Monday, March 26, 2018

Random Update Of CLR's Bud Wells In Crazy Man Creek -- March 26, 2018

Disclaimer: in a long note like this there will be factual and typographical errors. In addition, I could have mixed up some of the data (production data, frack data, etc) but I doubt it. When I see a jump in production in a horizontal well 1,320 feet away it makes me think I recorded something incorrectly, but I think it's all correct. I certainly appreciate any feedback if any of the data is incorrect.

At this post, I posted the production data for #19424 -- but looking at it now, not quite sure why I posted it. Whatever.

With updated production, it's time to look at it again.

There is no evidence that any of the wells below have been re-fracked. FracFocus has no data for a re-fracks; and, there are no sundry forms suggesting the three older wells were recently re-fracked. But the production has jumped so much it's hard to believe these wells have not been re-fracked.

In addition, note the distance between the wells. Pay attention to which wells are middle Bakken (MB) and which are Three Forks (TF).

The graphics:






The first well of interest:
  • 19424, 662, CLR, Bud 1-19H, Crazy Man Creek, API - 33-105-01935, t3/11; cum 381K 1/18;
Recent production profile:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20182677917921869613167157611591
BAKKEN12-20172813162132621402619878694912929
BAKKEN11-201730174591750916240292681017519093
BAKKEN10-201730238102341423116296751493914736
BAKKEN9-201716490551791038974774956982
BAKKEN8-20172613529132632550018914110277887
BAKKEN7-20170000000
BAKKEN6-20170000000
BAKKEN5-20170000000
BAKKEN4-20170000000
BAKKEN3-20177579717453547283264
BAKKEN2-20171720141870116119701360610
BAKKEN1-2017411293315150
BAKKEN12-201626246325071213284328430
BAKKEN11-201630323730481950435943590


Original production after initial completion:
BAKKEN11-2011307802837825821030646885618
BAKKEN10-2011319327860128881099286182374
BAKKEN9-20112993529836298011374113740
BAKKEN8-2011311113211157364412967119331034
BAKKEN7-2011309319923233631033775062831
BAKKEN6-201126113951117538751178742311364
BAKKEN5-201123540153401918603606036
BAKKEN4-201130780381273903876008760
BAKKEN3-20112212972122702862975609756
BAKKEN2-2011723523502330233

Recent neighboring fracks:
  • 30239, middle Bakken, fracked 3/25/17 - 4/7/17, frack data: 9,927,082 gallons, 88.97% water; 10.9% sand;
  • 30240, Three Forks, 1st bench, fracked 3/26/17 and 7/4/17 - 7/12/17; frack data: 7,026,667 gallons, 88.7% water; 10.9% sand;
  • note: 10 million gallons of water in one well, a big frack but not "out of bounds"; 7 million gallons of water in the other well, a moderate frack
What about the other two wells of interest, #28937 and #28938? Frack data:
  • 28937, fracked once, back in 2014
  • 28938, fracked once, back in 2014
Recent production data for these two wells.
#28937 TF (huge jump in production, but delayed a month or two compared to wells above):
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2018318953898584351217953811424
BAKKEN12-20173111082108931043617702258314894
BAKKEN11-2017301476415149151842284621322393
BAKKEN10-2017249091876011863136882613493
BAKKEN9-201730900260021405
BAKKEN8-201731135053873761303
BAKKEN7-20171840841365404362950
BAKKEN6-201727468649938845579355840
BAKKEN5-201717336929797762397438380
BAKKEN4-201720033200
BAKKEN3-20172330183275276438002766417

#28938 MB (minimal, if any, jump in production):
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2018139021084105225200#30240)
BAKKEN12-20173143094527374259302135
BAKKEN11-20173057675800540770345255747
BAKKEN10-20173169827106708583051107408
BAKKEN9-201730337732494602454503784
BAKKEN8-201731559956336247326902488
BAKKEN7-20172332773219449022341314316
BAKKEN6-20173057055572563739302886119
BAKKEN5-20171729572629327214489060
BAKKEN4-201720060400
BAKKEN3-201725474649284713623251230
BAKKEN2-201728563360704805993297380
BAKKEN1-201725569752034672365734780

Bottom line:
  • no evidence that three wells of interest were re-fracked, but production in one of them (#19424) is so high, it's  hard to believe it was not re-fracked; a second well had a large jump but not as big; the third well had minimal (if any) jump in production
  • the oldest well was 633 feet away from the new (2017) fracks
  • #28937  - a Three Forks well -- had a huge jump in production; it was about 1,320 feet from a middle Bakken well and about 1,380 feet from another Three Forks well (#30240)
  • 1,320 feet / 1,380 feet is about twice what I normally seen between older fracked wells and newer fracked wells with bump in production after newer wells fracked
Disclaimer: in a long note like this there will be factual and typographical errors. In addition, I could have mixed up some of the data (production data, frack data, etc) but I doubt it. When I see a jump in production in a horizontal well 1,320 feet away it makes me think I recorded something incorrectly, but I think it's all correct. I certainly appreciate any feedback if any of the data is incorrect.'

Note: if what I have posted is correct, and if what I see is correct, this has huge implications for the Bakken and the Three Forks.

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