Monday, March 6, 2023

What Everybody Forgets -- March 6, 2023

Updates

Later, 7:13 p.m. CT: in the original post below, I mentioned that we would likely hear from Peter Zeihan. And here it is: so much is packed into this short note:


Again, the folks most interested in this war:

  • US Army: wanna bet US (human) assets are embedded in Ukraine ground operations?
  • USAF airborne reconnaissance; airborne intel; airborne command and control. Wanna bet Ukraine "observers" are flying on our AWACS?

Original Post

Ukraine is Putin's Vietnam.

When "we" saw the news this morning, some might have been alarmed / sad (except, of course those who are rooting for Putin to win) but there's always more to the story.

Some folks suggest Putin plans to "wear out" the Ukrainians. No such luck. Putin's army will be worn out first. 

Ukraine military forces can drop back, and then re-attack. This can go on for years. 

US intel and EU logistics will make it impossible for a third-rate military to succeed. We will probably hear more from Peter Zeihan on this note.

Speaking of those who are rooting for Putin to win reminded me. The leader of the US House was on CNBC this morning. He did himself and the GOP no favors if he / the GOP hopes to "win" the "debt ceiling" war.

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