Saturday, September 14, 2024

A Musical Interlude -- September 14, 2024

Locator: 48588MUSIC.

Link here.

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The Book Page
 

The Columbian Exchange:

See The Horse: A Galloping History of Humanity, Timothy C. Winegard, c. 2024, p. 6.  

Another horse book for the bookshelf.   

"Running roughshod": a 17th century term. Described a horse that wore shoes with projecting nailheads. This gave the horse better traction while also creating a more lethal trampling weapon. Over time the term evolved to mean "attaining one's goals or desires by completely ignoring the opinions, rights, or feelings of others."

Among a gazillion other things I could mention from the book, perhaps the most important is introducing me to Brian Fagan

Also, from page 12: "... in 1866 the millionaire financier, banker, and philanthropist George Peabody donated $150,000 ($3 million in today's money) for the construction of the Peabody Museum of Natural History at Yale University." And then a footnote:

"Having no legitimate heir to his vast business enterprise, Peabody partnered with Junius Spencer Morgan in 1854. Their joint venture would eventually become J.P. Morgan & Co., the predecessor to three of the largest banking institutions in the world: JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Deutsche Bank. Peabody is also considered the first modern philanthropist."

Friday, September 13, 2024

Week 37: September 9, 2024 -- September 15, 2024

Locator: 48587TOPSTORIES. 

Top story

  • woman of color defeats Trump in debate
  • national polls: neck and neck
  • where "it" will be decided: Pennsylvania

Top international non-energy story:

  • Mideast: same ol', same ol'.
  • Ukraine: same ol', same ol'.

Top international energy story:

  • WTI: struggles; settles below $70.

Top national non-energy story:

  • CNBC can't quit talking about a rate cut, risk of inflation; gets tedious.
  • Fed rate cut: 25 basis points (75% chance); 50 basis points (25%)

Top national energy story:

  • WTI dropped to as low as $66

Focus on fracking: current link here. Generally updated late Sunday night.

Top North Dakota non-energy story:

Top North Dakota energy story:

Geoff Simon's quick connectslink here.

The market in a nutshell: At the close --

Only One New Permit Today -- September 13, 2024

Locator: 48586B.  

WTI: $68.65.

Active rigs: 39.

One new permit, today:

  • 41136, loc, Hunt Oil, Alexandria 161-100-17-5H-3, SESW 17-161-100, sections 5 / 8 / 17 - 161-100; Alexandria, Divide County

Powder River Basin Play In Converse County, Wyoming, Blocked By Federal Judge -- September 13, 2024

Locator: 48585PRB. 

Converse County, Wyoming -- The Powder River Basin play is tracked here

At that site, note:

September 16, 2018: The U.S. Bureau of Land Management has given final approval of the environmental impact statement on a 3,500-gas well project proposed by Jonah Energy in Wyoming’s Powder River Basin. 

Now, today, it is being reported that a 5,000 well project within a 1.5-million-acre play in Converse County, Wyoming, previously approved by BLM, has been blocked by a federal judge on environmental concerns.

Link here

The agency [the BLM] had approved developing up to 5,000 new oil and natural gas wells within a 1.5 million-acre area in Converse County, Wyoming, over a decade. 

The project is backed by energy companies including Devon Energy and Continental Resources. 

Two environmental groups, the Powder River Basin Council and Western Watersheds Project, sued in 2022, calling the project a "capstone" of efforts by the Trump administration to relieve the fossil fuel industry from environmental safeguards.

How Not To Invest -- September 13, 2024

Locator: 48583INVESTING.

On CNBC right now, a buy-side analyst is still bullish on Boeing. He says his company put Boeing on its "buy list" one year ago, and continues to recommend Boeing. In the past year, apparently, Boeing stock has lost 40% of its value. And now the machinists overwhelmingly voted against the new contract and are out on strike.

If this guy is still invested in Boeing .... oh, wow, what can I say?

It seems there must be a better way to invest than ... well, whatever he's doing. 

I was going to write more but I don't even know where to begin. 

I guess I would think along these lines if I wanted to still remain bullish on Boeing. I would play "would I rather" while waiting:

  • pencil in the amount of cash I would want to invest in Boeing as my starting position;
  • then, pick an equity (alt A) other than Boeing, and ask would I rather, at this point in time, with a six-month time frame would I like to put that cash into Boeing or in "alt A."
  • then, whether it's Boeing or "alt A" play the game again, this time against "alt B.
  • then, repeat.
  • repeat six times.
  • following the sixth iteration, put that penciled-in cash to the equity that is "still standing."
  • Then, follow the Boeing story closely and play the game again every six months.

The biggest problem I have with starting a position in Boeing now or continuing to hold Boeing now is this: it's not as if one's only choice in the equity market is Boeing. There must be a ton of companies that are "in trouble" but have incredible potential. It seems there must be some alternatives to Boeing that meed all the criteria for holding Boeing now, but are better alternatives. 

Wow, I can think of a hundred alternatives to Boeing, and all of them pay a dividend while waiting.

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Disclaimer
Briefly Reminder 

  • This is not an investing site.
  • I have no formal training or education in anything financial.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia.