Monday, February 21, 2022

The Civil War In Ukraine Has Been Going On Since 2014; Tens Of Thousands Of Deaths To Date -- February 21, 2022

Updates

February 22, 2022: in response to the original post, a reader noted that "rumors" of ethnic cleansing, which had been ongoing for many years, was apparently much worse this past year; it will be interesting if Bill Maher gets this one right.

Original Post

Posted: 4:25 p.m. February 21, 2022:

  • Vladimir Putin has ordered "peacekeeping operations to begin in eastern Ukraine." -- source. 
  • Other sources much clearer: Putin has ordered peacekeeping operations to begin.
  • President Biden has issued executive order banning any investment in Eastern Ukraine.
    • that sent a powerful message -- social media
    • safe to go home to Wilmington, DE, tonight to attend to family business that was temporarily delayed.
  • Also, reports of Russian tanks moving into Donetsk. 
  • USAF activity along Ukraine's western border: link here.
  • Kiev airport remains open to civilian/commercial traffic.
  • WTI-Brent spread widening:
    • WTI trading at $93.95.
    • Brent at $97.40.

Original Post

  • France's Macron "gets" Putin to agree to a one-on-one with Biden.
  • Biden sets conditions. Sounds like Biden not serious.
    • Kamala Harris 
      • is Biden's point woman on this issue (war in Europe)
      • along with southern border surge, her hands are full
      • sounds like she won't have time to attend official state funerals
    • bad things come in threes: the British Queen has Covid
  • Putin rebuffs.
  • Putin says he will decide today whether to "recognize" the breakaway Ukraine states aligned with
  • Russia: Donetsk and Luhansk. 
  • Russia playing chess; France and the US playing checkers. 

Map of Ukraine, from the BBC


Comment
: this seems like an easy "fix." If one is entirely unbiased, if one remains entirely logical … what would Mr Spock say … with whom would he roam?

No Daily Activity Report Today; WTI Up Over 2% Today; Closed Above $92 -- February 21, 2022

Ted Turner: biographer speaks for Ted Turner

The meme is unchanging: supply won't meet demand this summer. "Everyone" is repeating that data, and the consensus is that oil will reach $100 this summer. Since we're already at $94 getting to $100 is not all that unlikely. Now, this today: Middle Eastern oil nations hike prices as production falters. Link to Gerald Jansen

Glad it's over: the Olympics. It sounds like "everyone" agrees.

WTI: gained 2.44% today; up $2.22; closed at $93.29.

Active rigs:

$93.29
2/21/202202/21/202102/21/202002/21/201902/21/2018
Active Rigs3315546655

No daily activity report; Presidents' Day.

The Covid Queen Is Being Treated With Ivermectin -- Off-Limits For The Rest Of Us -- February 21, 2022

Refinery fire: the explosion / fire in Garyville, Louisiana -- fourth largest refinery in the US. Link here. In found numbers, the price of WTI jumped about $1.00 after the fire/explosion was reported. More interesting, and occurring before the fire / explosion: the widening between WTI and Brent. 

Walmart dividend: Walmart appears to be "accelerating" its quarterly dividend with a dividend being paid in both March and May, less than two months apart. This is simply a "calendar-thing." In fact, Walmart will be paying the same number of quarterly dividends this year as every previous year. Link here.

Ukraine:

  • France's Macron "gets" Putin to agree to a one-on-one with Biden.
  • Biden sets conditions.
  • Putin rebuffs.
  • Putin says he will decide today whether to "recognize" the breakaway Ukraine states aligned with Russia: Donetsk and Luhansk.
  • Russia playing chess; France and the US playing checkers. 

Map of Ukraine, from the BBC

Comment: this seems like an easy "fix." If one is entirely unbiased, if one remains entirely logical … what would Mr Spock say … with whom would he roam? 

****************************
Word for the Day

Ogygia: the island of Ogygia was where, according to Homer, the nymph Calypso detained Odysseus for seven years.

Calypso was "the" daughter of the Titan Atlas.  

There is little agreement today which "modern" island might be Ogygia.

************************
Crystal Gayle

I don't particularly care for Crystal Gayle in concert (as seen on YouTube) but for hours (?) of easy listening, country music, it would be hard to beat Crystal Gayle as served up by Alexa.

A BR Demicks Dodge Well In Demmick Lake Has Just Gone Over 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumulative -- February 21, 2022

The well:

  • 33338, 420, BR, Demicks Dodge 1A MBH-ULW, 4 sections, 62 stages; 10.4 million lbs, all mesh, t12/17; cum 476K 11/20; see this post; cum 484K 5/21; cum 505K 12/21;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20213132533221242283508081192
BAKKEN11-202130345934632729874686720
BAKKEN10-202128270126282419661165410
BAKKEN9-20212825562546257867606487203
BAKKEN8-2021312928292629356505641810
BAKKEN7-2021312732271546667297718931
BAKKEN6-20213017931774560153425154114
BAKKEN5-202120639624517418961521325
BAKKEN4-20210000000
BAKKEN3-20210020000
BAKKEN2-2021684834431500

A BR State Dodge Well In Dimmick Lake Has Just Reported 500K Bbls Crude Oil Cumlative -- February 21, 2022

The well:

  • 32981, 76, BR, State Dodge 2C TFH, SWSE 21-151-95; Dimmick Lake, t5/19; cum 384K 11/20;  a 42K month; a huge well; cum 433K 1/21; cum 509K 12/21; recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20213178507768681446706465850
BAKKEN11-20212885278560767245167450380
BAKKEN10-2021311090410909917144927447700
BAKKEN9-2021271085710835890037262371330
BAKKEN8-2021311351213511116313864937847670
BAKKEN7-20213111269112511157731137310160
BAKKEN6-2021301255912535117053351732919465
BAKKEN5-20213112739127351348533001300532822
BAKKEN4-20213010420104711317728037279010
BAKKEN3-2021311113011245823027098269220
BAKKEN2-202128728486233734789775670
BAKKEN1-202127765463555394570548730
BAKKEN12-20200000000
BAKKEN11-202011210000
BAKKEN10-2020126652704343943190330654144
BAKKEN9-202030168471649010210643306201150
BAKKEN8-20203117934179221456260096551512731
BAKKEN7-202031132131338779462928926922784
BAKKEN6-20202182815281373518826012454
BAKKEN5-202073476361232131756916761183