Monday, April 1, 2013

Bakken Rail Update -- Must Read; Other Investment Notes On a Very Slow Monday Morning; Don't Read; It's Just Filler

 Market: mid-morning: S & P has pulled back almost 8 points; Dow down 30 points; and oil down $1.20

**********************************

Market opening after the long weekend:
  • Profit taking in oil, but off its low. Down about a buck today.
  • The Dow essentially flat, but green if anything.
  • S&P still above the 2007 high, but down a bit from last week; it's a struggle.
Companies I enjoy following, regardless of whether I am invested in them:
  • ENB: hit a new high at the opening; $46.75; its operator EEP, down a bit
  • EOG: down a bit
  • CLR: down minimally; it's been getting some good press lately, despite ...
2013 is shaping up as a strong year for the Bakken, in contrast to 2012 when the play was hurting from skyrocketing drilling and operating costs, severe infrastructure bottlenecks, exploding basis differentials, and disappointing economics, forcing some operators to scale back their drilling plans. Looking forward, several positive factors are at work that should filter through to favorable year-on-year financial comparisons and contribute to a brighter outlook for the play in general:
  • Crude oil takeaway issues have been largely resolved, with ample rail availability and major pipeline capacity additions expected in 2014-2016.
  • Natural gas and NGLs should become increasingly bigger contributors to operators' bottom lines as the build-out of processing and pipeline infrastructure is beginning to bear fruit and should catch up with production within next two years.
  • Deeper Three Forks exploration is gaining momentum in 2013 and may quickly transition from a geological concept to proven reality, adding a large new dimension to the play. Continental Resources is ramping up an aggressive Deeper Three Forks exploration program, now with 15 additional TF2, TF3 and TF4 tests planned for the year (on top of four successful wells to date). Kodiak Oil & Gas has initiated two multi-well pilots that include TF2 testing. Tests by other operators will likely contribute many additional data points.
  • T: up nicely.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.