Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Vaccination Rollout -- Update, January 26, 2021

This is the raw data from the CDC:


A

B

C

D

E

F


Doses of vaccine distributed to health facilities

Change from day before

Vaccinations given

Change from day before

Percent of doses given/doses received over previous 24 hours

Percent of distributed vaccine that is actually administered








January 26, 2021

44,394,075

2,975,750

23,540,994

806,751

27.11%

53.03%

January 25, 2021

41,418,325

6,775

22,734,243

885,588

13071.41%

54.89%

January 24, 2021

41,411,550

0

21,848,655

1,310,665


52.76%

January 23, 2021

41,411,550

1,519,150

20,537,990

696,269

45.83%

49.59%

January 22, 2021

39,892,400

1,932,400

19,841,721

1,392,433

72.06%

49.74%

January 21, 2021

37,960,000

1,969,850

18,449,288

1,924,007

97.67%

48.60%

January 20, 2021

35,990,150


16,525,281



45.92%

What do you think? Are you getting a warm fuzzy from these numbers?

I honestly don't know what these CDC numbers in the chart below mean. However note column E -- the number of doses reported to be administered in the past 24 hours. The trend is concerning:


A

B

C

D

E

F


Total Doses Administered

Number of People Receiving 1 Or More Doses

Number of People Receiving 2 Doses

Number of People Considered Fully Immunized

Delta: Difference in daily doses from prep day

Percent (B+C)/A

January 26, 2021

23,504,994

19,902,237

3,481,921


770,751.00

99.49%

January 25, 2021

22,734,243

19,252,279

3,346,390


885,588.00

99.40%

Jan 24, 2021

21,848,655

18,502,131

3,216,836


1,310,665.00

99.41%

Jan 23, 2021

20,537,990

17,390,345

3,027,865


1,430,031.00

99.42%

Jan 22, 2021

19,107,959

16,243,093

2,756,953



99.44%

Now that you have a chance to look at the top spreadsheet, see if you agree or disagree:

  • the goal is one million vaccinations / day for the next 100 days;
  • January 24, 2021, was an anomaly -- it was a Sunday and the anomaly is related to weekend reporting;
  • likewise, January 25, 2021, was also an anomaly -- it was a Monday after a weekend; county health offices were playing catch-up;
  • earlier I said of the last four days, today, the numbers for today, Tuesday, January 26, 2021, is the most important day of the four; it's the first weekday that finally captures the four-day period:
  • so, let's look look at the four day total for Saturday, Sunday, Monday and Tuesday: 4,501,675
  • average for four days: 1,125,419 doses administered per day
  • looks pretty good, huh, reaching that one million doses/day;
  • what shocked me was the delta of 806,751, Tuesday (today) over Monday (yesterday) (see the second chart.

The next day that will be very important, Friday, January 29, 2021.

On another note, the governor of New York says they are short vaccines. If they had more vaccine, they could deliver more. From Bloomberg, the percent of supply used:

  • North Dakota (#1): 86.7%
  • West Virginia (#2): 85%
  • New Mexico (#3): 79.5%
  • South Dakota (#4): 77.4%
  • New York: 63.3%
  • Minnesota: 51%
  • California: 49.7%
  • Kansas (dead last): 45.2%

***************************************
"Seasonal Flu" -- Eradicated

Link here.

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