Monday, June 15, 2020

EIA's Monthly Dashboards Posted -- June 15, 2020

I'm too exhausted to post it tonight but the EIA monthly drilling and productivity report has been posted.

The link is here.

The EIA dashboard links:
Enjoy.

I would have missed the report but a reader reminded me that they were posted. That reader will report it this next Sunday, Focus on Fracking. 

***********************************
Charlotte Rampling

Well, this is pretty coincidental. I watched Swimming Pool three times this weekend, starring Charlotte Rampling. I really don't know much about her. My wife knows "everything" about these actresses (and actors). She grew up with the movies; I did not.

So, Swimming Pool, Charlotte Rampling (on DVD) this weekend.

This evening on TCM, Farewell, My Lovely. I had seen it before, but never really paid attention. Tonight I watched it more closely. I look forward to watching it again. Robert Mitchum as Philip Marlowe -- as good as, maybe better than, the other guy that played Marlowe. A very young Charlotte Rampling played the femme fatale. She certainly channeled Lauren Bacall. Rampling would have been about 28 years old when she filmed Farewll, My Lovely. She was about 57 years old when she filmed Swimming Pool.

Purely coincidental that I would see her in two movies this weekend/tonight.

Sylvester Stallone, by the way, was in Farewell, My Lovely.

Lauren Bacall, born in 1924. To Have And Have Not, 1944. Bacall would have been about nineteen years old when filming the latter. 
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BR's Cherry Pad In Haystack Butte

The Wells

  • BR has permits for nine wells and an existing well on the Cherry pad in sections 23/24/25/26-147-97, Haystack Butte
    • 37631, ros (1/21)-->conf; Cherry Danish 1U MBH, NWNW 25-149-97, 49' FNL 65' FWL; 33-053-09453; no frack data, 2/21;
    • 37632, conf, BR, Cherry Juice 1T TFH, SWSW 24-149-97, 14' FSL 0' FWL
    • 37633, conf, BR, Cherry Blossom 1S MBH, SESE 23-149-97, 45' FSL 32" FEL
    • 37634, conf, BR, Cherry Pie 1R TFH ULW, SESE 23-149-97, 77' FSL 64" FEL
    • 37635, conf-->drl/drl, BR, Cherry Tree 1Z TFH, SESE 23-149-97, 77' FSL 64' FEL
    • 37636, conf-->drl/drl, BR, Cherry Claire 1Y MBH, NENE 26-149-97, 128' NFL 12' FEL
    • 37637, conf-->drl/drl, , BR, Cherry Margarita 1X TFH, NENE 26-149-97, tr' FNL 77' FEL
    • 37638, conf-->drl/drl, , BR, Cherry Daquiri 1W MBH, NENE 26-149-97, 33' FNL 109' FEL, 33-053-09460, no frack data as of 2/21;
    • 37639, conf-->drl/drl, BR, Cherry Ice Cream 1V TFH, NENE 26-149-97, 1' FNL 141' FEL, 33-053-09461, no frack data as of 2/21;
    • 17402, IA/1,107, BR, Cherry Creek 11-25H, NWNW 25-149-97,  t3/09; cum 210K 7/20; off line 8/20; remains off line 2/21; open hole frack; less than a million lbs;

Updates

February 9, 2022: it appears the BR Cherry pad wells have been drilled to depth, reported as completed DUCs, but no production reported yet. See daily activity report this date.

May 2, 2021: BR is starting to report its "Cherry" wells. 

December 3, 2020: updated graphics at this post. 

Nine new permits, #37631 - #37639, inclusive, June 15, 2020.On December 3, 2020, all wells were noted to be on confidential list with rig on site.

  • Operator: BR
  • Field: Haystack Butte (McKenzie)
  • Comments:
    • BR has permits for nine wells and an existing well on the Cherry pad in sections 23/24/25/26-147-97, Haystack Butte
      • 37631, ros (1/21)-->conf; Cherry Danish 1U MBH, NWNW 25-149-97, 49' FNL 65' FWL; 33-053-09453; no frack data, 2/21;
      • 37632, conf, BR, Cherry Juice 1T TFH, SWSW 24-149-97, 14' FSL 0' FWL
      • 37633, conf, BR, Cherry Blossom 1S MBH, SESE 23-149-97, 45' FSL 32" FEL
      • 37634, conf, BR, Cherry Pie 1R TFH ULW, SESE 23-149-97, 77' FSL 64" FEL
      • 37635, conf, BR, Cherry Tree 1Z TFH, SESE 23-149-97, 77' FSL 64' FEL
      • 37636, conf, BR, Cherry Claire 1Y MBH, NENE 26-149-97, 128' NFL 12' FEL
      • 37637, conf, BR, Cherry Margarita 1X TFH, NENE 26-149-97, tr' FNL 77' FEL
      • 37638, conf, BR, Cherry Daquiri 1W MBH, NENE 26-149-97, 33' FNL 109' FEL
      • 37639, conf, BR, Cherry Ice Cream 1V TFH, NENE 26-149-97, 1' FNL 141' FEL
      • 17402, IA/1,107, BR, Cherry Creek 11-25H, NWNW 25-149-97,  t3/09; cum 210K 7/20; off line 8/20; remains off line 12/20; open hole frack; less than a million lbs;
Other wells in the area of interest:
  • 34313, SI/NC, XTO, Arlene Federal ... , North Fork,
  • 34314, SI/NC, XTO, Arlene Federal ... , North Fork,
  • 34315, SI/NC, XTO, Arlene Federal ... , North Fork,
  • 34316, SI/NC, XTO, Arlene Federal ... , North Fork,
  • 34317, SI/NC, XTO, Arlene Federal ... , North Fork,
  • 34318, SI/NC, XTO, Arlene Federal ... , North Fork,

  • 34306, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,
  • 34305, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,
  • 34304, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,
  • 34303, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,
  • 34302, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,
  • 34301, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,
  • 34558, SI/NC-->SI/IAW, XTO, Rough Federal .... , North Fork,

  • 17402, 1,107, BR, Cherry Creek 11-25H, Haystack Butte, t3/09; cum 207K 4/20; never a great well; simply a steady Eddy, with typical Bakken profile; off line 8/20; remains off lie 10/20;
Far to the east:
  • 35127, conf, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
  • 35126, conf, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
  • 35125, conf, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
  • 24892, conf, XTO, Prairie Federal ... . , Haystack Butte,
  • 35124, conf, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
  • 35123, loc-->loc/NC, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
  • 35122, drl-->drl/NC, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
  • 35121, drl-->drl/NC, XTO, Prairie Federal .... , Haystack Butte,
The graphics:



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BR With Nine New Cherry Permits -- June 15, 2020

Active rigs:

$37.266/15/202006/15/201906/15/201806/15/201706/15/2016
Active Rigs1361625627

Note: again, there are significant (and minor) errors throughout the daily activity report today and the scout tickets. For example: there are two permits with the same number: #37631.

Nine new permits, #37631 - #37639, inclusive --
  • Operator: BR
  • Field: Haystack Butte (McKenzie)
  • Comments:
    • BR has permits for nine wells on the Cherry pad in sections 23/24/25/26-147-97, Haystack B utte
      • Cherry Danish 1U MBH, NWNW 25-149-97, 49' FNL 65' FWL 
      • Cherry Juice 1T TFH, SWSW 24-149-97, 14' FSL 0' FWL
      • Cherry Blossom 1S MBH, SESE 23-149-97, 45' FSL 32" FEL
      • Cherry Pie 1R TFH ULW, SESE 23-149-97, 77' FSL 64" FEL
      • Cherry Tree 1Z TFH, SESE 23-149-97, 77' FSL 64' FEL
      • Cherry Claire 1Y MBH, NENE 26-149-97, 128' NFL 12' FEL
      • Cherry Margarita 1X TFH, NENE 26-149-97, tr' FNL 77' FEL
      • Cherry Daquiri 1W MBH, NENE 26-149-97, 33' FNL 109' FEL
      • Cherry Ice Cream 1V TFH, NENE 26-149-97, 1' FNL 141' FEL
Petro-Hunt re-surveyed three locations:
  • 37459, USA 153-95-13D-12-5H, NWNE 24-153-95, 270' FNL 2050' FEL,
  • 37460, USA 153-95-13D-12-4H, NWNE 24-153-95; 270' FNL 2085' FEL,
  • 37461, USA 153-95-13D-12-7H, NWNE 24-153-95; 270' FNL 2120' FEL,
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Dr Frasier's Interest In CHAZ (CHOP) -- June 15, 2020

From twitter today:

https://twitter.com/Doranimated/status/1272478789759643648?s=20

The video will like begin playing immediately when you click on the link and the "play" icon. However, you need to "un-mute" the video to hear it -- click on the "speaker" icon on the screen in the lower right hand corner.
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Does Protesting Lower The Risk For Testing Positive For Wuhan Flu? -- The Minnesota Experience -- June 15, 2020

On May 30, 2020, I wrote:
Mark these dates -- June 14 - June 21.
The Minneapolis riots broke out the night of May 28. On May 29, sympathetic riots broke out in NYC, Los Angeles, Dallas, other cities. These folks -- all of whom were wearing masks, of course -- were not practicing social distancing. Let's see if that affects the number of cases. The increase in deaths, if there are any, might not show up until a couple of weeks later. But certainly by the end of June we should have a good idea if the riots made the corona virus pandemic worse in the cities that were affected.
The early numbers are in. It appears protesters have a significantly lower rate of testing positive for Wuhan flu than the general public. Despite:
  • lack of any social distancing;
  • coughing and sneezing due to tear gas;
From the internet, (google for source):
Coronavirus testing of more than 1,300 people who protested Minnesota’s Twin Cities after the death of George Floyd shows few new positive cases, according to a report.

Health officials across the country have expressed fear the mass protests over the black man's death in police custody that have taken place over the past two weeks could lead to new outbreaks of the virus.

But those fears haven’t been borne out in Minneapolis and St. Paul, as of yet, based on early test results, the St. Paul Pioneer Press reported Saturday.

So far, more than 3,300 protesters have shown up to be tested and of that number, 40 percent -- or about 1,300 -- have gotten their test results back.

The paper reported that of that number only about 1.4 percent tested positive for the virus, the paper reported.

That’s lower than the 3.7 percent positivity rate reported Friday of 13,000 test results statewide, the paper reported. It is also lower than the current seven-day average rate of positive tests, which also stands at 3.7 percent.
Lower than 3.7%? I would say significantly lower than the general population -- almost half what the general population is testing, and the general population is testing well below what Dr Faust projected.

And apparently:
  • no deaths:
  • no ICU admissions:
  • no emergency room visits for cough and fever;
  • no hospitalizations;
Had there been any, I'm sure we would have heard about them by now. 

As of yesterday, Minnesota ranked #20 among the US states for "new cases." Overall, Minnesota ranks 20th among all states (and DC) for total number of cases, and ranks below the USA average for total number of cases per capita.

Now, think about this: on average, across the state of Minnesota, folks are testing positive at about a rate of 3.7%. The folks being tested, in general, are those already suspected of having the virus, or at high risk for some other reason (such as history of exposure). Remember: testing kits have been in short supply and testing was "rationed." And with all that, only 3.7% came back with a positive test.

I don't know what to make of that, but it certainly seems perplexing.
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