Sunday, December 23, 2012

Global Warming To Hit the US Mid-Section on Christmas Day; Rare Christmas Snow For Dallas

And yet, another bit of global warming to hit the country's mid-section on Christmas Day.

Eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas to feel the brunt.

Holiday travel across the south on alert: global warming could interrupt plans. -- Los Angeles Times. 

Rare Christmas snow for Dallas, Oklahoma City. 
Not often does Dallas, Oklahoma City and Little Rock see snow on Christmas, but Mother Nature is ready to defy those odds this year.
Yes, it's all that global warming. 

California To Vie With Texas as #1 Oil Producer -- Or Not

Updates

December 24, 2012: priceless -- the BLM auction for tracts in Monterey County brought ... drum roll ... $10/acre.  California needs a crude awakening -- Tom Gray, senior editor at Investor's Business Daily, writes on California economy and politics. 

Later, 9:09 pm: what one hand giveth, the other taketh away. In this case, the BLM offers to lease 18,000 acres of the Monterey Shale (inland, of course), but the president will remove a large off-shore tract from oil exploration forever. And that's fine. Life goes on.  "We" don't want too much competition for the Bakken. A huge "thank you" to a reader for sending the link: there must be a lot of ads or something at the link; it took quite awhile for the link to download -- though my wi-fi connection is somewhat slow tonight.

Original Post

Link to this story, a Bloomberg story, sent by a reader. 
California, even as it seeks to be the greenest U.S. state, stands a good chance of emerging as the nation’s top oil producer in the next decade, helping America toward what once seemed an unlikely goal of energy independence.
The catalyst is the U.S. Bureau of Land Management’s sale last week of 15 leases covering about 18,000 acres of the Monterey Shale, a geologic formation whose sweet spots stretch from east of San Francisco more than 200 miles south to Monterey County. The auction was dominated by Los Angeles-based Occidental Petroleum Corp.  and smaller companies betting on a coming boom. Yesterday California regulators issued a draft of new rules to sharpen their oversight of the surge in fracking. 
While shale developments have been most associated with natural gas, the ribbed-shaped Monterey could hold 15.4 billion barrels of oil, according to the federal Energy Information Administration. That amounts to 64 percent of all estimated U.S. shale oil reserves and double the combined reserves of North Dakota’s Bakken Shale and Texas’ Eagle Ford Shale, where energy companies are spending billions to ramp up output.
With regard to fracking:
In August, the Center for Biological Diversity notified the Bureau of Land Management by letter, as required by federal law, that it intends to sue under the federal Endangered Species act to stop further lease sales unless BLM agrees to consult with federal wildlife managers on potential fracking impacts.  
But the BLM disagrees:
BLM, in a letter to the Center in October, said consultation isn’t necessary because fracking has been “occurring under existing regulations on public lands in California for decades” and impacts to endangered species “are lower in California than in other areas of the country.”
A form of fracking has been used in California for 60 years with no allegations of fouled water or environmental harm, said Tupper Hull, spokesman for the Western States Petroleum Association, an industry trade group. 
A few comments:
  • with regard to "reserves," industry estimates for the Bakken suggest 24 billion barrels, significantly more than the reserves of the Monterey as stated above; so we shall see
  • if anyone has followed the Bakken and OXY USA for any length of time, it is clear that some operators have not cracked the code on completing/fracking a well
  • there is a link to the Monterey at the sidebar on the right which includes a more sobering view of the Monterey
  • Chevron's recent decision to move 800 of its employees from its headquarters in northern California to Houston, after its recent refinery fire
  • the tea leaves regarding fracking are shifting
  • note again how gracious the BLM was in opening the Monterey shale to leasing: 18,000 acres.  We've seen a lot of this in this administration: a big announcement but as others have said, "all hat, no cattle." For newbies: compare with CLR's one million net acres in the Bakken, and CLR is just one operator. Even KOG, one of the smaller operators in the Bakken, has >150,000 net acres in the Bakken

A Must-Read For Those Interested in the Back Story of The End Game

MDW posted this link earlier. Now Mr Drudge has posted the same link as the banner for his page.

It's a must-read for those interested in the art of negotiation. And perhaps how not to do it.

Oil and Gas Industry Creating (Way) More Jobs Than the Administration

Click here to Casper Wyoming StarTrib.com.

In Wyoming alone the oil and gas industry is creating...
According to the study, co-sponsored by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce’s Institute for 21st Century Energy, shale energy has created or supports 17,800 jobs in Wyoming, and that total will grow to 23,600 jobs by 2020. The forecast’s job totals include workers employed by the natural gas industry, but also include jobs that work in support industries and indirectly supported jobs in other fields.

30-Second Soundbites For Those Attending Holiday Parties, Kwanzaa Parties, Christmas Parties, New Year's Parties, ObamaCliff Parties, Mayan End-of-the-World Parties....

Fracking helped America meet 83 percent of its energy needs in the first eight months this year, on course for the highest annual level since 1991, Energy Department data show. An intelligence advisory panel said last week the nation may achieve energy independence in as little as 10 years.  --  Source: Bloomberg.com via Don. 
Let's see: 83% of our energy needs ... and yet it will take another 10 years to achieve energy independence....what's up with that? I wonder if  you throw in "Canada" as a domestic source, would we be independent more soonly?

Also, this bit of trivia, posted earlier:
Today, according to Whiting Oil executive Blain Hoffmann, North Dakota leads the world in shale oil technology, and according to Kirkland, that technology has put North Dakota on the map.