Friday, February 24, 2017

Bakken 2.0: Taking Bakken Wells Off-Line For Two Months Can Result In Record Production -- February 24, 2017

For background to this post, please see these two earlier posts:
When you visit those posts, take a look at the production profiles and the graphics.

For those who don't have time to check out older posts, note the production profile for this well since March, 2016 (it was originally fracked in late, 2011):
  • 19548, 508, BR, Gudmunson 1-26H, Elidah oil field, t10/11; cum 175K 12/16;
Monthly Production Data

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2016251231012164122821290077415159
BAKKEN11-20161688198931193941019462293965
BAKKEN10-201651114743382542540
BAKKEN9-20163013541152498321832180
BAKKEN8-20163112201138695289528950
BAKKEN7-20163113861360535331033100
BAKKEN6-201628102611424582293227815
BAKKEN5-20163111981335517284028400
BAKKEN4-2016301172915484281128110
BAKKEN3-20163112921356525184518450

This well is now five or six years old. We should not be seeing this kind of production after five years of production: the "dreaded Bakken decline.'

In November, 2016, the 16 days of production extrapolates out to an incredible 16,535 bbls of oil for a 30-day month without being fracked or re-fracked. For December, note only 25 days which extrapolates out to 15,264 bo for the full 31-day month. And this does not include the natural gas.

The data for January, 2017, is not yet posted by the NDIC, but according to a reader, this well flowed at 18,769 bo for the month of January, 2017 (see below). We will confirm later that this was BO and not BOE.

At 1,000 bbls of oil/month prior to being shut in, this well produced more than 12,000 bbls in the first (almost) full month after coming back on-line -- in other words, more than the entire preceding year produced in one month.  

This production jump came after the well was taken off line for less than two months and so much pressure built up in that time period, we had record-setting production for this well.

Amazing.

A reader with interests in this well wrote:
This is unbelievable……the oil companies should shut every well in for a month and then watch the production skyrocket.

Yes, I am referring back to the Gudmunson wells in McKenzie County.  The one I am most interested in now is the Gudmunson 1-26H file, #19548.

We just received our pay stub for this well for the month of January and the well flowed 18,769 barrels of oil.

The well started producing in September of 2011 and this is the highest monthly amount flowed ever.

And all of this happened after four other wells were fracked in that area.  In fact, the amount produced this month is more than the well produced for the whole year prior to being taken off line for the fracking of the other Gudmunson wells in that area.

Amazing what a month off line will do……
I wrote back to the reader. I will post my reply at a later date, but don't want to take away from the reader's note. 

And so it goes. Bakken 2.0.

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Four Strong Winds

I got some nice feedback from an earlier video of Judy Collins/Someday Soon. 

For a follow-up, I prefer the studio version of this song but the visuals for this performance (video below) are incredible.

For the last verse, they bring on Judy Collins, Emmylou Harris, Gordon Lightfoot, and, Murray McLauchlan. Perhaps I'm reading too much into this, but watching her eyes very, very closely (especially at 2:25 and following) suggests that Sylvia still has very strong feelings for Ian. Ian has moved on. Emotionally.


Four Strong Winds, Ian and Sylvia

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