Locator: 50652IRAN.
Conflicting Opinions
April 29, 2026: all of a sudden, after the story below was published, a gazillion outlets said, "hey, not so fast." This is not big deal. Link here.
This will be fascinating to watch. One drone hit on one Qatar facility, and the country pretty much shuts down LNG exports, and Iran was hit for a month by US military, and now a blockade, and a gazillion media outlets said Iran will do just fine. Okay.
The interesting thing, until Trump got into the sanctions business, the UN and the EU thrived on sanctions as the go-to policy to change behavior. I guess now that Trump is doing it, the UN and the EU are arguing it won't work. LOL. Hey, that reminds me, take a look at this link: https://x.com/BjornLomborg/status/2049446147282846069.
Original Post
Sent to me by a reader. Thank you so much. This is amazing. It explains "everything." Well, maybe not everything, but certainly a lot. This starts to provide a timeline.
Trump, unfortunately uses so much hyperbole, we never know what's really going on. But even his hyperbole can point us in the right direction.
Some data points:
- they say the blockade is costing Iran $500 million / day;
- they say storage is running out on Kharg Island; Iran will have to start shutting in oil wells.
Trump says he received a memo from Iran overnight suggesting their country is in collapse. One would doubt Iran leaders would say that but perhaps based on what they said, Trump was able to read between the lines and surmise that, yes, the Iranians were admitting their country was "in collapse."
Take all those data points and then connect them with the story that a reader sent me earlier today. It all starts to make sense. The dots connect.
Again, the link. Archived here.
