Monday, May 18, 2020

If You Can Keep Your Head -- Idle Rambling -- Nothing About The Bakken -- May 18, 2020

There's a Bloomberg (?) story out there tonight reporting that China is about to put a 100-million-population province back under draconian lock down measures because .... 34 new cases -- no deaths (reported in the article) ... but 34 new cases in a province with a population of a 100 million. Wow.

I wrote this before. I think it was a personal e-mail --- not on the blog. Folks are absolutely terrified of this. It does not matter their educational level or background but folks are absolutely terrified of this virus.

My wife; our oldest granddaughter (age 16); my Harvard-educated son-in-law; my Indian IT neighbor; my brother-in-law and sister-in-law; everyone in my little world is terrified of this virus.

I'm in the minority and I'm conflicted. Not terrified. Just conflicted. I know I've either had it or will eventually have it.

But everyone in my little world is absolutely terrified of this. Wuhan flu. Fascinating.

Years ago, in medical training, I was taught that when working in the emergency room and a patient went into cardiac arrest, I was to take my own pulse first. The point being: stay calm, stay rational, press on.

But even better, Rudyard Kipling, link here, it begins.
If you can keep your head when all about you   
    Are losing theirs and blaming it on you,   
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
    But make allowance for their doubting too;   
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting, ...

Turn Into, Yeah Yeah Yeahs

As I reflect on the above, trying to decide whether to post this or not, there is one group of folks that seem to be unbothered by Wuhan flu, not afraid of it, just frustrated that their lives have been interrupted.

The Enerplus Patriot Pad Wells Have Been Updated -- May 18, 2020

Production data for the Enerplus Patriot pad wells has been updated several times. I finally got my act together on this pad. The production data and the wells will be updated at this post.

These are extended long laterals, or super-long laterals or 3-section laterals, whatever one wants to call them. These are incredibly good wells. One is approaching 700,000 bbls of oil, cumulative since 2014.

Note: three of the four wells are 3-section laterals; one of the four is a standard two-section lateral. Based on cumulative production, one can guess as to the standard two-section lateral.

The WPX Blue Racer Wells And Small Jump In Production In Neighboring Well -- May 18, 2020

The well:
  • 20087, 378, Enerplus, Hudson 13-21H, Mandaree, t3/17; cum 371K 4/20;

See full production at this post.

Note: this was drilled back in 2017 and like most Bakken wells had a sharp decline to 4,000 bbls/month. Then, in 3/20, after being off line for only four days in February, 2020, had a significant jump in production.

Update production:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN10-202024102391038010721106599424307
BAKKEN9-2020122012200820672269174760
BAKKEN8-20202440353717353340193360121
BAKKEN7-20201442224351232235882593457
BAKKEN6-20202910311104376573876437313939
BAKKEN5-20203110579104308153899242783537
BAKKEN4-20201451655633371143913404466
BAKKEN3-2020151001494294668851265331405
BAKKEN2-20202541424429144835211783813

Note recent production: 10,014 bbls over 15 days extrapolates to 20,028 bbls over days:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN3-2020151001494294668851265331405
BAKKEN2-20202541424429144835211783813
BAKKEN1-20203042244356130535902351131
BAKKEN12-201930482946941321480136970
BAKKEN11-20193041024130891400229030
BAKKEN10-20193142434170998404929130
BAKKEN9-20192636393652828350525400
BAKKEN8-20193142664343123336273309222

Of interest, this well, #20087, is a short lateral running in the opposite direction, parallel the recently fracked Blue Racer wells to the west:
  • 36550, drl/A-->AL/A, WPX, Blue Racer 14-11HUL, Mandaree, first production, 3/20, t--; cum 182K 10/20; cum 215K 2/21;
  • 36504, drl/A-->AL/A, WPX, Blue Racer 14-11HD, Mandaree, first production, 3/20; t--; cum 65K over 61 days; cum 302K 10/20; cum 390K 2/21;
  • 36505, drl/A-->AL/A, WPX, Blue Racer 14-11HZ, Mandaree, first production, 3/20; t--; cum 91K over 59 days; Three Forks B1; FracFocus: fracked 2/20/2020 - 3/3/2020; 5.2 million gallons of water;  83.4% water by mass; friction reducer: 0.0247; see this post; cum 243K 10/20; cum 318K 2/21;
  • 36506, drl/A-->AL/A, WPX, Blue Racer 14-11HG, Mandaree, first production, 3/20; t--; cum 78K over 56 days; cum 243K 10/20; cum 333K 2/21;
To the west, the nearest older producing well was taken off line 10/19; and, remains off line through 4/20:
  • 20320, 375, WPX, Mandaree Warrior 14-11H, Squaw Creek, t5/12; cum 367K 9/19; 
36505:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN4-202030445584462424442542723247116876
BAKKEN3-202029450114478334565548232069729158

Small Jump In Older, Producing Hess HA-Link Well -- May 18, 2020

This DUC reported today:
  • 34829, drl/A, Hess, HA-Nelson A-LE-152-95-3427H-1, Hawkeye, t--; cum 35K over 31 days; 17,034 bbls over 6 days extrapolates to 85,170 bbls over 30 days; see below;
Several older, producing wells are currently off line. However, one of these older producing wells has been returned to prodcution:
  • 22801, 983, Hess, HA-Link-152-95-3526H-2, Hawkeye, t9/12; cum 310K 3/20; note small jump in production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN3-2020314274400068639231263266
BAKKEN2-2020394118429327419
BAKKEN1-2020936545116189582174
BAKKEN12-2019291354138958537313397334
BAKKEN11-2019301473148257537753434341

NDARC At 14; WTI Continues To Rise -- May 18, 2020

Active rigs:

$32.745/18/202005/18/201905/18/201805/18/201705/18/2016
Active Rigs1466615226

One new permit, #37582 --
  • Operator: Rimrock Oil & Gas
  • Field: Twin Buttes (Dunn County)
  • Comments:
    • Rimrock has a permit for a Charging Eagle well in SWSW 21-147-92, Twin Buttes oil field;
Three permits renewed:
  • BR: three Patton permits in Dunn County
Four producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:
  • 34829, drl/A, Hess, HA-Nelson A-LE-152-95-3427H-1, Hawkeye, t--; cum 35K over 31 days; 17,034 bbls over 6 days extrapolates to 85,170 bbls over 30 days; see below; see also this note;
  • 36505, drl/A, WPX, Blue Racer 14-11HZ, Squaw Creek, t--; cum 45K over 29 days; see below;
  • 35031, SI/A, XTO, FBIR Youngbear 31X-9BXC, Heart Butte,t--; cum 52K 3/20; see below;
  • 36590, drl/A, Rimrock, Skunk Creek 8-2-3-4H, South Fork, t--; cum 10K over 30 days;
Early production data for DUCs reported above:
  • 36505:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN3-202029450114478334565548232069729158
  • 35031:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN3-202031134281340131655852984920
BAKKEN2-202026116381170026794694469120
BAKKEN1-202030124511234630704660937442819
BAKKEN12-201919132701303030155637550561292
BAKKEN11-20190000000
BAKKEN10-2019008340000
BAKKEN9-20192834017003890389
BAKKEN5-20190000000
  • 34829: 17,034 bbls over 6 days extrapolates to 85,170 bbls over 30 days --
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN3-202031350433532915426533062308230224
BAKKEN2-202061703416326408930343130342