Tuesday, March 14, 2017

Winter Storm Stella Rolls Into The Northeast -- March 14, 2017

Updates

Later, 8:24 p.m. Central Time: in the big scheme of things, the forecasters screwed up again. The storm was big but not all that big and certainly not very big for DC, NYC, or Boston. Huge screw-up. I'm getting tired of these guys predicting 0.2 increase in global temperature 100 years from now when they can't even get a two-day forecast correct.

Later, 8:20 a.m. Central Time: yup. Moments ago I posted that DC, NYC, and Beantown would be spared the worst of Stella. Now, over at Drudge: "blizzard bust for NYC; storm shifts; DC gets dusting." The storm was hyped for the past week; it will be bad but apparently not for the major urban centers along the east coast, and yet we know the science is settled: the earth will be 0.2 degrees warmer 100 years from now based on the Algore weather model on a server in Hillary's basement. Algore received a Nobel medal for this model (actually for a PowerPoint presentation).  Other links at Drudge:
  • totals so far: 4 inches Central Park
  • 8,000+ flight cancellations (by the way, Delta was still flying out of Philadelphia)
  • overreaction?
Original 

ISO Express: electricity is free; at 2 cents/kwh, 6:00 a.m. Everything shut down in the northeast due to storm? I don't know what to make of this. Will check in later. Track winds here. Track flights here.

Winter storm Stella: it looks like the models over-hyped the effect on urban areas of Boston, NYC, and Washington, DC. Right now it appears all three cities may escape the brunt of the snow as the video now shows the "snow line" shifting to the northwest. Video from Boston right now: everything shut down, and there's almost no snow on the ground. Having said that, the storm is yet to reach its peak. -- posted at 8:16 a.m. Central Time. 

Active rigs:


3/14/201703/14/201603/14/201503/14/201403/14/2013
Active Rigs4531112191187

RBN Energy: natural gas takeaway capacity in SCOOP/STACK, the series continues.

Scott Adams: two more movies on on screen.

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