Random Update Of CLR's Bud Wells In Crazy Man Creek -- March 26, 2018

Disclaimer: in a long note like this there will be factual and typographical errors. In addition, I could have mixed up some of the data (production data, frack data, etc) but I doubt it. When I see a jump in production in a horizontal well 1,320 feet away it makes me think I recorded something incorrectly, but I think it's all correct. I certainly appreciate any feedback if any of the data is incorrect.

At this post, I posted the production data for #19424 -- but looking at it now, not quite sure why I posted it. Whatever.

With updated production, it's time to look at it again.

There is no evidence that any of the wells below have been re-fracked. FracFocus has no data for a re-fracks; and, there are no sundry forms suggesting the three older wells were recently re-fracked. But the production has jumped so much it's hard to believe these wells have not been re-fracked.

In addition, note the distance between the wells. Pay attention to which wells are middle Bakken (MB) and which are Three Forks (TF).

The graphics:

The first well of interest:

• 19424, 662, CLR, Bud 1-19H, Crazy Man Creek, API - 33-105-01935, t3/11; cum 381K 1/18;

Recent production profile:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2018	26	7791	7921	8696	13167	1576	11591
BAKKEN	12-2017	28	13162	13262	14026	19878	6949	12929
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	17459	17509	16240	29268	10175	19093
BAKKEN	10-2017	30	23810	23414	23116	29675	14939	14736
BAKKEN	9-2017	16	4905	5179	10389	7477	495	6982
BAKKEN	8-2017	26	13529	13263	25500	18914	11027	7887
BAKKEN	7-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	7	579	717	453	547	283	264
BAKKEN	2-2017	17	2014	1870	1161	1970	1360	610
BAKKEN	1-2017	4	11	293	3	15	15	0
BAKKEN	12-2016	26	2463	2507	1213	2843	2843	0
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	3237	3048	1950	4359	4359	0

Original production after initial completion:

BAKKEN	11-2011	30	7802	8378	2582	10306	4688	5618
BAKKEN	10-2011	31	9327	8601	2888	10992	8618	2374
BAKKEN	9-2011	29	9352	9836	2980	11374	11374	0
BAKKEN	8-2011	31	11132	11157	3644	12967	11933	1034
BAKKEN	7-2011	30	9319	9232	3363	10337	7506	2831
BAKKEN	6-2011	26	11395	11175	3875	11787	423	11364
BAKKEN	5-2011	23	5401	5340	1918	6036	0	6036
BAKKEN	4-2011	30	7803	8127	3903	8760	0	8760
BAKKEN	3-2011	22	12972	12270	2862	9756	0	9756
BAKKEN	2-2011	7	235	235	0	233	0	233

Recent neighboring fracks:

• 30239, middle Bakken, fracked 3/25/17 - 4/7/17, frack data: 9,927,082 gallons, 88.97% water; 10.9% sand;
• 30240, Three Forks, 1st bench, fracked 3/26/17 and 7/4/17 - 7/12/17; frack data: 7,026,667 gallons, 88.7% water; 10.9% sand;
• note: 10 million gallons of water in one well, a big frack but not "out of bounds"; 7 million gallons of water in the other well, a moderate frack

What about the other two wells of interest, #28937 and #28938? Frack data:

• 28937, fracked once, back in 2014
• 28938, fracked once, back in 2014

Recent production data for these two wells.
#28937 TF (huge jump in production, but delayed a month or two compared to wells above):

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	8953	8985	8435	12179	538	11424
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	11082	10893	10436	17702	2583	14894
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	14764	15149	15184	22846	213	22393
BAKKEN	10-2017	24	9091	8760	11863	13688	26	13493
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	90	0	2600	214	0	5
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	135	0	5387	376	130	3
BAKKEN	7-2017	18	408	413	6540	436	295	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	27	4686	4993	8845	5793	5584	0
BAKKEN	5-2017	17	3369	2979	7762	3974	3838	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	2	0	0	33	2	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	23	3018	3275	2764	3800	2766	417

#28938 MB (minimal, if any, jump in production):

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2018	13	902	1084	1052	2520	0	#30240)
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	4309	4527	3742	5930	2135
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	5767	5800	5407	7034	525	5747
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	6982	7106	7085	8305	110	7408
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	3377	3249	4602	4545	0	3784
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	5599	5633	6247	3269	0	2488
BAKKEN	7-2017	23	3277	3219	4490	2234	1314	316
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	5705	5572	5637	3930	2886	119
BAKKEN	5-2017	17	2957	2629	3272	1448	906	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	2	0	0	60	4	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	25	4746	4928	4713	6232	5123	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	5633	6070	4805	9932	9738	0
BAKKEN	1-2017	25	5697	5203	4672	3657	3478	0

Bottom line:

• no evidence that three wells of interest were re-fracked, but production in one of them (#19424) is so high, it's  hard to believe it was not re-fracked; a second well had a large jump but not as big; the third well had minimal (if any) jump in production
• the oldest well was 633 feet away from the new (2017) fracks
• #28937  - a Three Forks well -- had a huge jump in production; it was about 1,320 feet from a middle Bakken well and about 1,380 feet from another Three Forks well (#30240)
• 1,320 feet / 1,380 feet is about twice what I normally seen between older fracked wells and newer fracked wells with bump in production after newer wells fracked

Disclaimer: in a long note like this there will be factual and typographical errors. In addition, I could have mixed up some of the data (production data, frack data, etc) but I doubt it. When I see a jump in production in a horizontal well 1,320 feet away it makes me think I recorded something incorrectly, but I think it's all correct. I certainly appreciate any feedback if any of the data is incorrect.'

Note: if what I have posted is correct, and if what I see is correct, this has huge implications for the Bakken and the Three Forks.