Monday, March 7, 2022

We'll Talk About This Later, Inshallah -- March 7, 2022

Link here.

Twitter feed: everyone is now chiming in, including Saudi Aramco. Panic! Without Russian oil there is less than 2% spare capacity. I'm surprised there's any spare capacity without Russian oil. I doubted there was any spare capacity even before the Biden ban on oil.

But getting back to that graphic above. We've been through this before. Some years ago when oil was surging, Saudi Arabia again said it wasn't going to open the taps to give away there wealth. LOL. If they had the capacity, the reserves, the ability, they would sell all they could at these prices and then invest the profits in US blue chip companies with great dividends and guarantee a revenue stream for generations to come. 

But, some will say, they were able to flood the market a few year ago (2014 - 2016) when they tried to "break" US shale. If you go back and look at data for that period, you will find that flood of oil came out of storage; it was not new drilling. Their inventories right now are at relative historic lows. 

No, Saudi Arabia is not laying down rigs to preserve their oil wealth for future generations. They don't even think like that. Their thinking is tied up in one word: inshallah. 

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.