Sunday, August 4, 2013

Mike Filloon On Halcon's 2Q13; Comments From HP Transcript That Pertain To The Bakken

Mike Filloon at SeekingAlpha on Halcon's 2Q13. 


Comments From HP Transcript That Pertain To The Bakken
Transcript here.

Mechanical and SCR rigs are going to the sideline and are being replaced by new technology AC drive rigs. And H&P FlexRigs continue to lead this replacement cycle.
I think that we're seeing the market shift to more and more pad-capable rigs. We lead in that space. And I think we're going to continue to see customers look for that. We've said -- we've talked about all of our pad-capable rigs are AC drives.
Q: in light of the general lack of sense of urgency for putting new rigs to work or the increased drilling efficiency, ... what's your sense on how your customers are looking at spending plans in the second half of the year?
A: what we're hearing is the improvement in commodity prices has been off of plan and you know that they did a lot of their budgeting in the $80, $85 range and stress test that down to $70 to $75. And I think that's the world they expected to see. And now, we're in a world where we have prices in excess of $100. .... So I think that we're hearing a more upbeat sense from our customers and discussions.
I just remembered, we have had some conversations as well on FlexRig5s in the Permian as well. But again, we're still a little bit early on as much as the pad drilling as we've seen as an example in the Eagle Ford or the Bakken. But I do think we'll have FlexRig5s. As that market matures and goes to more pad drilling, I think, we'll see that happen.
Q: First, just wondering on rig efficiencies and how much is left out there?
A: Even with all the improvements that we've seen over the last 3 years, we continue to see improvements in 2013. And as we've said before, Dave, it's not just the rig, it's a lot of other things associated with the rig and working together as a team with your customer.
... old mechanical rigs, it's about 1,000-horsepower, that take 6, 7 days to move, FlexRig can move in 3 days.
For a discussion on AC rigs, look at this very, very old, 2006 Oil & Gas Journal article:
Nabors Drilling is introducing a new series of programmable AC electric (PACE) rigs. The rigs are being built in North America, the Middle East, and in China, and moving into many markets.
Nabors says that AC power provides more accurate control of speed and torque than direct current. AC electrical systems also require less maintenance and facilitate online diagnostic checks of equipment and systems. AC-powered drilling rigs have fewer electrical connections and better motor efficiency and produce less noise and fewer emissions, enjoy better power distribution, says the company. Nabors has been working with AC top drives for more than a decade. 
The HP transcript refers to "SRC rigs" as the older, mechanical rigs. I assume SRC stands for a silicon-controlled rectifier, converting AC to DC, but this is way beyond my expertise. But it helps with the lingo that you might hear being used in the Bakken. 

Regular Readers Know Why I'm Posting This -- The Writing Is On The Wall

Reuters is reporting: police arrest more than 200 at Chevron refinery protest --
Police arrested more than 200 demonstrators for trespassing at Chevron Corp in the California city of Richmond on Saturday to mark the one-year anniversary of a massive refinery fire and to protest a proposed Keystone XL tar sands pipeline.
The arrests came as a throng of sunflower-carrying picketers chanted, "Hey hey, ho ho, fossil fuels have got to go," as people of all ages walked onto Chevron's property to draw attention to a growing movement against fossil fuel.
Police Captain Mark Gagan said the arrests, all peaceful, included three people in wheelchairs and demonstrators as young as 18 years old. Media reports said most of those arrested were cited and released.
Environmentalist Bill McKibben, who is leading a call for using only renewable energy, was one of the first to be handcuffed. He had earlier joined Richmond Mayor Gayle McLaughlin in a rally, one in a series across the nation over the environmental consequences of continuing to burn oil and to protest TransCanada Corp's proposed Keystone XL pipeline.
Note Bill "Keystone" McKibben presence.  I assume he flew in by jet.

Sunday Night Notes -- Gordman's To Minot -- OTTR, OAS, NOG, CLR, CLRN Report This Week

Platts is tweeting:
Slight downward tick in oil rading in opening hour. At 2300 GMT, NYMEX crude dn 9 cts to $106.85, Brent $108.88, dn 7 cts.
Spread: almost exactly $2.00. For all intents and purposes, parity.

More spinoff from the Bakken; The Minot Daily News is reporting:
Minot residents who are delighted to finally have a Gordmans in town can pat themselves on the back because they are a big reason the national retailer chose to come here.
The company held a grand opening ceremony Friday morning at its new store in Southgate Crossing. Jeff Gordman, president and CEO of Gordmans, said his company's mission is to delight its guests. It was Gordmans that was delighted, however, when Minot residents started writing in to request a store in the Magic City.
"This started several years ago, and apparently was started by one very passionate guest who got all of her friends to submit the same request, which was, 'We really want you in Minot' for a variety of different reasons," Gordman said. "And they all ended with, 'Why not Minot?' And I am so ecstatic that we listened to our guests and decided to locate in Minot."
Minot is the third Gordmans location in North Dakota, following Fargo and Grand Forks. Gordman said the company plans to open a fourth store in Bismarck next year.
***************************

Market Action Last Week (I'm Finally Getting Caught Up) 
Earnings Are Tracked Here

Wow, Murphy Oil has been on a tear. Beat on earnings by 20 cents; missed on revenue; transcript. 

A reminder: OTTR reports tomorrow, Monday, after market close.

A reminder: Oasis will report earnings Tuesday after market close. Oasis hit a new high Friday, and is on a tear. Investors must have liked KOG's earnings.

DNR, MRO: to report Tuesday, also. 

CLR: will report on August 7, I believe.

NOG will report this week also, August 8, after market close.

CLNE -- ditto (after market close, August 8).

COP: hit a new high Friday; blows XOM And COP away on cash margin improvement -- SeekingAlpha.com


Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any financial decisions based on what you read here or what you think you might have read here. 

Nine Companies Announced Increased Dividends Friday ...

...including Union Pacific, and it was a big jump -- from 69 cents to 79 cents, and it still only pays 1.93%.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment decisions based on anything you read at this site or think you may have read at this site. This site is for entertainment, education, and updates on O'BamaCare, train wrecks, and global warming, not necessarily in that order. 

With regard to that UNP dividend, Zacks is reporting:
The dividend hike reflects the company’s strong free cash flow and confidence in generating solid reinvestable returns for its shareholders. The regular dividend of 79 cents equates into an annual dividend of $3.16, which translates into a dividend yield of 1.94% based on the current market price.   
This is the second dividend hike by Union Pacific in the last one year after the railroad operator raised its quarterly dividend by 15% in Nov 2012 from 60 to 69 cents. The company has paid dividends on its common stock for 114 consecutive years. The recent hike dividend reflects an almost 150% increase in the last 3 years.
Investor confidence in Union Pacific was also solidified with its recent earnings beat. For the second quarter of 2013, the company reported adjusted earnings of $2.37, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.35 and year-ago earnings of $2.10.

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List Over The Weekend, Monday; Liberty Resources Reports A Big Well Statoil Reports A Big Well; More And More Pad Drilling Reports

Monday, August 5, 2013
  • 20736, 873, Liberty Resources, Jackman 156-100-11-2-1H, East Fork, t3/13; cum 62K 6/13;
  • 23674, 2,811, Statoil, Esther Hynek 10-11 7H, Alger, t6/13; cum --
  • 24088, drl, Statoil, Sax 25-36 6TFH, Banks, no data,
  • 24305, drl, MRO, Helgeson 41-30H, Bailey, producing,
  • 24506, drl, Hess, BB-State 151-96-3625H-5, Blue Buttes, no data,
  • 24604, drl, KOG, P Wood 154-98-4-27-34-13HB, Truax, no data,
  • 24705, 828, OXY USA, Stag 1-35-23H-142-96, Russian Creek, t5/13; cum 14K 6/13;
Sunday, August 4, 2013
  • 21707, 1,462, BR, Keene 44-35MBH, Little Knife, t5/13; cum 10K 6/13;
  • 23078, drl, CLR, Oscar 3-24H, Stoneview, no data,
  • 23123, drl, HRC Operating, Fort Berthold 148-94-19D-18-3H, Eagle Nest,
  • 24496, 790, Whiting, Koppinger 31-13PH, Green River, t2/13; cum 25K 6/13;
Saturday, August 3, 2013
  • 23461, 825, MRO, Hansen Ranch USA 44-10TFH, Bailey, t6/13; cum 15K 61/3;
  • 24087, drl, Statoil, Sax 25-36 5TFH, Banks, no data,
  • 24300, 795, Whiting, Tank 34-7H, Dollar Joe, t2/13; cum 38K 6/13;
  • 24345, 526, HRC Operating, Pederson 1-17-20H,  Little Muddy, t3/13; cum 18K 6/13;
  • 24505, drl, Hess, BB-State 151-96-3625H-5, Blue Buttes, no data,
*************************

24345, see above, HRC Operating, Pederson 1-17-20H,  Little Muddy:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-201348660
5-201358360
4-201347980
3-201322070

24300, see above, Whiting, Tank 34-7H, Dollar Joe:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-201348550
5-201356420
4-201365390
3-201373830
2-2013125360

23461, see above, MRO, Hansen Ranch USA 44-10TFH, Bailey:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-2013100803558
5-201341781601

 24496, see above, Whiting, Koppinger 31-13PH, Green River:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-201358342754
5-201375512266
4-201355132499
3-201370223109
2-201392362231

 23123, see above, HRC Operating, Fort Berthold 148-94-19D-18-3H, Eagle Nest:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-201399531385

24705, see above, OXY USA, Stag 1-35-23H-142-96, Russian Creek:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-201373072560
5-201361502582

20736, see above, Liberty Resources, Jackman 156-100-11-2-1H, East Fork:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-201399049853
5-20131267511063
4-2013159868515
3-2013214140