Wednesday, February 16, 2022

A Closer Look At The MRO DUCs Reported As Completed Today -- February 16, 2022

From today's daily activity report, MRO reports ten DUCs completed:

Ten producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 38000, 3,924, MRO, Bowman USA 41-18H, Van Hook,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20213142618419632501538401358050
BAKKEN11-2021283700037458288653181829361150
BAKKEN10-2021224154240942334683430031526233
  • 38001, 1,119, MRO, Blackburn USA 41-18TFH, Van Hook,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20213122067217203746022097207390
BAKKEN11-202123170731703232935153871424683
BAKKEN10-202141745172047027216090
  • 38025, 3,515, MRO, Osking USA 14-12H, Lost Bridge, 55K over 22 days extrapolates to 75K over 30 days;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-202122552075470730348747265686614086
  • 38026, 2,310, MRO, Goddard USA 41-4TFH, McGregory Buttes,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-202115286182828733797297842794985
  • 37744, 1,575, MRO, Eugene USA 33-14TFH, Moccasin Creek,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2021302362923589309592122219511288
BAKKEN11-2021302480824765360352215420524143
BAKKEN10-20211816687174342338012394114460
BAKKEN9-2021182389823038376841634313695889
  • 37175, 2,905, MRO, Kenyon 41-16TFH, Killdeer,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2021312762327621449972029218282127
BAKKEN11-2021213123931527599492434322004140
BAKKEN10-2021121968519148640331216264444364
  • 37159, 3,195, MRO, Gustav 44-9TFH, Killdeer,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-202127213642136434128183731687442
BAKKEN11-2021152430424110350631524813416222
  • 37387, 2,087, MRO, Hausauer 14-22TFH, Killdeer,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20213021994220635075415562129621025
BAKKEN11-2021252820327924704591391711636412
  • 37973, 2,767, MRO, Edyth USA 41-4H, McGregory Buttes,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2021480527774693068745794620
  • 37315, 3,611, MRO, Gunter 11-15TFH, Killdeer,
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2021292768527688428281977017720160
BAKKEN11-2021263180531551633672136719005202

Ten DUCs Reported As Completed; No New Permits; WTI Falls Back Below $94 -- February 16, 2022


*********************************
Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

$93.66
2/16/202202/16/202102/16/202002/16/201902/16/2018
Active Rigs3315566456

No new permits.

Four permits renewed:

  • Sinclair: two Porcupine permits in Dunn County;
  • Petroshale: one Bear chase North permit in McKenzie County;
  • Slawson: one Armada Federal permit in Mountrail County;

Two permits canceled:

  • Oasis: two Wren Federal permits in Williams County;

Ten producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 38000, 3,924, MRO, Bowman USA 41-18H, Van Hook,
  • 38001, 1,119, MRO, Blackburn USA 41-18TFH, Van Hook,
  • 38025, 3,515, MRO, Osking USA 14-12H, Lost Bridge,
  • 38026, 2,310, MRO, Goddard USA 41-4TFH, McGregory Buttes,
  • 37744, 1,575, MRO, Eugene USA 33-14TFH, Moccasin Creek,
  • 37175, 2,905, MRO, Kenyon 41-16TFH, Killdeer,
  • 37159, 3,195, MRO, Gustav 44-9TFH, Killdeer,
  • 37387, 2,087, MRO, Hausauer 14-22TFH, Killdeer,
  • 37973, 2,767, MRO, Edyth USA 41-4H, McGregory Buttes,
  • 37315, 3,611, MRO, Gunter 11-15TFH, Killdeer, 

Notes From All Over -- Part 1 -- Dated Brent Trades For $100.80 -- February 26, 2022

For the archives:

Canada: now freezing bank accounts of those trying to fund Canada's Truck Convoy. I have finally lost any emotional interest in Canada, its Keystone XL, and any other pipeline problems it may have in the future. Trudeau's true colors showing. A banana republic pipsqueak. 

GM Bolt: Only 25 cars were sold in the fourth quarter, compared to 6,701 vehicles a year earlier. Posted elsewhere: : 2021 update over at Microsoft News. And, here.

For investors:

  • eight high-dividend stocks "everyone" is racing to buy, IBD:
    • DVN, WMB, PM, MO, KMI, DOW, OKE, VZ

MRO, link here:

  • Capex: $1.2 billion
  • at $80 / bbl:
    • will result in excess of $3.0 billion of free cash flow at a reinvestment rate of less than 30%

Brent: dated Brent reached $100.80 a barrel on Wednesday for the first time since 2014. Reminder: WTI generally trades one dollar less than Brent right now. 

Gasoline demand, link here:

Berkshire Hathaway -- Quarterly Update -- 4Q21

Link here.

  • Berkshire Hathaway's 13F stock portfolio value increased from ~$293B to ~$331B.
  • Their largest three holdings are at over two-thirds of the entire portfolio.
  • Berkshire Hathaway increased Chevron while reducing AbbVie, Marsh & McLennan, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Visa, and Royalty Pharma during the quarter. They also dropped Teva.

Bank of New York Mellon Corp.: BK is a 1.27% of the 13F portfolio stake. The bulk of the original position was purchased in Q2 2012 at prices between $19.50 and $25. Recent activity follows: 2017 saw a ~180% increase at prices between $43.50 and $55 while 2018 saw another one-third increase at prices between $44.50 and $58.50. The stock currently trades at $62.23. Berkshire’s cost-basis on BK is ~$46 per share and ownership stake is 8.4%.

This article concerns only 13F filings. 

Annual report for BRK is expected to be released on/about February 26, 2022.

EIA's Weekly Petroleum Report -- February 16, 2022

Link here.

  • US crude oil inventories increased by a paltry 1.1 million bbls; now stands at 411.5 million bbls
  • US crude oil inventories are 10% below the five-year average
  • it's important to note that the most recent five years has been relatively "fat" compared to earlier reporting periods; despite all this hand-wringing over declining inventories, the US is in great shape; oil supply is not the problem with price of gasoline
  • US crude oil imports averaged 5.8 million bbls per day last week; decreased by 0.6 million bopd from previous week. Yawn.
  • on average, over last four weeks, crude oil imports average 6.4 million bpd, 9.3% more than same period last year
  • think: California; East Coast; and refiners needing heavy oil to balance out glut of light oil
  • refiners operating at 85.3% operating capacity which seems to be one of the lowest reported in recent memory; generally expect about 87%, maybe 89% but 85% seems significantly less than expected; spring switchover / maintenance prior to driving season
  • production for both gasoline and distillate fuel decreased last week
  • distillate fuel inventories decreased by 1.6 million bbls last week; 19% below the five-year average
  • jet fuel supplied was up 28% compared with same four-week period last year