Sunday, September 11, 2016

Update On A Whiting Well That Mike Filloon Highlighted Back In January, 2013

This is the well.
  • 17092, 3,027, Behr 11-34H, Sanish, API 33-061-00678; there is no frack report for this well at the NDIC site (unless I missed it): FracFocus has no record of this well; s4/08; produced 500,725 bbls in 591 days; inactive Jan/Feb 2015; now back on status 3/15; 1.055 million 9/16;
For those that missed it, this well went over the million-bbl mark a few months ago.
From this post: http://themilliondollarway.blogspot.com/2013/01/whitings-sanish-wells-model-to-2.html. 
Link here to SeekingAlpha.com.
At first glance the Whiting wells look better than EOG's. This is not the case when taking lateral length into consideration. The average lateral length of the Whiting wells are twice that of EOG's. In reality, the Whiting wells produced half the resource per foot. Well number 17092 is a great well, modelling to almost 2 million barrels of oil. These wells do not include natural gas or natural gas liquids in EURs, which accounts for an estimated 8% of production in Mountrail County.
NDIC screenshot today:

 
17872, 1,814, Whiting, Littlefield 12-34H, Sanish, 18 stages, 2.3 million lbs; t5/10; cum 643K 7/16;
27710, 234, Whiting, Littlefield 11-34H, Sanish, 35 stages, 3.2 million lbs, t5/15; cum 118K 7/16;

Oasis To Report Two Nice Wells Monday -- September 11, 2016

Monday, September 12, 2016
  • 30829, SI/NC, XTO, TAT State Federal 14X-36A,
  • 31134, 1,359, Oasis, Hysted 5200 11-30 6B, Camp, 36 stages, 4 million lbs, t3/16; cum 90K 7/16;
Sunday, September 11, 2016
  • 30830, SI/NC, XTO, TAT State Federal 14X-36E,  Bear Creek,
  • 32487, SI/NC, SM Energy, Stevens 2B-18HN, Burg, producing, albeit not much;
Saturday, September 10, 2016
  • 30810, 2,320, Oasis, Andersmadson 5201 14-25 13BX, Camp, 4 sections, 36 stages, 4.2 million lbs, t3/16; cum 103K 7/16; 

*********************************
31134, see above, Oasis, Hysted 5200 11-30 6B, Camp:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
7-201647134299
6-20161284012516
5-20162000326370
4-20162740833239
3-20162517032737

30810, see above, Oasis, Andersmadson 5201 14-25 13BX, Camp:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
7-20161715422611
6-20162715625195
5-20161799918224
4-20162911930500
3-2016114170

CLR's Oakdale Wells and Ryden Wells In Jim Creek Oil Field, The Bakken, North Dakota

Production data has been updated, August 18, 2026; at this link. 

Last updated July 27, 2021.

The CLR Oakdale wells in Jim Creek oil field:

  • 32809, 1,086/AB/IAW/IA, CLR, Oakdale 10-13H1, Jim Creek, a nice well; Three Forks B2; four sections; 63 stages; 14.1 million lbs;  t1/18; cum 216K 2/19; offline as of 2/19; remains off line 12/20; one day of production, 4/21; cum 216K 2/19; remains off line 9/21;
  • 32808, 1,464, CLR, Oakdale 9-13H, Jim Creek, 4 sections, 61 stages; 14.2 million lbs, a nice well; t1/18; cum 175K 12/20; cum 195K 9/21;
  • 32807, 1,448, CLR, Ryden 7-24H2, Jim Creek, 4 sections, Three Forks B2; 71 stages; 10.7 million lbs, a very nice well; t12/17; cum 240K 12/20; cum 256K 9/21;
  • 32806, 1,068, CLR, Oakdale 8-13H2, 13-146-96, t1/18; cum 263K 12/20; cum 272K 9/21;
  • 32803, 1,360, CLR, Oakdale 7-13H, 13-146-96, t1/18; cum 390K 12/20; cum 404K 9/21;
  • 32802, 2,230, CLR, Oakdale 6-13H1, 13-146-96, t1/18; cum 300K 12/20; cum 320K 9/21;
  • 26951, 527, CLR, Oakdale 2-13H1, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t7/15; cum 410K 12/20; cum 435K 9/21;
  • 26950, 726, CLR, Oakdale 3-13H, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t7/15; cum 439K 12/20; cum 460K 9/21;
  • 26949, 391, CLR, Oakdale 4-13H1, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t7/15; cum 294K 12/20; cum 314K 9/21;
  • 26948, 531, CLR, Oakdale 5-13H, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t8/15; cum 319K 12/20; cum 334K 9/21
  • 16698, IA/AB-->IA/369-->A-->IA-->IAW-->AB, CLR, Oakdale 11-12H, 12-146-96, 2 sections; t12/07; cum 244K 12/19; remains off line 5/21; back on line 6/21; cum 246K 9/21;
The CLR Ryden wells in Jim Creek oil field:
  • 32811 1,874, CLR, Ryden 9-24H1, 13-146-96, t12/17; cum 255K 12/20; cum 269K 9/21;
  • 32810, 1,899, CLR, Ryden 8-24H, 13-146-96, t12/17; cum 283K 12/20; cum 293K 9/21;;
  • 32807, 1,448, CLR, Ryden 7-24H2, Jim Creek, 4 sections, Three Forks B2; 71 stages; 10.7 million lbs, a very nice well; t12/17; cum 240K 12/20; cum 256K 9/21;
  • 32805 2,225, CLR, Ryden 6-24H, 13-146-96, t12/17; cum 290K 12/20; cum 307K 9/21;
  • 32804, 1,723, CLR, Ryden 5-24H1, 13-146-96, t12/17; cum 311K 12/20; cum 333K 9/21;
  • 26954, 1,307, CLR, Ryden 2-24AH1, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t7/15; cum 270K 12/20; cum 290K 9/21;
  • 26953, 1,577, CLR, Ryden 3-24H, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t7/15; cum 343K 12/20; cum 361K 9/21;
  • 26952, 790, CLR, Ryden 4-24H1, 24-146-96, 4 sections, t7/15; cum 320K 12/20; huge jump 10/17; cum 338K 9/21;
  • 22810, PNC, CLR, Ryden 2-24H, 24-146-96,
  • 16646, 257, CLR, Ryden 21-24H, 24-146-96, 2 sections, t7/07; cum 287K 12/20; off line as of 5/17 suggesting ready to frack); back on line as of 2/18; small increase in production but not re-fracked; cum 294K 9/21;
  • 16563, PNC, CLR, Ryden 14-24H, 24-146-96,

An Example Of The Manufacturing Stage InThe Bakken -- September 11, 2016

Note: clicking on the screenshots, will bring them up in a new "window" and will enlarge them immensely.

A reader provided an incredible narrative and a satellite view of the Killdeer area to make a very good point and help bring us up to date on what is going on in this part of the Bakken.

The first screen shot is the one the reader sent me. Because of the logo on the map, some areas are hard to see. It is undated, but the reader suggests that the date of the satellite photo was March, 2016.


In an attempt to get a "cleaner" view of this area, I went to google maps, but the current satellite view of this area is quite old. I have put in ovals where new activity is going on. The reader's narrative (below the third screenshot) should help explain what is going on, and why it is going on.


The marker is CLR's Oakdale 3-13H well.
  • 26950, 726, CLR, Oakdale 3-13H, Jim Creek, 4 sections, 40 stages, 8 million lbs, date stimulated 1/5, t7/15; cum 147K 7/16. API: 33-025-20354; 47.457920, -102.848958.
I track the Jim Creek oil field here.
I track the Oakdale and Ryden wells here.

This is what the NDIC shows in this area as of today:


Now the reader's narrative. I have edited it. If there are mistakes, they can be attributed to me, not the reader.

The reader makes the same argument that I make (and no doubt, Mike Filloon would confirm): that smart operators are stockpiling fracking sand in anticipation of Bakken 2.0. Most people now agree that the Bakken is in its manufacturing stage. Bakken 2.0 could happen as early as 2018 but not likely to be delayed longer than 2020.

From the reader:
I came across Terra-Server after doing a google search for satellite images of earth after waiting a long time for google earth to update the area around Killdeer.
The view of the stock pile of material on the north end of Jim Creek field is very interesting. There is a gravel pit just to the west of this stockpile but it would make no sense to use an offsite location to stock gravel processed from that pit.
Typically, when gravel is processed in the pit it goes directly to the conveyor and is stockpiled. Not loaded into trucks, hauled to another site, then loaded into a conveyor. Maybe the stock pile has something to do with the new truck bypass being built around Killdeer. If it is aggregate material for concrete or asphalt paving I don’t know why there would be more than two separate piles, one for gravel and for sand. Suggesting the stock pile is frac sand is a "long shot," but why not?
CLR had an early presence in this area at the start of the Bakken boom. It looks to me like they have methodically worked to set this area up for the manufacturing stage. They have several Central Tank Batteries set up on their local drilling units. Many of these CTBs are tied to their disposal well and their Bridger Pipeline system so waste water and oil will be piped and not trucked from producing wells. The new Bear Creek gas plant is nearing completion so they should have good access to market their gas and not flare it.
I think when oil prices recover production in the WB will recover quickly, at least for companies like CLR.
A huge "thank-you" to the reader for sending this note as well as the screenshot. 

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Update On The Soda Mountain Solar Project -- Still, NIMBY -- September 10, 2016

Back in June, 2015, I posted an earlier note about the Soda Mountain (California) solar project -- it sounded like everyone thought the project was a great idea -- just not in their backyard. I had completely forgotten about the project.

Don sent me an update, of sorts. As I read it, it jumped out at me again. The writer thinks solar farms are great. Just don't put them in her backyard. And don't make them too big. Here is the link:
Silicon Valley is leading the nation’s charge toward renewable energy development by making significant investments and pioneering technological advancements. This is important and commendable. However, in the effort to move toward a sustainable energy future, some companies are failing to seriously consider the size and location of their industrial scale renewable projects.

The largest projects can exceed the size of a small city.
In some cases, they are being located in places that cause severe environmental harm to our national parks and wildlife. Such poorly-placed solar plants erode public support for a clean energy future. [And in some cases, they are being located in my backyard.]

A few Silicon Valley companies and the Department of Interior are leading us astray by pursuing harmful projects – and they must correct course.

The proposed Soda Mountain Solar project, owned by Menlo Park-based Regenerate Power, is the poster child of this reckless path.
Because, I guess, it's in the writer's backyard. My hunch is that wind farms in North Dakota don't bother her a bit.

The writer, by the way, will get a bit more mileage out of her article if she refers to the developer as Degenerate Power.

****************************
Right Out Of Hollywood
We've Seen This Movie Before

From Seattle Times: 

HOLLYWOOD, Ala. (AP) — After spending more than 40 years and $5 billion on an unfinished nuclear power plant in northeastern Alabama, the nation’s largest federal utility is preparing to sell the property at a fraction of its cost.

Data points (some numbers rounded):
  • Bellefonte Nuclear Plant; planned 1,200 MW facility
  • to be sold by TVA
  • work began back in the mid-70s; work halted in 1988; demand for electricity never materialized
  • sale includes 1,600 surrounding acres of waterfront property on the Tennessee River
  • two unfinished nuclear reactors; transmission lines; buildings galore; eight miles of road; a 1,000-space park lot and more
  • minimum bid: $36 million
  • has never been stocked with radioactive fuel; not one single watt of electricity generated
I see a mall and museum coming, along with a 1,600-acre solar farm. Or sugar beets.

******************************
California Blind Spot

This is quite hilarious. First the article.

Then the comment.

Here's the article:
California regulators moved a step closer on Friday to the first mandatory U.S. energy efficiency standards for computers and monitors, gadgets that account for 3 percent of home electric bills and 7 percent of commercial power costs in the state.
How much will that save a California homeowner?
The standards for desktops, which use far more energy than notebooks, will add about $14 to the retail cost of computers but save consumers more than $40 in electric bills over five years, according to commission estimates.
Here's the comment:
How ironic they want to reduce electricity use in California while they have their eyes set on forcing consumers to to purchase electric vehicles.
They never think out far enough to question where are they going to get all the electricity to power these thousands of electric vehicles they want to put on the road while they are in the process of shutting down one of our nuclear power plants that has never had any problems. Are there any plans to build new gas-fired plants to generate the electricity they need for these cars? No. I guess the electricity will just magically appear. Great idea in hot weather when we already reach our maximum capacity with brown outs.
I had the very same thoughts and posted them back on September 4, 2016.

************************************
The Haves Vs The Have-Nots

I have just finished an incredible book, The Witches, Salem, 1692, by Stacy Schiff. I write about it elsewhere. I will now go back and read it again; there is so much there. This is the definitive study of the subject. It's hard for me to believe that any other author will ever feel the need to take on this subject to this degree.

The author is a graduate of Phillips Academy Andover.

From wiki:
Phillips Academy Andover (also known as Phillips Academy, Andover, or PA) is a highly selective, co-educational preparatory high school for boarding and day students in grades 9–12, along with a post-graduate year.
The school is located in Andover, Massachusetts, United States, 25 miles north of Boston.
Phillips Academy has 1,122 students, and is part of the Ten Schools Admissions Organization as well as the G20 Schools Group.
For the academic year 2016/17, Phillips charges boarders $52,100 and day pupils up to $40,500 per year, making it more expensive than any other HMC school and amongst the most expensive boarding schools in the world. [Amongst.]
Schiff would have been immersed in Andover witchology while in high school, and her book, perhaps, is the culmination of that immersion.

From Legends Of America.com:
Located about 15 miles northwest of Salem Village, Andover got its start when a portion of land was set aside for an inland plantation in 1634. Early colonists were offered incentives to move to the area and the first settlement was established in 1641 by John Woodbridge and a group of settlers from Newbury and Ipswich.
In May, 1646 the settlement was incorporated as a town and was named Andover, probably in honor of the town of Andover in England. The first recorded town meeting was held in 1656 in the home of settler John Osgood.

During the Salem Witch Trials of 1692, Andover, like other area villages, found itself in the midst of the hysteria. In fact, more people from Andover were accused and arrested for witchcraft than from any other town in New England.

The atmosphere of the town at the time was charged with fear of the unknown and political upheaval. The Massachusetts Bay Colony charter had been revoked by the crown, the church was split by the differing ideologies of two pastors, and Indian raids were occurring in nearby Haverhill and Billerica.

Unfortunately, the witch hysteria in Salem Village soon spread to Andover. The first accused was Martha Carrier, who was known as a strong-minded woman who would speak her mind. Unfortunately, this was not a trait admired by Puritans at the time. She was accused by her neighbor, Benjamin Abbot, after they had gotten into an argument that involved a land dispute. After the disagreement, Abbot fell sick and blamed his illness on her bewitching him and would later testify that she had killed one of his cows. 
The article then goes on at length about some of the same stories re-told by Schiff.