Tuesday, June 2, 2020

Wuhan Flu: The Michigan Update -- June 2, 2020

One month ago, May 2, 2020, I said I would look in again on Michigan's experience with Wuhan flu. The state seems "out of control" on this issue and the governor seems to be seen as a bit "nutty" by any number of observers, so I thought it would be interesting to see where Michigan is with regard to Wuhan flu a month later.

So, here we go.

Apparently, within the last 24 - 48 hours, the governor abruptly lifted the state's lockdown orders, but will still require social distancing, masks, etc. The headline suggests Michigan is coming in line with the rest of the nation.

On May 2, 2020, I ranked the top ten states based on new deaths in 24 hours on a per capita basis. Michigan was ranked fourth. One month later, Michigan ranked eighth in number of new deaths in 24 hours on a per capita basis.

This is just a snapshot, one 24-hour period, comparing May 2, 2020, with June 2, 2020 (I'm using "yesterday" results because results for "today" won't be posted until tomorrow):

Deaths - May 2, 2020
State population in 100K
New Deaths Over Past 24 Hours
Total Deaths
% new deaths in this state vs top 11 states
% total deaths in this state vs top 11 states
Total Deaths/100K population
Total Deaths/100K as Precent Among Top 11 States
New Deaths/Million Populaton
NJ
90
204
7742
15.86%
14%
86.02
14%
23
CT
40
97
2436
7.54%
4%
60.90
4%
24
MA
70
130
3846
10.11%
7%
54.94
7%
19
MI
100
154
4020
11.98%
7%
40.20
7%
15
NY
200
299
24368
23.25%
45%
121.84
45%
15
PA
130
125
2776
9.72%
5%
21.35
5%
10
IL
130
102
2559
7.93%
5%
19.68
5%
8
LA
40
23
1993
1.79%
4%
49.83
4%
6
FL
220
50
1364
3.89%
3%
6.20
3%
2
CA
400
77
2188
5.99%
4%
5.47
4%
2
TX
300
25
874
1.94%
2%
2.91
2%
1









Deaths - June 2, 2020
State population in 100K
New Deaths Over Past 24 Hours
Total Deaths
% new deaths in this state vs top 11 states
% total deaths in this state vs top 11 states
Total Deaths/100K population
Total Deaths/100K as Precent Among Top 11 States
New Deaths/Million Populaton
MA
70
189
7035
36.14%
9%
100.50
9%
27
NY
200
70
29968
13.38%
39%
149.84
39%
4
OH
120
52
2214
9.94%
3%
18.45
3%
4
CA
400
47
4287
8.99%
6%
10.72
6%
1
GA
106
36
2089
6.88%
3%
19.71
3%
3
MI
100
25
5516
4.78%
7%
55.16
7%
3
IL
130
22
5412
4.21%
7%
41.63
7%
2
NJ
90
21
11732
4.02%
15%
130.36
15%
2
IA
30
21
556
4.02%
1%
18.53
1%
7
PA
130
20
5598
3.82%
7%
43.06
7%
2
MD
60
20
2552
3.82%
3%
42.53
3%
3

Massachusetts is an outlier; it had a huge spike yesterday. It reported 189 deaths overnight and corrected for population that is a huge jump. When one sees a huge jump like this, one wonders if it is reporting anomaly. Was this for the weekend? Later: this looks like an anomaly. Looking at Massachusetts data one day later, Massachusetts drops well down the list.



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