Vaccination Rollout -- Update, January 26, 2021

This is the raw data from the CDC:

	A	B	C	D	E	F
	Doses of vaccine distributed to health facilities	Change from day before	Vaccinations given	Change from day before	Percent of doses given/doses received over previous 24 hours	Percent of distributed vaccine that is actually administered
January 26, 2021	44,394,075	2,975,750	23,540,994	806,751	27.11%	53.03%
January 25, 2021	41,418,325	6,775	22,734,243	885,588	13071.41%	54.89%
January 24, 2021	41,411,550	0	21,848,655	1,310,665		52.76%
January 23, 2021	41,411,550	1,519,150	20,537,990	696,269	45.83%	49.59%
January 22, 2021	39,892,400	1,932,400	19,841,721	1,392,433	72.06%	49.74%
January 21, 2021	37,960,000	1,969,850	18,449,288	1,924,007	97.67%	48.60%
January 20, 2021	35,990,150		16,525,281			45.92%

What do you think? Are you getting a warm fuzzy from these numbers?

I honestly don't know what these CDC numbers in the chart below mean. However note column E -- the number of doses reported to be administered in the past 24 hours. The trend is concerning:

	A	B	C	D	E	F
	Total Doses Administered	Number of People Receiving 1 Or More Doses	Number of People Receiving 2 Doses	Number of People Considered Fully Immunized	Delta: Difference in daily doses from prep day	Percent (B+C)/A
January 26, 2021	23,504,994	19,902,237	3,481,921		770,751.00	99.49%
January 25, 2021	22,734,243	19,252,279	3,346,390		885,588.00	99.40%
Jan 24, 2021	21,848,655	18,502,131	3,216,836		1,310,665.00	99.41%
Jan 23, 2021	20,537,990	17,390,345	3,027,865		1,430,031.00	99.42%
Jan 22, 2021	19,107,959	16,243,093	2,756,953			99.44%

Now that you have a chance to look at the top spreadsheet, see if you agree or disagree:

• the goal is one million vaccinations / day for the next 100 days;
• January 24, 2021, was an anomaly -- it was a Sunday and the anomaly is related to weekend reporting;
• likewise, January 25, 2021, was also an anomaly -- it was a Monday after a weekend; county health offices were playing catch-up;
• earlier I said of the last four days, today, the numbers for today, Tuesday, January 26, 2021, is the most important day of the four; it's the first weekday that finally captures the four-day period:
• so, let's look look at the four day total for Saturday, Sunday, Monday and Tuesday: 4,501,675
• average for four days: 1,125,419 doses administered per day
• looks pretty good, huh, reaching that one million doses/day;
• what shocked me was the delta of 806,751, Tuesday (today) over Monday (yesterday) (see the second chart.

The next day that will be very important, Friday, January 29, 2021.

On another note, the governor of New York says they are short vaccines. If they had more vaccine, they could deliver more. From Bloomberg, the percent of supply used:

• North Dakota (#1): 86.7%
• West Virginia (#2): 85%
• New Mexico (#3): 79.5%
  
• South Dakota (#4): 77.4%
• New York: 63.3%
• Minnesota: 51%
• California: 49.7%
• Kansas (dead last): 45.2%

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"Seasonal Flu" -- Eradicated

Link here.