We made it through the night.
Some local outages overnight in Texas, including some in our county, but our neighborhood was fine.
We've kept the furnace off about 99% of the time throughout the duration of the polar vortex / cyclone bomb / deep freeze. The furnace is turned on for a few minutes when we get up to take off the chill, but then we turn it off again.
This morning, thermostat said it was 62°F in the apartment. We were toasty warm overnight in bed. Furnace is now on to take off the chill.
ERCOT is forecast to easily handle demand today. Temperature will get up to 36°F today and continually post new highs per the 10-day forecast though it will continue to drop just below freezing the next three nights.
PJM and ISO NE did not fare so well. [Holy mackerel: I just looked at ISO NE -- just like Saudi Arabia, burning oil to produce electricity. In the mix, oil is at 29% -- which is clearly a record. Solar is contributing just slightly less than wind. About 9% x 26% = wind and solar together accounting for two percent of New England's electricity. Demand is fairly normal.
The data suggests NE simply ran out of (or is running out of) natural gas.
Lots to post, but not in the mood. Just enjoying the opportunity to sleep in but wanted everyone to know we're safe.
Coffee in a few minutes.
By the way, the #1 gift this Christmas. A Starbucks card. It is estimated that one of every six Americans will get a Starbucks gift card this year.
We have a Keurig. Three choices: Amazon's brand, Solimo; Donut Shop; and Starbucks. I might add McCafe to the mix this year.
NFL: eleven games today, noon and ~ 3:00 p.m. starts, including the Dallas Cowboys at 3:25. Chiefs at noon. Nothing worth watching Sunday (three games) or Monday (one game).
Lego: I'm so toast warm in bed this morning, I don't want to get up and I certainly don't want to go out, but our local Lego reseller, open 10:00 a.m. to 3:00 p.m. will have a lot of specials.
Belk: sales will be incredible. Generally running 60% to 70% off right now.
Amazon delivering on time despite the freeze. A huge Lego package arrived yesterday.
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So Much Work Left In The Bakken
During the boom, 250 active rigs and 2,000 wells drilled per year.
Now, 45 active rigs and 600 wells being drilled per year.
Production in 2022 will greatly exceed production in 2010.
Above, the Antelope-Sanish may be the best field in the Bakken.
Below, the Bailey oil field.
16611, 428, MRO, Carlson 21-29H, Bailey, t10/07; cum 500K 10/22;
Initial production, 2007:
| BAKKEN | 5-2008 | 31 | 5219 | 5598 | 962 | 3207 | 3207 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 4-2008 | 30 | 3968 | 3657 | 727 | 1789 | 1789 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 3-2008 | 16 | 2439 | 2517 | 1058 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 2-2008 | 29 | 3597 | 3430 | 757 | 327 | 327 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 1-2008 | 31 | 4122 | 4310 | 914 | 227 | 227 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 12-2007 | 31 | 4924 | 5089 | 1207 | 540 | 540 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 11-2007 | 30 | 5139 | 4948 | 1075 | 1183 | 1183 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 10-2007 | 29 | 7644 | 7989 | 2493 | 1202 | 1202 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 9-2007 | 4 | 1794 | 967 | 1240 | 469 | 469 | 0 |
Re-frack, 2015:
| BAKKEN | 9-2015 | 30 | 12644 | 12581 | 5793 | 9432 | 6491 | 1408 |
| BAKKEN | 8-2015 | 31 | 10030 | 10121 | 5034 | 8076 | 6529 | 302 |
| BAKKEN | 7-2015 | 31 | 15224 | 15209 | 8612 | 12745 | 10588 | 344 |
| BAKKEN | 6-2015 | 30 | 18132 | 18447 | 12833 | 14088 | 9918 | 2050 |
| BAKKEN | 5-2015 | 22 | 3381 | 3205 | 3485 | 2760 | 1259 | 1020 |
| BAKKEN | 4-2015 | 18 | 2298 | 2292 | 3025 | 1492 | 154 | 984 |
| BAKKEN | 3-2015 | 11 | 1343 | 1106 | 1947 | 957 | 144 | 611 |
| BAKKEN | 2-2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 1-2015 | 1 | 2 | 230 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| BAKKEN | 12-2014 | 4 | 107 | 0 | 20 | 146 | 65 | 49 |
Current production:
| Pool | Date | Days | BBLS Oil | Runs | BBLS Water | MCF Prod | MCF Sold | Vent/Flare |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAKKEN | 10-2022 | 31 | 2148 | 2095 | 1167 | 3284 | 227 | 2686 |
| BAKKEN | 9-2022 | 30 | 2103 | 2114 | 1181 | 3278 | 2909 | 8 |
| BAKKEN | 8-2022 | 31 | 2171 | 2098 | 1215 | 3393 | 3017 | 0 |
| BAKKEN | 7-2022 | 31 | 2294 | 2461 | 1263 | 3424 | 3032 | 6 |
| BAKKEN | 6-2022 | 28 | 2238 | 2232 | 1202 | 2656 | 1383 | 929 |
| BAKKEN | 5-2022 | 27 | 2695 | 2720 | 1330 | 2783 | 1349 | 1067 |
| BAKKEN | 4-2022 | 19 | 1173 | 1037 | 808 | 1725 | 1340 | 194 |
| BAKKEN | 3-2022 | 31 | 3016 | 2929 | 1521 | 3486 | 3020 | 30 |
| BAKKEN | 2-2022 | 20 | 1804 | 1800 | 1179 | 1708 | 1149 | 292 |
| BAKKEN | 1-2022 | 14 | 855 | 853 | 513 | 858 | 539 | 164 |
| BAKKEN | 12-2021 | 31 | 1964 | 2016 | 966 | 1933 | 1360 | 230 |
| BAKKEN | 11-2021 | 30 | 1978 | 1929 | 1117 | 1938 | 1316 | 301 |
| BAKKEN | 10-2021 | 31 | 1630 | 1648 | 869 | 1731 | 1379 | 48 |
In 2015, the frack:
- 30 stages; 3.1 million pounds proppant (a small frack)
In 2015, the well was re-entered and a new lateral was drilled:
In 2007, original spud:
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