Saturday, June 15, 2019

Central England -- On Course For Its 17th Coldest June In 360 Years Of Records -- June 15, 2019

Link here.

I probably would not have posted this but for the fact that I have some very fond memories of north England.

From the linked article:
It’s been a truly miserable run-up to summer for folks in the UK so far, with official data revealing England is currently on for it’s 17th coldest June in records dating back to 1659.

The Central England Temperature (CET) record measures the monthly mean surface air temperatures for the Midlands region of England, and is the longest series of monthly temperature observations in existence.

It’s current mean reading for June 2019 (provisional to the 14th) is 12.6C (54.7F) — that’s 1C below the historically cool 1961-1990 average, the current standard period of reference for climatological data used by the WMO.

In recent years, only the June’s of 1991, 1977 and 1971 ran colder. Before that, you have to back to 1923, 1916, 1908, 1906, 1860, 1823, 1821, 1749, 1745, 1725, 1705, 1698 and 1689 to find cooler months of June.

This month’s cold temperatures and reduced sunlight hours will have already hampered the growth of many open-field crops, which in turn will pile further pressure on already surging commodity markets following the inclement-weather-related planting issues in Australia, America, Africa and China.
In addition, 2019’s frigid June comes on the back of an historically cool May.
Last month came in an 11.1C — or bang on average against the cold period of 1961-1990.
Much more at the link.

Bottom line, according to the article: The cold times are returning, as the sun enters it’s next Grand Solar Minimum cycle.

Meanwhile,  from the National Weather Service (US government): solar cycle 25 will  be below average, simlar to solar cycle 24.

Date of that link: April 5, 2019.
Scientists charged with predicting the Sun’s activity for the next 11-year solar cycle say that it’s likely to be weak, much like the current one. The current solar cycle, Cycle 24, is declining and predicted to reach solar minimum - the period when the Sun is least active - late in 2019 or 2020.
Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel experts said Solar Cycle 25 may have a slow start, but is anticipated to peak with solar maximum occurring between 2023 and 2026, and a sunspot range of 95 to 130. This is well below the average number of sunspots, which typically ranges from 140 to 220 sunspots per solar cycle.
The panel has high confidence that the coming cycle should break the trend of weakening solar activity seen over the past four cycles.
This could give us a reprieve of sorts. Occasional-Cortex says we have less than twelve years to act; Beto, another global warming expert, says was have less then ten years. 

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