Thursday, February 3, 2011

Breakdown of the 1,180 Wells on the Confidential List -- North Dakota, USA

Rory sent me this information earlier today, but I finally found time to post it.

Thank you, Rory.

There are currently 1,180 wells on NDIC's confidential list (remember, not all wells are placed on the confidential list).

Here is the breakdown of the top 20 or so:
  • CLR: 140 
  • XTO: 79 
  • EOG: 65
  • Petro-Hunt: 63
  • Marathon: 52 
  • BEXP: 51 
  • Slawson: 51
  • Newfield: 45
  • BR: 44
  • Encore: 36
  • Hess: 36
  • AEZ (now owned by Hess): 30
  • Tracker: 30 (all or some owned by Hess)
  • Samson Resources (not SSN): 28
  • Zenergy: 26
  • KOG: 25
  • Zavanna: 25
  • Whiting: 23 
  • Hunt: 21
  • Oasis: 19
  • Peak: 18
  • SM: 18
  • North Plains: 17
  • Fidelity: 16
  • QEP: 16
  • OXY USA: 15
  • Anschutz: 14 (now owned by OXY)
  • Zenergy: 14
  • Helis: 12
  • Sagebrush: 11
other selected producers:
  • Enerplus: 8
  • Oil for America: 6
  • Hess: 1
I don't know about "you," but I find 1,180 wells on the confidential list to be absolutely phenomenal. One has to remember there are about 5,000 active wells in North Dakota right now. I don't know if these 1,000 are part of that number or not. Regardless, it's a healthy percentage.

Breakdown of the 168 Active Rigs in North Dakota

Rory sent these to me earlier today; I finally got around to posting them.

Thank you, Rory.

The 168 active rigs in North Dakota:
  • CLR: 23
  • WLL: 15
  • EOG: 9
  • Hess: 8
  • AEZ: 7
  • BEXP: 7
  • Newfield: 7
  • Oasis: 7
  • Petro-Hunt: 7
  • XTO: 7
  • Encore: 6
  • Marathon: 6
  • Slawson: 6
  • Anschutz: 5
  • Burlington: 5
  • Samson Resources (not SSN): 4
  • Hunt: 3
  • Murex: 3
  • Tracker: 3
  • Zenergy: 3
  • Baytex: 2
  • KOG: 2 
  • North Plains: 2
  • OXY USA: 2
  • QEP: 2
  • Zavanna: 2
The following each had one (1) active rig in North Dakota today: Arsenal, Core 54, Cornerstone, Enerplus, Fidelity, G3, Helis, Legacy, Oil for America, Peak, Prima, Sinclair, and SM.

I know several of these companies have had more active rigs than the number they are reporting today, and some companies have announced they will be bringing in additional rigs this year.

So, when the stars align, "we" will easily go over 170 rigs in the near future.

Denbury Increases Reserves by 92 Percent in 2010 -- Bakken, North Dakota, USA

The press release is filled with data.

The pertinent Bakken components:

... 33.4 million barrels of oil equivalent from the development of its Bakken properties, ... Year-end proved reserves of the Denbury's Bakken properties are 46.7 million barrels of oil equivalent ...

.... Denbury's net average prices contained in the reserve report were approximately $74.36 per barrel of oil and $4.29 per thousand cubic feet of natural gas. Using these prices, the estimated discounted net present value of Denbury's proved reserves, before projected income taxes, using a 10% per annum discount rate (“PV-10 Value”) was $7.3 billion at December 31, 2010, as compared to a PV-10 Value of $3.1 billion a year earlier.

This increase is primarily due to the 2010 additions to reserves discussed above [which included but not limited to Denbury's buyout of Encore in the Bakken] and a 27% increase between the average net oil prices in the 2009 reserve report and those in the 2010 reserve report.

In May, 2010, Denbury shares could be had for $19. Today they are in the $20 range. The Denbury acquisition of Encore closed on December 31, 2010.

Morgan Kinder

Yesterday I happened to  mention, in passing, three pipeline companies: Enbridge, ONEOK, and Kinder Morgan.

Today Kinder Morgan announced its parent company, Kinder Morgan Holdco LLC, plans to raise $2.2 billion in the largest initial public offering by a US energy company in 13 years.

This is another indication that this will be the decade for energy.

Great News for the Bakken -- Bad News for US Consumer

Shell Alaska (oil) will not drill in the Alaskan Arctic in 2011. The EPA remanded ("took back") the air waiver that it had previously granted Shell to drill in the Alaskan Arctic.

So now Shell will wait at least until 2012 to drill.

Alaska receives 90 percent of its general fund revenue from the petroleum industry, and state officials aren't happy with this turn of events.
U.S. Sen. Mark Begich, Dem-Alaska, blamed the Obama administration and the EPA.
"Their foot dragging means the loss of another exploration season in Alaska, the loss of nearly 800 direct jobs and many more indirect jobs," Begich said. "That doesn't count the millions of dollars in contracting that won't happen either at a time when our economy needs the investment."
The Alaskans voted out the longest serving Republican member of the US Senate of all time when they voted Mark Begich into office. Anything to destroy the domestic oil industry. I guess some actions have consequences.

It gets worse. The trans-Alaska pipeline must meet adequate capacity to keep it viable. If oil volume decreases below a certain point, it risks freezing and won't flow. As it is, the pipeline now operates at about one-third capacity, and operators have looked to offshore sources to keep the pipeline viable.
Alaska governor Sean Parnell noted:
... it was unfathomable that a company could buy federal leases but not get onto them within five years.
"It's also unfathomable that they cannot get an air permit after five years when they can get one in the Gulf of Mexico within months," he said.
I think under the current administration that is no longer accurate. The Gulf is under a "permitorium" for any further drilling.

It appears the Alaskans have re-elected a very courageous, prescient, and outspoken critic of the Obama administration:
Republican U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski said actions taken by the Obama administration will result in higher gasoline prices and a loss of jobs and revenue.
Well, duh.

Now, go back and look at the graph at this site, and overlay this Shell news on the Alaskan downward sloping line.

It's just a matter of time before North Dakota out-produces Alaska.

Unless the EPA halts fracking.

**********

If you've read this far, you might as well know that GE was granted a waiver from complying with the EPA's new rules for greenhouse gas emissions from any new or expanded power plants. GE was granted the first exemption under the new rules.
The Obama administration will spare a stalled power plant project in California from the newest federal limits on greenhouse gases and conventional air pollution, U.S. EPA says in a new court filing that marks a policy shift in the face of industry groups and Republicans accusing the agency of holding up construction of large industrial facilities.
According to a declaration by air chief Gina McCarthy, officials reviewed EPA policies and decided it was appropriate to "grandfather" projects such as the Avenal Power Center, a proposed 600-megawatt power plant in the San Joaquin Valley, so they are exempted from rules such as new air quality standards for smog-forming nitrogen dioxide (NO2).
It should be noted that the GE/CEO was recently (like last week) appointed President Obama's new economic czar. And President Obama needs California electoral votes in 2012.

This is not rocket science.