Covid-19, "Seasonal Flu," A New Season And New Vaccines -- October 21, 2022

For background, see these two posts:

• the leading cause of death, for those agd 45 - 54, last year: Covid-19
• has anyone actually looked at the PIC graph? 

The weekly US influenza surveillance report, October 21, 2022, has just been released.

I wonder if anyone is paying attention. 

This is only October. Height of "seasonal flu" season is January, February time frame, and already:

And, then, look at this, the graph below: this is the percentage of outpatient visits for all respiratory illnesses for all seasons beginning with the 2017 - 2018 season, through the Covid-19 seasons (2019 - 2020, 2020 - 2021) and including the 2022 - 2023 season.

The "season" begins with "week 40," far left of the graph. 

The current season, at 3%, is three times higher than the 2021 - 2022 season, one year ago, same point in time. And, the current season is the "worst," by far of all six seasons. 

***********************
"Seasonal" Flu

Viruses come in two different flavors: DNA and RNA.

RNA is, by far, much worse than DNA viruses.

Bad news: both Covid-19 and "seasonal flu" viruses are RNA viruses.

The "seasonal flu" vaccines use old technology and fall short of what is needed.

But good news: both Moderna and Pfizer are in Phase 3 stage trials for mRNA vaccines for "seasonal flu." It takes upwards of eight months to develop a "seasonal flu" vaccine; it is hoped that mRNA vaccine technology will be much faster.

CLR With Ten New Permits; BR Renews 22 Permits; Natural Gas Drops Below $5 -- October 21, 2022

Quite stunning: I hope everyone is paying attention. CLR with ten new permits and BR renews 22 permits. They are anticipating the end of SPR releases, and the beginning of driving season next summer, 2023. 

Active wells: 44.

WTI: $85.05.

Natural gas: $4.959.

Eleven new permits, #39328 - #39338, inclusive:

• Operators: CLR (10): Petro-Hunt
• Fields: Little Knife (Dunn); Charbonneau (McKenzie)
• Comments:
• CLR: see this note;
• Petro-Hunt has a permit for a Mongoose well in Charbonneau field, SESW 8-149-102; 
• to be sited 249 FSL and 1615 FWL

Twenty-six permits renewed:

• BR (22):
• eight Parrish permits, McKenzie County;
• eight Boxer permits, McKenzie County;
• two Rink permits, McKenzie County;
• two Boxstone permits, McKenzie County;
• two Kermit permits, McKenzie
• EOG (2): two Mont permits in Williams County, section 34-155-102;
• Iron Oil Operating (2): two Buffalo permits in McKenzie County;

CLR: Damn The Torpedoes, Full Speed Ahead -- October 21, 2022

In today's daily activity report, CLR with ten new permits, #39328 - #39337, inclusive:

• 39328, conf, CLR, Arthur 6-12H, Little Knife,
• 39329, conf, CLR, Arthur 7-12H1, Little Knife,
• 39330, conf, CLR, Arthur 8-12H, Little Knife,
• 39331, conf, CLR, Arthur 9-12H1, Little Knife,
• 39332, conf, CLR, Arthur 10-12H, Little Knife,
• 39333, conf, CLR, Hegler 6-13H, Little Knife,
  
• 39334, conf, CLR, Hegler 7-13H1, Little Knife,
• 39335, conf, CLR, Hegler 8-13H, Little Knife,
• 39336, conf, CLR, Hegler 9-13H1, Little Knife,
• 39337, conf, CLR, Hegler 10-13H, Little Knife,
  

The wells, location:

• Hegler wells, SWSE 12-146-97; to be sited 323 FSL and between 2626 FWL and 2453 FWL
  
• Arthur wells, SESW 12-146-97; to be sited 324 FSL and between 2401 FWL and 2581 FWL;

The graphics, pending

Existing wells:

• 18748, 718, CLR, Arthur 2-12H, Little Knife, t9/10; cum 241K 8/22;
• 18747, 689, CLR, Hegler 2-13H, Little Knife, t9/110; cum 261K 8/22;
• 18513, 714, CLR, Arthur 1-12H, Little Knife, t9/10; cum 149K 8/22;
• 18515, 418, CLR, Hegler 1-13H, Little Knife, t9/110; cum 149K 8/22;
  

It's going to be so much fun to see the daughter cells be much greater wells than the parent wells, something the "experts" say is not supposed to happen. The big question: will we see the halo effect?

Week 42: October 16, 2022 -- October 22, 2022.

Top story:

• Joe Biden is still president.
  

Top international non-energy story:

• Ukraine war drags on; ninth month.
  

Top international energy story:

• 
  

Top national energy story:

• 
  

Javier Blas:

Focus on fracking: most recent edition.

Top North Dakota non-energy story:

Top North Dakota energy story:

Geoff Simon's top North Dakota energy stories:

• Quick connects.
  

Bakken economy:

Commentary:

Entertainment:

KAG -- Natural Gas -- October 21, 2022

Link here.