Thursday, September 22, 2016

Five New Permits -- September 22, 2016

Updates

August 1, 2017: halo effect noted on BR's Veeder well, #16473, summer of 2013.

Original Post
 
Active rigs:


9/22/201609/22/201509/22/201409/22/201309/22/2012
Active Rigs3368196185185

No wells coming off confidential list Friday.

Five (5) new permits, Wednesday, September 21:
  • Operator: BR
  • Field: Blue Buttes (McKenzie)
  • Comments: five State Veeder permits, section 36-150-96; see below.
One producing well completed:
  • 27275, 1,080, Petro-Hunt, Klatt 145-97-18A-19-2H, Little Knife, t9/16; cum -- 
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State Veeder and Kummer Permits

The new BR permits:



Other wells in the immediate area:
  • 20469, conf, BR, State Veeder 44-36TFH, Blue Buttes, 
  • 24229, 2,900, BR, State Veeder 11-25TFH, Blue Buttes, 30 stages, 3.3  million lbs, t5/13; cum 259K 7/16; off-line much of 6/16 and 7/16;
  • 24230, 2,927, BR, State Veeder 11-25MBH, Blue Buttes, 30 stages, 3.3 million lbs, t5/13; cum 251K 7/16; off-line intermittently from 4/16; through 7/16;
  • 16473, 351, BR, State Veeder 41-36H, Blue Buttes, open hole, 1 million lbs - not sure if for each leg, or total; I believe it was total for both legs, t4/07; cum 156K 7/16; off-line all of 7/16; 
Note that Blue Buttes is immediately west of the Grail oil field.

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Pipelines From US To Mexico: ¡Si! Pipelines From North Dakota To Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, or Cushing -- ¡No! -- September 21, 2016

Two stories that arrived in my mailbox at the same time.

RBN Energy: Kinder Morgan's Tejas Crossover to help move natural gas from the US to Mexico (would have required President Obama's okay -- going across international border).

Huffington Post: as Dakota Access protests escalated, President Obama okayed same company for two pipelines to Mexico. (I was sent the link but have not been able to download the story yet; for some reason the URL won't download, even when googling the URL which shows up but won't download, at least at the moment.)

I have noted that it's easier to do business across US/Mexico border than it is in the US.

Someone says Mexico needs all the natural gas we're sending them to run their factories that US companies are moving from the US down to Mexico, like Ford.

This administration is more concerned about a) Mexican workers; and, b) Muslim immigrants to the US, than about American workers. 

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Active rigs in North Dakota:


9/21/201609/21/201509/21/201409/21/201309/21/2012
Active Rigs3368196185184

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Venezuela -- Tick, Tick, Tick

Venezuela importing US oil: from yesterday's New York Times --
The United States has always been a huge market for Venezuela’s oil. But with Venezuela’s state oil company hobbling along, it was actually forced to start importing oil from the United States.
Early this year, the United States began shipping more than 50,000 barrels a day of the light crude that Venezuela needs to prepare its own oil for export, joining a handful of suppliers that have become vital to keeping the country’s oil industry afloat.
Even that lifeline is tenuous. Venezuela’s state oil company, PDVSA, is struggling to pay for the foreign oil. Some tankers wait in port for as long as two weeks to be paid, and sometimes they leave because of a lack of payment, said an oil executive who requested anonymity to avoid reprisals from the government.
The problems are just some of the reasons Venezuela’s oil production has plummeted to 2.4 million barrels a day, down 350,000 barrels from a year ago. That is nearly a million barrels below what it was in 1998 when Mr. Chávez took power.
Unless I missed it, the article did not discuss the reason US light oil is needed by Venezuela which produces heavy oil. This issue has been posted on the blog for quite some time. Just some of the entries, and note how far back this story began:
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The Market

Late afternoon trading: the Fed left rates alone. The Dow 30 hardly reacts; up 32 points after the news, although the initial reaction was a spike (up 0.63%; now up only 0.18%).

Open: up 88 points. Betting on the Fed? It looks like the "big boys" already know. Poll:
  • will raise raises: 19%
  • won't raise rates: 67%
  • won't raise rates, but I'm hedging: 2%
  • won't raise rates, not investing until I know: 12%

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Seven New Permits -- North Dakota, September 20, 2016

Active rigs:


9/20/201609/20/201509/20/201409/20/201309/20/2012
Active Rigs3267196182184

No wells coming off confidential list Wednesday.

Seven (7) new permits:
  • Operators: CLR (4), BR(3)
  • Fields (County): Elm Tree (McKenzie); Sand Creek (McKenzie)
  • Comments:
One permit canceled: a SWD well permit.

DUCs: no producing wells reported as being completed.

NGL Pricing Improves -- RBN Energy -- September 20, 2016

It appears Yahoo!Mail is down in our area. I am unable to respond to e-mail. A reader sent me an article this morning regarding "Peak Oil." I will try to reply to that reader again later. 

WTI, futures: below $43 prior to open Tuesday, September 20, 2016. At $42.86.

How bad might it be in Saudi Arabia? From The Washington Post: employees at one of Saudi
  • Arabia's largest privately-run hospitals have not been paid for four months. Data points:
    Saad Specialist Hospital, eastern city of al-Khobar; 15-y/o facility
  • considered one of the top hospitals in the region; attracts physicians from all over the world
  • financial problems began in 2009
  • 200 employees on strike; more joining the strike
  • employs around 5,000 people; about 19% Saudi nationals
  • last paid salaries in May, 2016
This very likely could be due to issues other than current financial problems associated with low crude oil prices.

Active rigs:


9/20/201609/20/201509/20/201409/20/201309/20/2012
Active Rigs3267196182184

RBN Energy: NGL-to-crude ratio pricing heading back to pre-2012 level.
The ratio of NGL-to-crude oil prices looks like it will be rebounding, and over the next two or three years could rise to levels not seen since the Shale Revolution brought down NGL prices at the end of 2012, a signal that all of the new NGL-consuming petrochemical cracker projects now under construction may not be as lucrative as their developers had once hoped. Several factors are driving the ratio’s rise: increasing U.S. demand for NGLs; more exports; stubbornly low crude oil prices and a lower trajectory of NGL production growth. Today, we examine the historical relationship between NGL and crude oil prices and the reasons why that ratio may be headed back above 50%.
The Shale Revolution has had many market effects –– it’s made fortunes, transformed regions like the Marcellus/Utica and Bakken into energy and economic powerhouses, and given the U.S. a degree of energy independence that few would have predicted a decade ago. It’s also wreaked havoc on what for years had been reliably consistent relationships or ratios between different types of hydrocarbons. The NGL-to-crude ratio is a case in point. First, an explanation. As we at RBN define the measure, the NGL-to-crude ratio is a weighted average of OPIS/Mont Belvieu natural gas liquids (NGLs) prices divided by CME/NYMEX front month crude oil futures. The weighted average for the NGL mix that we use to calculate the ratio is 42% ethane, 28% propane, 11% normal butane, 6% isobutane, and 13% natural gasoline. 
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The Market

Close: My original note was wrong. The market finished very strong after the Fed announced "no" rate raise; Dow 30 up 164 points. Warren Buffett quoted today: "There comes a point where money has no real utility." NYSE:
  • new highs:  33
  • new lows: 26
Opening: Dow 30 up 80. 

Futures: up 63.

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A Note for the Granddaughters

Helen of Troy: The Story Behind the Most Beautiful Woman in the World
Bettany Hughes
c. 2005

p. xxxvi: author transliterated all Greek, including the Bronze Age version of ancient Greek, 'Linear B'; hence PA-MA-KO has become pharmakon ('useful little things' -- the 3,500 year old root of our word pharmacy).

Monday, September 19, 2016

They Said It Couldn't Be Done -- LNG By Rail -- September 19, 2016

This one was certainly off my radar scope. A huge "thanks" to a reader for sending it may way. From KTOO.org dated today:
Standing next to a massive cylindrical rail car at the Anchorage Railroad Yard, Alaska Railroad Mechanical Supervisor Josh Cappel asked a fireman to test out the car’s hand-operated braking system.
“Go ahead and fire that thing up tight. Come on, a little tighter than that — there you go!” Cappel joked, drawing laughs from the crowd of about 16 other members of the Anchorage Fire Department.
Starting tomorrow, the Alaska Railroad will be the first in the nation to carry liquefied natural gas by rail. With the Federal Rail Administration’s blessing, LNG will travel the tracks from Anchorage to Fairbanks.
As with any new venture, safety is always a topic of discussion. Cappel said he’s training the Anchorage Fire Department in case the worst happens.
“It’s very important for everyone to understand how rail cars work, especially the fire department,” said Cappel. “If they are responding to any kind of disaster they need to know how these cars work so they don’t get hurt and the people they are rescuing don’t get hurt.”
A new tag: LNGBR.

Video here with some great footage

Wow, I love the blog.