Saturday, February 4, 2017

The Defnition Of Insanity -- February 4, 2017

Income per capita among US states: New Mexico, #43
GDP, US states: New Mexico, #37
Economy of all us states, ranked: New Mexico, #48

From PennEnergy, data points:
  • state legislature to consider increasing by more than four-fold the amount of renewable enrgy from sources such as wind and solar by 2040
  • bill would gradually increase the share of renewable energy to 80% of power supplies by 204
  • "state utility regulators would continue to monitor the affordability of new electricity supplies"

White Butte Oil (Slawson) Wells Have Been Updated -- February 4, 2017

Link here for White Butte Oil's Panzer and Meerkat wells.

In addition, Sedalia's triple lateral well targeting the Madison northeast of Minot has been updated.

Reality Sucks! Ford F-150 Raptor Already Sold Out -- February 4, 2017


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What A Great Country

The Ford F-150 Raptor: over at The Wall Street Journal:
While it's majestic in every direction, the 2017 Ford F-150 Raptor pickup is especially awing in width, in its improbable distance from one shining headlamp to the other. This, the second coming of Ford’s delightfully frivolous man-toy, or “high-performance off-road truck,” starts life with an already ample F-150 steel frame, widened with a half-foot gusset of structural steel down the middle.

Truck nuts—you don’t mind if I call you that?—will recognize the Raptor’s widescreen aesthetic as inspired by Baja trophy trucks, which are not trucks at all but specialized tube-frame racers, driven by insane millionaires who have lost all feeling in their buttocks. The added span between the wheels has distinct mechanical advantages having to do with high-speed off-roading and wheel articulation, which I’ll get to as soon as the Raptor brings back the sun.

Oh man, somebody took their girthy pills. The front fenders bulge bigly over the BF Goodrich all-terrain tires, which themselves stand almost 3 feet tall. The truck’s self-love is celebrated with blueprint-like block lettering, FORD, spanning the grille as if it were written in Panavision (and at night, bracketed by torrid amber light bars). 
Best comment:

It Just Keeps Getting Better And Better; Another Trump Success Story; Making America Great Again -- February 4, 2017

This is almost comical, if it were not so serious and wonderful, how projects that took years to review, are now being approved days after Trump takes office.

It sort of reminds me of the Iranian hostage situation. But instead of US diplomats being held hostage by a foreign nation, domestic big oil and natural gas projects were being held hostage by an angry president and a befuddled bureaucracy.

In addition to being angry, the former president was predictably unpredictable (unlike our current unpredictably unpredictable president): even if a project was approved, and even supported by his SecState, he would step in at the last minute, like a deus ex machina in a Greek tragedy and kill the project.

So, here we have an excellent example: a review that took almost two years which forced multiple delays, is approved within the first two weeks of the Trump presidency.

From Bloomberg, the data points:
  • Williams
  • $3 billion, 200 miles ($15 million / mile)
  • Atlantic Sunrise natural gas pipeline expansion project in the Northeast; along the Eastern Seaboard
  • will serve seven (7) million homes
  • 670 days for clearance; under Obama, the time to approve such projects jumped from 359 days to 429 days (let's see that number four years from now)
  • will begin construction in mid-2017
  • in time for the 2017 - 2018 winter heating season
Also, this:
Williams is among the U.S. pipeline developers proposing massive expansions of America’s gas pipeline system to accommodate supplies flowing out of the Marcellus and Utica shale basins in the eastern U.S. Production there has outpaced the capacity to deliver the fuel to markets.
If the review of Atlantic Sunrise had dragged on after Bay’s departure, Williams would have faced months of delays, according to David Wochner, a partner at the Washington-based law firm K&L Gates. It could take as long as 60 days for President Donald Trump’s administration to fill the vacancy on the energy commission and restore a quorum, he said.
And, as usual, much more at the link, including:
Cabot and Seneca Resources Corp. are among the largest gas producers with contracts for space on Atlantic Sunrise.
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Japan's LNG Market Beckons US Exporters

WSJ, data points:
  • US LNG has been shipped to Japan for decades, but milestone --
  • January, 2016: first LNG from lower 48 states in the US; first LNG shipment derived from American shale gas
  • Japan is world's biggest buyer of LNG; 85 million tons/year on giant tankers
  • in response to Fukushima disaster in 2011; pushed most reactors offline; accounted for 44% of Japans electricity in year ended March, 2016
  • 2016: Japan; $30 billion importing LNG
  • US has $60 billion trade deficit with Japan in 2016
  • US competing with Australia for Japan's market
  • story mentions Rick Perry; LNG from Texas export terminals 
  • article does not mention expanded Panama Canal
Do you remember this New York Times article on the likely failure of the Panama Canal expansion?

Making America Greater Than Ever Before, T+15; February 4, 2017

Active rigs;


2/4/201702/04/201602/04/201502/04/201402/04/2013
Active Rigs4044140190184

Scott Adams: Berkeley and Hitler.
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Making America greater than ever before: US transparency reversal stings Canadian, European oil firms. From Rigzone:
  • Senate, Friday: passed a resolution to overturn the "resource extraction rule," an Obama administration regulation that required companies to disclose taxes and other payments to foreign governments
  • President Trump expected to soon sign the resolution killing the rule
  • the rule was among a handful of regulations ushered in during the final months of Obama's presidency
  • overturning the regulation leaves the Canadian and European natural resource companies with far more stringent reporting standards for payments to foreign governments than US behemoths like Exxon Mobil and Chevron
  • could provide American companies a glimpse of their rivals' negotiating tactics around the globe, without having to tip their hands in return
Much more at the link.

So much could be said; there are so many story lines here; just best to move on. But again, President Trump working at making American greater than ever before.

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FERC's Last Acts
From Rigzone: FERC approves construction of Energy Transfer Partners LP's Rover natural gas pipeline from Pennsylvania to Ontario.
  • 3.25 billion cfpd project
  • $4.2 billion project 
  • to come on line 2Q17
Again, much more at the link. Making American greater than ever before.

By the way, there was another pipeline along the southern border approved; if I find the story again, I will post it. Yes, here it is, over at Twitter:

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Russia May Speed Up Production Cuts

From Reuters via Rigzone:
  • in January, Russia cut by 100,000 bopd
  • plans to deepen the reduction to 300,000 bopd by the end of April