Sunday, August 23, 2020

Observations On Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- August 23, 2020

Most interesting:

  • KODA Resources SWD will report;

On a tear:

  • MRO -- perhaps the most exciting driller in the Bakken right now

Not surprising:

  • the most exciting field right now? Reunion Bay. Shouldn't be surprising, who "owns" it? MRO.

Big family names back in the news, including:

Again, huge wells being reported, but not as big as in some past weeks.

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Radiocarbon Dating

From Appendix 1, Stonehenge: A New Interpretation of Prehistoric Man and the Cosmos, John North, c. 1996.
Radiocarbon dates are always qualified with an indication of their statistical accuracy. For example, a radiocarbon date of 2180 + 105 bc is usually understood as implying that there is a 68.3 percent chance that the date of the object lies between 2285 and 2075 bc

This is a statistical uncertainty known as one standard deviation. Other ranges of uncertainty are sometimes used, but then they are stated explicitly. A growing tendency is to opt for two standard deviations, or 95.4 percent confidence.

The reason for the unfamiliar lower case of the letters 'bc' is that the first calibrations of the rate of [carbon 14] decay, made in the 1950s and 1960s, were found to be in error. [It is amazing that the atomic bomb and the hydrogen bomb worked the first time as predicted despite all these inaccuracies.]

This [inaccuracy] was suspected, for example, from reasonably well-dated Egyptian materials. 

Rather than attempt to revise at regular intervals all old dating in calendar terms, a distinction is made between calendar dates (quoted as BC) and radiocarbon dates produced in the old way (bc), and the precise correlation of the two is under constant review.

The very long-lived tree, the Californian Bristlecone Pine, has been of greatest value in this revision

In all strictness it may occasionally be necessary to split a range of probably dates into two ranges, separated by an interval where the true date is unlikely to have fallen. Many writers quote calendar dates 'before the present' (BP), by which they usually mean 'before 1950.0'. 

How long this odd custom will continue is a matter of great uncertainty. [😏]

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