creek are tracked here.

The well:

  • 21226, 996, Zavanna, Panther 16-21 1H, Stony Creek, t4/12; cum 509K 12/20; off line 5/19; remains off line 10/19; back on line 2/20; nice jump in production; 

Note jump in production back in 2020 when neighboring wells were fracked:

BAKKEN10-20203193038810151583223218457416
BAKKEN9-20202866696310116472077511464238
BAKKEN8-202031950085441648825947156801029
BAKKEN7-202031101339183193152402712807671
BAKKEN6-20203081897259191941754212577416
BAKKEN5-20203182527253237991807012033363
BAKKEN4-2020286802618430585159148737221
BAKKEN3-20203172106350559031300312314225
BAKKEN2-2020399291835262317225517
BAKKEN1-20200000000
BAKKEN12-20190000000
BAKKEN11-20190000000
BAKKEN10-20190000000
BAKKEN9-20190000000
BAKKEN8-20190000000
BAKKEN7-20190000000
BAKKEN6-20190000000
BAKKEN5-2019261912210917672301184272
BAKKEN4-20193021242099219320951342306
BAKKEN3-20193023892692219828391529863

Gasoline Demand Soaring Before Governor Abbot Removes All -- Repeat, All -- Restrictions -- March 2, 2021

Link here. 


U.S. gasoline demand jumped last week to the highest level since the COVID-19 pandemic started, with demand this past Sunday up by 18.2 percent compared to the previous Sunday, according to GasBuddy data.

According to final numbers from Sunday, Pay with GasBuddy showed that U.S. gasoline demand rose by 18.2 percent versus the prior Sunday, Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis for GasBuddy, tweeted on Tuesday.

Sunday’s gasoline demand was 5.7 percent higher than the previously highest Sunday since the pandemic started, which was October 18, 2020.

Timeline:

  • February 15, 2021: Texas deep freeze
  • February 18, 2021: power back on in most places; many places in Texas still without water
  • February 28, 2021: gasoline demand at highest level since pandemic started; demand this past Sunday (February 28, 2021) up almost 20% versus the prior Sunday (February 21, 2021)
  • Sunday's gasoline demand was almost 6% higher than the previously highest Sunday (October 18, 2020) since the pandemic started;