Thursday, June 15, 2017

SoCal Summer Electric Grid Is Iffy -- FERC -- June 15, 2017

Updates

June 16, 2017: is this the real reason California needs to ban gasoline/diesel engines and go to EVs. From the LA Times:  
Air quality officials warned Thursday of “very unhealthy” smog levels in the coming days as a heat wave envelops Southern California and primes the region for a bout of unusually high and widespread pollution.
Levels of ozone — the lung-damaging gas in smog — are likely to reach “unhealthy to very unhealthy” levels in the Santa Clarita, San Fernando and San Gabriel valleys, Inland Empire and the San Bernardino and San Gabriel mountains, according to the South Coast Air Quality Management District.

The health warnings come as Southern California has experienced an increase in bad air days following decades of improving air quality.
Last year the region experienced its worst smog season in years, logging 132 bad air days and ozone concentrations not seen since 2009.
So far this year the South Coast basin, the coast-to-mountains expanse of 17 million people across Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside and San Bernardino counties, has violated federal ozone standards on 44 days.
The air district in March adopted a plan to clean smog to federal standards by 2031 that, to be successful, will require boosting local, state and federal spending on cleaner vehicles by more than tenfold to $1 billion a year.
Original Post

This is one of several states that wants intermittent energy (solar, wind) to provide all electricity for the state by 2035 or some such year.

This is the state where today less than 5% of all new automobile sales are EVs/hybrids but wants to have nearly 100% of all automobiles EVs by 2035 or some such year.

In other words, this state has some grand plans for intermittent energy. Good luck.

Today, from SeekingAlpha: Southern California power supply at risk this summer, FERC says
  • natural gas constraints in Southern California could pose a risk to the region's power supply this summer, while New England and Texas could face tight electricity supplies, according to the FERC
  • the agency's summer reliability assessment forecasts power resources should be adequate to meet demand in most regions this summer, but restrictions at the Aliso Canyon storage facility could pose a risk to gas and electric reliability in Southern California, especially if hotter than normal weather conditions and unplanned gas pipeline outages materialize during the summer.
In the military we called this "triple-P": piss-poor planning.

Be that as it may, the story at SeekingAlpha speaks volumes.  Thank goodness Ivanpah is finally up and running.

Clearly, California has some big dreams.

California Dreamin', The Mamas and The Papas

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