Monday, October 5, 2015

Random Update Of A Well Showing Significant Jump In Production -- Simply Magic? -- October 5, 2015

Updates

March 27, 2016: these wells have now been updated, and are now tracked here

November 8, 2015: production profiles have been updated; now includes another month (August, 2015) of production. 

Original Post
 
I'm just throwing this out there. I am doing it quickly. There may be other explanations. I may be misreading something. In short, there may be all kinds of errors on this page. I will come back to it later if necessary. If this information is important to you, go to the source. I would be interested in comments from folks with knowledge of these CLR Bridger wells.

A reader alerted me to this well about one month ago before the data was available (see below). Look at the production profile for the past year. Note the jump in production in August, 2015, after it came back on line. Nothing was done directly to this well to explain this jump in production. There was no work-over rig, for example on this pad during the month of July, 2015:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-2015261330613330161611574197835958
BAKKEN7-201592312252224434430
BAKKEN6-2015301276133346019251817108
BAKKEN5-2015311390133546817861631155
BAKKEN4-2015301395133652718921569323
BAKKEN3-201531163917955852142209052
BAKKEN2-2015282021206768319931761232
BAKKEN1-201593682402583483480
BAKKEN12-20143115241788632214221420
BAKKEN11-201430160615976122110208723
BAKKEN10-20143115621382542188218820
BAKKEN9-2014301481181550218361658178
BAKKEN8-201431157913555672022193587

The production profile above is from this well:
  • 19013, 399, CLR, Bridger 2-14H, Rattlesnake, t12/10; cum 172K 8/15; this well is a THREE FORKS well.
Okay, so you've seen the production profile of that well for the past few months.

Now the next thing.

On 7/11/15, a "neighboring" well was fracked: 30 stages; 6 million lbs;
  • 29554, 290, CLR, Bridger 4-14H2, Rattlesnake, t7/15; cum -- ; this well is also a THREE FORKS well (B1 in the permit application).
Note where these two horizontals are in the graphic below. Note the three horizontals under discussion. There is a middle Bakken horizontal running between the two THREE FORKS horizontals. 

The Three Forks horizontals are 950' apart once the horizontals "straighten out" and run directly to the north. 

Production in the middle Bakken did not show any appreciable jump in production.



So here we have an old well, #19013, that sees a jump in production from about 1,300 bbls/month to 13,000 bbls/month (10x increase in production) and it seems to have just happened magically. 

Again, a reader (thank you, very much) alerted me to this possibility a month ago. 

Also, some other information about Rattlesnake Point.  

By the way, I have another example of where the halo effect might have been in play with other Three Forks wells, as far as 2,000 feet apart, the Stroh wells that are among the "things that need to be followed up." 

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