Locator: 48743MIDEAST.
Occasional Updates
June 15, 2025: Israel has moved into the second phase of the offensive. The first phase continues. The second phase begins: Israel will target Iran’s infrastructure to produce / deliver energy to be used for domestic uses. Expect Tehran to go “dark” for the rest of the war. Israel can’t stop cellular satellite transmissions but Israel can stop the ability of Iranians to recharge their cell phones and other mobile devices.
June 15, 2025: I find Trump's daily tweets for Iran and Israel to ""make a deal" entirely not useful. Israel's goal: regime change, or failing that, put Iran back 25 years. But folks thinking there's any chance of "regime change" are either playing you or have no clue about the Islamic faithful.
June 15, 2025: taking a page from the Houthis. If the Houthis closed the Red Sea by targeting ships, might Israel close the Hormuz by taking out Iran's infrastructure in the area.
Original Post
Drums of war leading up to this. Link here.
Oil up $3.50 in some markets.
SecState Rubio says US not involved.
Israel says it “coordinated” with Washington, DC, before Israeli jets launched.
It appears “social media” evenly divided on how Americans hope this ends.
US has diverted 10s of thousands of drones from Ukraine to US forces in the Mideast.
Israeli Forces: “At the end of the operation there will be no nuclear threat.” [The IDF never exaggerates.]
Current indications: this “war” will end quickly. Quickly: less than 10 days.
Saudi Crown Prince MBS:
"The Ayatollah wants to create a project in the Middle East like Hitler. Many countries didn't realize how dangerous Hitler was until it was too late. Saudi Arabia does not want nuclear bombs. But, if Iran developed a nuclear bomb, we will follow suit."
IRAN’S CHIEF OF STAFF Mohammad Bagheri reportedly eliminated.
North of Tehran.
An entire penthouse has been destroyed. These are allocated for high ranking regime figures.
Amazing: US news networks not reporting much. “HANNITY” may be best site for breaking news.
Israeli attack will go on for days.
Entire Iranian Air Force will be destroyed. Probably within 24 hours.
Israel military: think Ukraine on steroids.
US warns Iran not to attack US assets in the Mideast.
Trump won’t sit by idly if any military asset attacked by Iran. US assets in Diego Garcia likely at end of runway (EOR0.
Oil — WTI — is up $5.63.
Iran is on its own. Russia is in NO position to come to Iran’s aid. And Putin is certainly no diplomat.
Time for US reporters in DC to start monitoring pizza deliveries to the Pentagon.
Iranian sources are claiming all of Iran’s S-300’s have been destroyed, the only systems that could intercept ballistic missiles. They also claim over 100 strikes have hit Tehran alone with explosions ongoing.
Israel attacks the IRGC's largest missile site in Khorramabad as well as Imam Ali missile base. Additional strikes at Kerman power plant, Natanz nuclear facility and in Kermanshah.
There are also explosions in Baghdad and unconfirmed reports that American tankers refueling Israeli fighter jets.
Iran leadership confirms: IRGC chief in Iran has been killed. Amazing Iran would confirm that. Suggests Iran may be getting ready to pivot.
Pre-emptive kill chain.
Most agree that headlines in two weeks would have been: Iran has first nuclear weapon.
It’s telling that Iran has not yet militarily responded. No attacks on US assets in Mideast reported yet.
5:00 a.m. in Mideast; 9:00 p.m. here in Texas. Daylight in Tehran. Generally Islamic forces can’t fight at night.
“Hannity” off the air; news turned over to Trace Gallagher.
Israel has launched second wave. 9:00 p.m CT.
IDF: “We are just getting started.”
Iran most likely in touch with US to seek diplomatic solution to stop Israel attack.
Netanyahu: “This will take as many days as required.”
WTI up $8.00. Trading at $76.23.
