Thursday, November 18, 2021

Chips -- November 18, 2021

Overview of the top five foundry companies: link here, October 1, 2021.

  • TSMC
  • Samsung
  • United Microelectronics Corporation (Taiwan) (UMC)
  • Global Foundries
  • China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC)

EVs -- tracked here. EVs need three basic components:

  • hardware manufacturer; assembly line; huge facility;
  • chips, semiconductor: outsourced to foundries
  • software development: in-house, outsourced, combination

Foundries vs Designers

ASML: link here.

Foundries:

  • INTC
  • Samsung
  • TSMC (wiki here)
  • GlobalFoundries (wiki here)
    •  long history; fourth largest in 2021
    • IPO: October, 2021 
  • at this site, only four foundries as noted above (Intel, Samsun, TSM, Global)

The "chip" companies of interest:

  • Nvidia: best "chip" company -- Jim Cramer
    • architecture history;
    • on 13 September 2020, it was announced that Nvidia would buy Arm from SoftBank for $40 billion, subject to regulatory approval, with the latter acquiring a 10% share in Nvidia [Later: the deal never went through.]
      • more and more, the tea leaves suggest this deal will not go through; US DOJ will fight this; [Later: the deal never went through.]
      • tea leaves: it doesn't matter; in fact over time, it might be better for Nvidia not to buy Arm, Ltd, except to prevent some other chip company from buying it
  • Arm, Ltd: owned by SoftBank Group
  • AMD
    • had planned to close on XLNX by end of CY21
      • looking more and more likely that could be delayed 
      • was completed; no more XLNX; shortly after deal closed, semiconductor market collapsed; still beat down in earl 2023, with little sign of early rebound;
  • XLNX
    • see AMD
  • Qualcomm
    • the break from Apple, when first announced, shocked the community
    • November, 2021: after recovering, set all-time highs 
    • January, 2023: both Broadcom and Qualcom downgraded with news that Apple reiterates goal to separate ties with AVGO and QCOM.
  • AAPL
    • tracked here;
    • with introduction of the "Silicon" chip, AAPL became a "chip" company
      • some day it's possible AAPL will be valued like a "chip" company
  • INTC: across the board, most feel this company has significant challenges

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