Friday, March 20, 2026

TGIF -- March 20, 2026

Locator: 50266B.

EPIC FURY: Israel kills more high-ranking IRGC leaders. 

Chuck Norris, 86: link here

********************************
Back to the Bakken 

WTI: $95.54.

New wells reporting:

  • Sunday, March 22, 2026: 28 for the month, 132 for the quarter, 132 for the year,  
    • None.
  • Saturday, March 21, 2026: 28 for the month, 132 for the quarter, 132 for the year,  
    • 42248, conf, CLR, Olympia 6-27HSL, Brooklyn, 
    • 42097, conf, BR, RollaKellog 61-ULW,
  • Friday, March 20, 2026: 26 for the month, 132 for the quarter, 132 for the year,
    • None. 

RBN Energy: Iran war traps propane and refined products in Persian Gulf. Link here. Archived

A lot of attention has been paid to the massive volumes of crude oil and LNG currently trapped in the Persian Gulf, and for good reason — the region is a critically important global supplier. What’s sometimes overlooked by the media, however, is that Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are also major exporters of refined products, and that they and Qatar also send out copious amounts of LPG. In today’s RBN blog, we consider the impact of Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz on LPG and refined product exports from the Persian Gulf’s key producers.

The U.S. clearly has the upper hand over Iran from a military power perspective, but — so far, at least — Iran has countered that by severely limiting safe passage for crude oil supertankers, LNG carriers, and refined products and LPG vessels through the #1 maritime energy chokepoint in the world: the Strait of Hormuz between Iran and Oman. Since the U.S. and Israel made their initial strikes on Iran on February 28, only a few dozen commercial vessels have safely traversed the narrow waterway, compared to a prewar pace of more than 100 per day. Most recently, as part of an effort to keep global energy prices from soaring to new heights, the U.S. has been allowing ships carrying Iranian crude oil and LPG to pass through, but Iran has maintained its hard line against transits by ships out of neighboring countries.

Understandably, markets and the media have focused primarily on the impact on crude oil and LNG. After all, the Persian Gulf countries (including Iran and Iraq) account for about one-sixth of global oil production and 20% of seaborne oil trade, and Qatar is the world’s second-largest exporter of LNG, behind only the U.S. It is important to remember, though, that the region also is home to several major refineries and NGL fractionation centers, and that Persian Gulf countries export large volumes of LPG and refined products like gasoline, diesel and naphtha.

We will start with NGLs. We should note up front that virtually all the ethane that emerges from wells in the Persian Gulf region is either rejected into natural gas and sold for its Btu value or separated at fractionators and consumed domestically at petrochemical plants. In contrast, much of the LPG (propane and butanes) and natural gasoline/pentanes-plus that is separated at fractionators is exported. Before the near-total closure of the Strait of Hormuz (orange circle in Figure 1 below), Persian Gulf countries had been sending out about 1.7 MMb/d of NGL purity products, including about 1.5 MMb/d of LPG and ~200 Mb/d of isobutane, natural gasoline and pentanes-plus. (More on export volumes and their destinations later.)

Thursday, March 19, 2026

Beth's Tech -- March 19, 2026

Locator: 50265BETH.

Updates 

March 20, 2026: link here.  

Original Post 

 Feynman GPU: Nvidia's next generation GPU chip will be the first to integrate custom HBM -- this suggests this could be a bespoke HBM5 or an enhanced HBM4e variant. Link here. Some are suggesting that Nvidia is no longer a chipmaker but an operating system. With CUDA, I think that's accurate.

Micron: guidance. Read this statement from the CEO  -- this is insane -- read it. Then read it again. This is guidance. Link here.

Shortage: the global memory chip wafer shortage could persist until 2030 with more than a 20% shortage at times, driven by AI demand. Link here

******************************
One SKU To Rule Them All

Link here

META -- Update -- May 19, 2026

Locator: 50264META.


No New Permits, One Permit Canceled — March 19, 2026

Locator: 50263B.

WTI: $95.55.

Active rigs: 26.

No new permits.

One permit canceled:

  • 33056, Oasis, Legacy Etal Emory Norm 4-19H 1H, Dunn County.


Operation EPIC FURY -- March 19, 2026

Locator: 50262EPICFURY.

This is the enemy "we're" fighting:

Imagine Iran with nuclear weapons. 

Imagine this even being reported on NBC News tonight with video. 

*******************************
Arguing About Who Did What When 

Link here

This guy is a bit short-sighted. The list extends back to 1979. He's going back two weeks. Sad. 

I would start with the US hostages in Iran, 1979.

Then jump to the 1983 Beirut Marines barracks, killing 241 American and 58 French military personnel.

Then jump to October 7, 2023: the cross-border attack by Hamas.

And that's just a start.  

Forty-seven (47) years of the mideast living in this neighborhood -- finally some adulting.