Sunday, January 3, 2021

Jack Ma -- Missing? January 3, 2021

Scary. Scary. Link here

Global warming smacks Britain. Link here. [London] Daily Mail here.

Less than twelve hours away: Santa Claus rally tracked here. The last two days, Monday / Tuesday -- January 4 and 5, 2021. 

WTI: could it break $50 today?

PFF: this sounds very, very British, and very, very good. Link here. This is truly amazing:

PFF grades every NFL player on every play on a scale of -2 to +2 using half point increments. 
The grades are based on context and performance. 
A four-yard run that gains a first down after two broken tackles will receive a better grade than a four-yard run on 3rd & 5, where the ball carrier does nothing more than expected. A quarterback who makes a good pass that a receiver tips into the arms of a defender will not negatively affect the quarterback's grade on that play, despite the overall negative result for the team. 
Furthermore, grades are separated by play type. 
Beyond just an overall grade, an offensive lineman receives one grade for pass-blocking and one for run-blocking. 
The average grade is meant to be zero, and raw grades are normalized. In watching every game, PFF is also able to record information and create data that is typically unavailable. One example is how frequently individual offensive linemen yield pressure.

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A Musical Interlude And Some Photography

Another bit of serendipity. I enjoyed Powerline at one time but not so much any more; I seldom visit the site except on Saturday morning for the "week in pictures." But when bored, I might stop by. Wow, I'm glad I stopped by this morning. Every Sunday they have a segment on music, always (?) by Scott Johnson. This past Sunday -- I guess it was yesterday -- a piece on Tony Rice. A must read.

Tony Rice on YouTube.

A British guitarist analyzes Tony Rice's technical ability. Another treasure and another example of how lucky we are to have YouTube. I know nothing about string instruments but I nailed it, watching Tony Rice, noting how Tony Rice managed to strum so quickly. 

So, that's that. 

But in YouTube's wisdom, seeing what I was watching, the site thought I would enjoy this clip, recommending that I take a look. I had not seen this Phil Donahue interview with the cast of Steel Magnolias. It was fascinating. I never cared for Phil Donahue but that's okay. One can get past that and enjoy the folks on stage. 

Note: Sally Fields name is misspelled and the uploader failed to mention Olympia Dukakis on stage. 

Phil does pop up in unusual places. Of all things, he shows up in the documentary, Finding Vivian Maier. Link here. The making of the documentary, the story of how this all came about is as interesting as the story of Vivian Maier herself.

Biography of Vivian Maier.

Saudi Arabia's Foreign Exchange Reserves Surge 2.3% -- January 3, 2021

Link here

This is pretty cool. This increase was reported as 2.3% late last week and that turns out to be accurate: 2.314488%:

Back of the envelope:

  • 1674841 million * 0.27 = $452.20707 billion
  • 1713605 million *0.27 =  $462.67335 billion
  • Delta, November over October: $10.46628 billion

Now, let's look at change in price of OPEC basket:

  • October 20, 2020: $41 but by the end of the month had dropped to $39;
  • November 15, 2020: $43 but by the end of the had jumped to $46

$2/bbl * 210 million bbls = $420 million. 

$7/bbl * 210 million bbls = $1.47 billion

Pardon The Interruption! Finally, PBS Brings Back "The Vicar of Dibley" -- Late Night Sunday British Comedies -- January 3, 2021

Wow, wow, wow. Love it. Brings back many, many bittersweet memories. Oh, this looks like the pilot episode, season one, episode one, which I have never seen. OMG. What serendipity that I happened to tune in. 

I may have to open a new bottle of Scotch. LOL. 

The Vicar of Dibley.

"Focus On Fracking" Has Posted; Oil Exports At 40-Week High -- January 3, 2021

Link here.

The lede: oil ends 2020 down 20%; natural gas ends up 15%; oil exports at 40 week high.

A WPX Omaha Woman Is Spectacularly Amazing -- January 3, 2021

The Bakken never ceases to amaze me. I thought an initial production of 82K bbls in the first month of production would be the end of the story, but the second month was almost as good. Remember when Bakken wells were considered to be good wells if they produced 150,000 bbls in the first year. LOL. Look at this.

I track record IPs at this link

The well:

  • 36820, drl/A, WPX, Omaha Woman 24-13-12HC, Squaw Creek, t--; cum 156K over 58 days; ; fracked 8/1/20 - 8/22/20; 8.9 million gallons of water; 84.5% water by mass; five wells on this pad; and look at that, no natural gas vented or flared that first month; good for them; but now, lots of flaring:
    PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
    BAKKEN11-202030737767396055275905965089431658
    BAKKEN10-20202882318819515851162518535750
    BAKKEN9-20200000000
    BAKKEN8-20200000000