Wuhan Flu: The Michigan Update -- June 2, 2020

One month ago, May 2, 2020, I said I would look in again on Michigan's experience with Wuhan flu. The state seems "out of control" on this issue and the governor seems to be seen as a bit "nutty" by any number of observers, so I thought it would be interesting to see where Michigan is with regard to Wuhan flu a month later.

So, here we go.

Apparently, within the last 24 - 48 hours, the governor abruptly lifted the state's lockdown orders, but will still require social distancing, masks, etc. The headline suggests Michigan is coming in line with the rest of the nation.

On May 2, 2020, I ranked the top ten states based on new deaths in 24 hours on a per capita basis. Michigan was ranked fourth. One month later, Michigan ranked eighth in number of new deaths in 24 hours on a per capita basis.

This is just a snapshot, one 24-hour period, comparing May 2, 2020, with June 2, 2020 (I'm using "yesterday" results because results for "today" won't be posted until tomorrow):

Deaths - May 2, 2020	State population in 100K	New Deaths Over Past 24 Hours	Total Deaths	% new deaths in this state vs top 11 states	% total deaths in this state vs top 11 states	Total Deaths/100K population	Total Deaths/100K as Precent Among Top 11 States	New Deaths/Million Populaton
NJ	90	204	7742	15.86%	14%	86.02	14%	23
CT	40	97	2436	7.54%	4%	60.90	4%	24
MA	70	130	3846	10.11%	7%	54.94	7%	19
MI	100	154	4020	11.98%	7%	40.20	7%	15
NY	200	299	24368	23.25%	45%	121.84	45%	15
PA	130	125	2776	9.72%	5%	21.35	5%	10
IL	130	102	2559	7.93%	5%	19.68	5%	8
LA	40	23	1993	1.79%	4%	49.83	4%	6
FL	220	50	1364	3.89%	3%	6.20	3%	2
CA	400	77	2188	5.99%	4%	5.47	4%	2
TX	300	25	874	1.94%	2%	2.91	2%	1
Deaths - June 2, 2020	State population in 100K	New Deaths Over Past 24 Hours	Total Deaths	% new deaths in this state vs top 11 states	% total deaths in this state vs top 11 states	Total Deaths/100K population	Total Deaths/100K as Precent Among Top 11 States	New Deaths/Million Populaton
MA	70	189	7035	36.14%	9%	100.50	9%	27
NY	200	70	29968	13.38%	39%	149.84	39%	4
OH	120	52	2214	9.94%	3%	18.45	3%	4
CA	400	47	4287	8.99%	6%	10.72	6%	1
GA	106	36	2089	6.88%	3%	19.71	3%	3
MI	100	25	5516	4.78%	7%	55.16	7%	3
IL	130	22	5412	4.21%	7%	41.63	7%	2
NJ	90	21	11732	4.02%	15%	130.36	15%	2
IA	30	21	556	4.02%	1%	18.53	1%	7
PA	130	20	5598	3.82%	7%	43.06	7%	2
MD	60	20	2552	3.82%	3%	42.53	3%	3

Massachusetts is an outlier; it had a huge spike yesterday. It reported 189 deaths overnight and corrected for population that is a huge jump. When one sees a huge jump like this, one wonders if it is reporting anomaly. Was this for the weekend? Later: this looks like an anomaly. Looking at Massachusetts data one day later, Massachusetts drops well down the list.