Wednesday, March 27, 2019

One Last One And Then Calling It A Day -- Sempra In The News -- March 27, 2019, T+84, Part 5

Link here to S&P Global -- thank goodness Donald J. Trump is president and not Barack or Hillary.

Sempra eyes opportunities to expand North American LNG export potential. From the link:
Sempra Energy is considering renegotiating regasification contracts at a Mexican terminal where it wants to add liquefaction capabilities to allow a potential increase in the LNG export capacity currently envisioned there.
The effort reflects the San Diego-based utility and energy infrastructure developer's confidence in the direction of commercial talks it is having with potential offtakers to support the LNG project at Energia Costa Azul in Baja California. It also is building market interest in a proposed export terminal in Texas and a second phase at the Louisiana terminal where it is preparing to start up its first train.
Making America great. Okay, have to take a break.

Good luck to all. 

US Gulf Coast: Joins Russia, OPEC, And US As Major Export "Country" -- March 27, 2019, T+84, Part 4

It looks like we have Saudi Arabia, Russia, the US, and now .... drum roll ... the US Gulf Coast. The US gulf coast is "set to become a net crude oil exporting region for the first time in a quarterly basis, signaling a shift in global oil flows."

Saudi Arabia, Russia, the US, and now, the US Gulf Coast. Making America great again. Data points:
  • 4x expansion
    • 2017: one VLCC loading at a gulf coast port every six days
    • 2018: four VLCC's every six days -- one word -- wow! One phrase: making America great.
    • 2019: 53 VLCC over 77 days, which comes out to about 4 VLCC's every six days;
  • buyers?
    • South Korea: now #1 of US oil
    • China
    • Canada
  • How big a deal? Right now, as we speak --
    • 50 million bbls of US crude moving east
    • 23 VLCCs
    • 3 Suezmax tankers
  • US gulf coast ports
    • only one can currently handle VLCCs directly: the LOOP
    • Ingleside, Texas, has been expanded, and soon able to handle VLCCs directly
    • another project, COLT, a larger one, is in the planning stage in Texas
      • $800 million 
    • awaiting regulatory approval (thank goodness Trump is president, and not Obama -- that's not political; that's reality)
    • seven more export terminal expansion projects planned
Meanwhile, there are suggestions that this story was started / spread by Saudi Arabia: impurities in American light oil force South Korea to reject US imports.
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Metroplex Dining

Our favorite restaurants:
  • Sushi: Kura in Plano; May could go every day; I could go two or three times/week, but on any given day, it's also my favorite and go-to restaurant; thank goodness it's a 20-minute freeway drive, otherwise it would be a daily lunch destination
  • Brio: Italian in Southlake, TX -- once a week if I didn't feel so guilty about the "cost"; so, once every two weeks
  • Copeland's: New Orleans/Creole fare, also in Southlake, TX, at Hilton's -- at least once a month, but probably not the Sunday buffett
  • Cheesecake factory: not for me; everyone in the family loves it; for cheesecake, I prefer Copeland's
  • Hopdoddy's: only place I will go for "hamburgers"; I get the sushi-grade tuna burger
  • the one place I won't go: Applebee's -- amazing how they haven't figured out the "service" thing
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Apple

It's a long story and an embarrassing story, but bottom line is I needed a new keyboard for an older Apple laptop.

I brought it to the Apple store in Southlake on Monday, two days ago. In less than ten minutes, I was seen, and given a quote. I gave them the computer and was told it would be "serviced off-site." I expected two weeks turnaround time.

Today, at noon, I got an e-mail alerting me the computer was ready to be picked up; less than 48 hours from time of drop-off. The Apple person said they would notify me if anything needed fixing other than the agreed-upon quote.

No notification. It turns out they don't return a computer unless every item is checked out and every item that needs "fixing" is corrected. And they don't charge more than the original quote.

Wow, they returned a practically new computer, including a new keyboard (my only concern) along with a new logic board, and a new aluminum case (I had dropped it years ago and it had a small ding in it -- never caused any operational problem).

Yes, it was expensive, but it was the agreed-upon estimate. Maybe it would have been better to put the money toward a new computer, but for half the price, I got a brand new computer as far as I was concerned.

Yes, again, I paid top dollar for the "fix" and I doubt most people would have been happy, but I was thrilled. We're talking a dollar a day for a year. I have never been disappointed with Apple. But it is expensive.

[By the way, I didn't need the computer. I have a new laptop and an old laptop. The latter meets my needs but the new laptop is so cool. So now, Sophia has a computer she can call her own.

What a great country.

On another note, it's "fun" to observe the personalities of the Apple staff. The more "challenging" the problem, the more "qualified" the Apple associate. I dealt with four different Apple associates over the past four days and they were all incredibly good and I could tell they were at their particular "station" because they had the right skill set.

By the way: I'm so glad everything was backed up.

March 27, 2019, T+84, Part 3

Link here for past stories on SABIC.

Apparently it's official: Saudi Aramco has merged with SABIC. Well, I guess -- it depends on the definition of "merge." Data points:
  • Aramco has acquired a 70% stake in SABIC
  • estimated value of its investment: $69 billion -- let's call it $70 billion
  • Aramco acquired the funds from the Saudi Public Investment Fund
  • can you say "three-card Monte"?
  • SABIC: one of the most defensive, non-cyclical segments
Whatever, time to move on.

And we move on to Canada. Apparently, Imperial isn't waiting for pipelines to be built. LOL. Canad's Imperial Oil "has managed" to restart CBR from Alberta. Apparently "economic" under current conditions. If western Canadian oil is "economic" under current conditions, one wonders just how good the operators in the Bakken are doing.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

Chess: Barnes and Noble's Busy Book sets -- the Norwegian trolls vs the Coco family. I played Coco. Sophia played the trolls. Three guesses, who won? The first two guesses don't count.



When It Rains, It Pours -- Hard To Keep Up With All That Is Happening This Week -- March 27, 2019, T+84, Part 2


Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

Open-book test: I started suggesting this several months ago. It will be interesting to see how this plays out. From twitter today:


Maxine: I'll fact-check this later tonight but I heard on talk radio today that Mad Maxine is starting to walk back her comments about "impeaching Trump," suggesting that, according to her, it was only a small group talking about "impeaching Trump."
The fact that Nancy Pelosi was dialing back "impeachment" talk two months ago, one wonders if she got advance information from Mueller. I was in the USAF for 30 years and worked among the highest level of the DOD hierarchy/bureaucracy the last nine years of my life, and have a pretty good feeling for how these things play out. For a two-year investigation of a president, Mueller had to start letting folks know several weeks before, perhaps several months before, the report was released, that it was going to be a big nothing-burger. Had he hinted to Nancy Pelosi that major crimes were committed, it's very possible Pelosi's comments on impeachment would have been very different. Re-constructing the events of the past six months becomes curiouser and curiouser.
Ratings: I can hardly wait for Drudge to report the cable news ratings this week.

Brexit: all done at the end of this week? The tea leaves suggest so. 

Reason #1 Why I Love To Blog -- Feedback From Readers -- March 27, 2019

Updates

May 2, 2019: an update.

March 28, 2019: an update. 

Original Post 

A reader sent me this earlier today. From the reader:
I thought you might enjoy this example of the Bakken being awesome.
More Rolf wells were recently drilled and fracked which produced this result on an existing well. This month it it produced 23,432. The new Rolf and Springfield wells have been capped, perhaps awaiting the new gas plant being built on section 16 in Brooklyn Township.
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2019301963619251588552552224915220
BAKKEN12-20185462435229230882
BAKKEN11-20180000000
BAKKEN10-20180000000
BAKKEN9-201841452658733526720
BAKKEN8-20183114891614885344130250
BAKKEN7-20182912841147691292125460
BAKKEN6-20183016221673896359831930

The graphic:


Other wells in the graphic: (I'll complete the data later)
  • 34768, conf, CLR, 33-105-04751, Helena 8-7HSL1, Brooklyn,
  • 34694, conf, CLR, 33-105-04731 Springfield 2-8HSL, Brooklyn,
  • 34693, conf, CLR, 33-105-04730 Springfield 3-8H1, Brooklyn,
  • 34692, conf, CLR, 33-105-04729, Springfield 4-8H, Brooklyn,  
  • 34691, conf, CLR, 33-105-04728, Springfield 5-8H1, Brooklyn,
  • 34690, conf, CLR, 33-105-04727, Springfield 6-8H1, Brooklyn, 

  • 34698, conf, CLR, 33-105-04735, Rolf ... , Brooklyn, 
  • 34697, conf, CLR, 33-105-04734, Rolf ... , Brooklyn,
  • 34696, conf, CLR, 33-105-04733, Rolf ... , Brooklyn,
  • 34695, conf, CLR, 33-105-04732, Rolf ... , Brooklyn,