Thursday, September 18, 2014

News We Will Be Reading Friday -- September 18, 2014

This is not an investment site. Do not make any investment decisions based on anything you read here or think you may have read here. All evening / night long, DOW futures have continued to move up, and move up quite strongly. At the market close, DOW futures were up about 40 points; a bit later, up 50 and then 60 points; now DOW futures are up 71 points. I assume this is all directly related to the Scottish vote. Of course, futures mean squat but it is what it is. WTI futures are flat, around $93.

North Dakota Oil Production To "Dip"

Some of North Dakota's oil companies likely will experience a production dip starting next month as they try to meet aggressive new flaring standards, Governor Jack Dalrymple said on Thursday.
Flaring, the wasteful burning of natural gas that is extracted alongside crude, has become a widespread problem in the state, the nation's second-largest oil producer. In an effort to curb the problem, which harms quality of life and reduces tax revenue, state regulators will require companies to flare no more than 26 percent of produced gas starting Oct. 1, with standards tightening in the future.
If producers fail to meet the standards, they will have to curb production. "A lot of people were surprised we took that step because there are going to be some operators impacted by this," Dalrymple, a Republican, said in a speech to the North Dakota Association of Oil and Gas Producing Counties.
Regular readers know my position on this issue. There are several story lines. Six months from now, I doubt crude oil production will be much affected, and flaring will be much reduced. I hope someone provides a "before" and "after" satellite photo of the Bakken.

Chevron has become the first energy company to meet a new set of voluntary shale gas drilling standards that aim to go beyond existing state laws in Pennsylvania, Ohio and West Virginia, the Pittsburgh-based Center for Sustainable Shale announced Thursday.

The center is a partnership between major energy companies, environmental groups and charitable foundations. Its certification process consisted of an independent review of Chevron documents and 22 of its production sites in the three states.

The program is meant to work much like Underwriters Laboratories, which puts its familiar UL seal on electrical appliances. The review was conducted by Bureau Veritas, an international testing company that also handles the LEED review process for the U.S. Green Building Council. Nigel Hearne, president of Chevron's Appalachia operations, said that the 15 Sustainable Shale standards "will produce meaningful results" in reducing pollution and freshwater use, and that he hopes other energy companies join in the process. Chevron Corp. is based in San Ramon, California.

The Sierra Club and other some environmental groups have harshly criticized the Sustainable Shale program, saying voluntary efforts are no substitute for tougher state and federal regulations. But one environmental group that worked on the project welcomed Chevron's announcement. 
No good deed goes unpunished.
The Wall Street Journal
 
Larry Ellison abruptly steps aside as Oracle CEO

Scotland stays

Household wealth hits record, previously reported

ObamaCare: 7.3 million paid their premiums -- suggesting almost a million dropped out; another million may be in hot water

Home Depot breach bigger than Target

It appears Boeing will cede manned fighters to Lockheed; that sounds like a "negative" lede; in fact, one has to ask, is there a future for manned fighter jets in the US Air Force?

LightSquared, blowing through $80 billion in August, has now lost $1.6 billion since it filed for bankruptcy protection in May, 2012

Most interesting, previously posted: big oil companies and traders are stashing milllions of barrels of crude on massive tankers bobbing in the ocean, in a bid to profit from a quirk in oil markets (by the way, just for the fun of it, do a google search of "china storing oil in supertankers")

Links To The Presentations Of The Recent Williston Economic Summit -- September 18, 2014

Updates

September 19, 2014: comments on the "Port of Vancouver" presentation.

September 18, 2014: early comments on the proposed new airport, see comments below.

Original Post

 A reader sent me this link to the recent Williston Economic Summit, with links to the presentations. There are too many to go through at any one sitting, so over time, I will go through the presentations, and, perhaps, post some high points for the archives.

This is really quite impressive; a big "thank you" to the reader who sent me this link.

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Those Who Forget The Past Are Condemned ...

This is quite incredible. The other day a reader sent me a comment suggesting that we are back to where Lyndon was several decades ago with regard to Vietnam ... personally picking targets for the Air Force.

So, it was quite incredible to note this headline in the Los Angeles Times this evening:  airstrike list awaits Obama after Congress OKs Syria plan. That's the headline.

Whether he does or doesn't is not the issue. It's all about perception.

Poll On Scotland Closes; Pretty Much 50/50 -- September 18, 2014

Will Scotland vote to go it alone?
  • Yes: 49%
  • No: 51%
Early returns suggest Scotland will not go it alone; i.e., Scotland will stick with England.

I Don't Want To Talk About It, Rod Stewart and Amy Belle
 
Replacing that poll, here is another short, easy, subjective poll where neither answer is "right" nor "wrong." The question: With the announcement of perhaps yet another crude-by-rail terminal -- this one near Powers Lake, North Dakota -- does it surprise you that CBR terminals are still be proposed for North Dakota? Simply, yes or no.

Petro-Hunt To Report A Nice Syverson Well Friday -- September 18, 2014; 5 Of 7 Bakken Wells Go To DRL Status

Apple: this is pretty cool.
If you pre-ordered a new Apple iPhone, there is a website/app that allows you to track the aircraft that is carrying your iPhone. Yes, "your" iPhone -- the one that has your name on it (if you had it engraved); otherwise just the serial number. By the way, reportedly, the iPhone 6 Plus is in very short supply at Apple retail stores and other vendors. Many pundits thought the iPhone 6 Plus would never sell.
Active rigs:


9/18/201409/18/201309/18/201209/18/201109/18/2010
Active Rigs199180194199146

Oasis really reported some huge wells today. Link here. Wells coming off confidential list today were posted earlier; see sidebar at the right or the link.

Wells coming off the confidential list Friday:
  • 23482, 1,503,WPX, Ruby 31-30HW, Antelope, Sanish, t8/14; cum --
  • 25534, drl, HRC, Fort Berthold 148-94-33C-28-3H, Eagle Nest, no production data,
  • 26101, 1,528, Petro-Hunt, Syverson 156-99-30B-31-7H, East Fork, t6/14; cum 30K 7/14;
  • 26686, drl, Zavanna, Angus 34-27 4TFH, Stockyard Creek, no production data,
  • 26829, drl, XTO, Rolfson 14X-34E, Siverston, no production data,
  • 27494, drl, Hess, EN-L Cvancara-155-93-2627H-2, Robinson Lake, no production data,
  • 27664, drl, CRL, Sumner 1-12H, Ellisville, no production data,
  • 27851, 77, Enduro, MMU 31-42-H1, Mohall, a Madison well, t4/14; cum 8K 7/14;
Eight (8) new permits --
  • Operators: Triangle (3), Enduro (2), QEP (2), Resonance Exploration
  • Fields: Williston (Williams), Newburg (Bottineau), Bear Den (McKenzie)
  • Comments: Resonance Exploration has a permit for a wildcat well in Bottineau County, 20-163-80, this is the first permit in North Dakota for Resonance Exploration
Five (5) producing wells now completed:
  • 26766, 1,931, KOG, P Irgens 155-99-2-4-9-15H, Epping, t8/14; cum --
  • 26408, 1,283, BR, CCU Corral Creek 21-28TFH, Corral Creek, t8/14; cum --
  • 27130, 1,964, BR, CCU Four Aces 34-21MBH, Corral Creek, t8/14; cum --
  • 27129, 1,362, BR, CCU Four Aces 34-21TFH,  Corral Creek, t8/14; cum --
  • 27554, 2,787, XTO, Walton Federal 41X-19D, Bear Den, t9/14; cum --
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CBR
Every month the Director's Cut says there is adequate takeaway capacity with rail and pipeline, but yet, every day more pipeline is laid locally and at least three new pipelines with almost one million bopd capacity are being proposed, as well as new pipeline construction is ready to go if approved by Iowa and Minnesota farmers. And yet, in the last few months, there are indications that two more CBR terminals may be / will be built in North Dakota. That seems to speak volumes with many story lines.

Reminder: new CBR terminal southwest of Williston
Today: possibly a new CBR terminal near Powers Lake, ND

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Why Analysts Don't "Get" Apple

Macrumors is reporting:
With every iteration of the iPhone, Apple aims to bring significant improvements to the device's camera. The iPhone 6 and 6 Plus are no exception, packing in several new features like Focus Pixels, Exposure Control, Panorama improvements, Slo-Mo video enhancements, and Optical Image Stabilization for the iPhone 6 Plus. 
The enhanced "Slo-Mo" feature had many in the audience standing up and cheering (or at least hollering and clapping) when they saw the video. It was quite stunning. David Lynch must have loved it.

New CBR Terminal In The Powers Lake, ND, Area -- September 18, 2014

A reader sends me this link suggesting that a CBR terminal is being proposed in the Powers Lake, ND, area by Oasis. The link:

http://online.burkecountytribune.com/WebProject.asp?CodeId=7.7.1.1#

I can't reach the link -- it appears to require a subscription (I could be wrong), and I wasn't able to find another source. The reader is very, very reliable and I suspect this is legitimate.

I don't find anything else at the Oasis website; no hints of this at the September, 2014, corporate presentation.

This is an interesting location. Powers Lake is just a few miles west of the Cottonwood oil field, "owned" by Oasis. One can make the case that it was the Cottonwood field that "made" Oasis.

Also, from the same reader:
Groundbreaking for new OASIS Petroleum field office 1 mile northwest of Powers Lake. From what I have heard, there will be 45 offices located here, a large parking lot and possibly a maintenance shop. Looking southwest from Highway 50 - Enget Lake in background.
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The Oil & Gas Journal is reporting:
The US Senate approved Tom Udall (D-NM) and John Barrasso’s (R-Wyo.) bill permanently extending a US Bureau of Land Management drilling permit processing improvement pilot program that was established under the 2005 Energy Policy Act. It was scheduled to expire in 2015.
S. 2440, which passed the Senate by unanimous consent, would extend the program that was designed to help the US Department of the Interior agency deal with a drilling permit application backlog while balancing other duties, the senators said following the measure’s adoption on Sept. 16.
The program, which also established a dedicated fund, has helped streamline operations in BLM field offices in Farmington and Carlsbad, NM, and Rawlins and Buffalo, Wyo., as well as other Rocky Mountain states, they noted. Six more Democrats and six additional Republicans from the region cosponsored the bill.
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Cognitive Dissonance?

OPEN BORDERS/OPEN ARMS -- cheap labor.

Minimum wage movement.

The two "policy" movements seem completely at odds with each other. 

Minimum wage policies will help legitimate fast food restaurants, but the "day laborers" in southern California and the "undocumented" nannies in New York City will also be affected by the OPEN BORDERS/OPEN ARMS policies.

No comment; just trying to sort it out.