Saturday, March 14, 2026

The Strait Is Open -- Polymarket - 5:00 p.m. CT -- March 14, 2026

Locator: 50226EPICFURY.

March 14, 2026, 5:00 p.m.:

This is what can be achieved when the president has credibility. Apparently just the thought that Trump might take Kharg Island with 2,500 US Marines was enough to bring Iran to their senses. 

This could be an interesting turn of events for the Sunday morning news shows if reported accurately that Iran has opened the strait to all vessels other than American or Israeli: 

  • two days ago: Iran doubles down on closing the strait.
  • yesterday: Iran says vessels paying in Chinese currency will have safe passages
  • early today: Iran says Indian vessels will have safe passage through the strait
  • later today: Iran says all vessels except those of Israel and America have safe passage though the strait.

The new supreme leader, the son of the former supreme leader was said to be more "hardline" than his father and just days earlier double-downed keeping the strait closed, while increasing attacks on all countries in the region. All of a sudden -- a 180-degree turn -- announcing the strait is open, suggests that the new supreme leader is greatly compromised one way or another. This was completely unexpected -- an announcement by the Iranians that the strait is now open.

This is absolutely fascinating.