Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Flashback: Hess -- 4Q2009 -- "the Bakken is robust at $40..."

With the price of oil now solidly back above $80/barrel, this is as good a time as ever to remind what Greg Hill of Hess said about the price of oil and the economics of the Bakken a few months ago.

Go back to the 4Q2009 conference call for this quote:
"So nothing has really changed in our thinking about the Bakken. It was just a timing thing related to the oil price shock in early 2009. Again, I’d like to remind everyone the Bakken is robust at $40. It returns the cost of capital at $40. So that’s why we feel very confident kind of pulling the trigger on the Bakken now and aggressively going after a five year program."
"Robust" at $40. I wonder what adjective he uses to describe the Bakken at $80 oil?

*****

Update, October 7, 2010: You know, I just read that paragraph again, for the umpteenth time (today is October 7, 2010). This conference call was back in 2009, almost a year ago. The Bakken seemed to be exploding with activity. Re-read what I just put in bold in that statement above: "...we feel very confident kind of pulling the trigger on the Bakken..."

"... kind of pulling..."  "...kind of pulling..." --- finally in 2009, Hess is thinking it might be ready to "pull the trigger."  Might be ready to "pull the trigger."

 Ah, yes, the nuances of these conference calls. It was my impression that at the same time BEXP, WLL, and CLR were practically betting the farm on the Bakken.

This is just idle coffee table talk. I would not put any stock into my idle rambling.

EOG: Current Presentation

Current presentation: like all previous EOG presentations, very low-key

North Dakota Bakken / Three Forks Sanish
  • 850,000 total net acres

ObamaCare: Great News (Not a Bakken Story) (Not Even an Oil Story)

Finally some good news with regard to ObamaCare, the new federal health care program.

3M, the large industrial company in Minnesota, has announced it will shift all current and new retirees off the company's medical program and unto the federal Medicare program.

This guarantees retired 3M folks will access the world's best federal healthcare program and take some of the pressure off the 3M healthcare insurance program.

My hunch is this is a win-win for everyone.

3M's stock went up $1.03/share (1.16% today) after the announcement.

UPDATES

Update, October 18, 2010: add Boeing to the list of companies whose employees will be affected adversely by ObamaCare. 

"We're up to 151 rigs at 3:10 pm pacific time."

The quote from a reader -- and I just checked and that's absolutely accurate: a new record -- 151 active rigs in North Dakota.

A big thank you to the reader in California!

Whiting's October, 2010 Presentation

Whiting's October presentation, going through the slides for the first time:

Adjusted earnings, three months ending June 30, 2010: $1.31
Adjusted earning, three months ending June 30, 2009: (0.01)

Whiting produced 1.3 million bbls of oil from North Dakota in one month, August, 2010
Whiting produced 1.5 million bbls of oil from Oklahoma for the entire year, 2008
Whiting produced 3.5 million bbls of oil from Texas for the entire year, 2009

2010 CAPEX:
  • $273 million in Sanish field
  • $11 million in Parshall field
  • $77 million in Lewis and Clark area
Williston Basin
  • 86,000 net acres in Sanish and Parshall fields
  • Average EUR of 850,000 bo/well -- and remember, multiple wells going into each section