Monday, April 9, 2012

ONEOK: Billion Dollar Pipeline from Bakken to Cushing -- Bakken Crude Express Pipeline

Updates

April 15, 2015: link to short note on this at PennEnergy.  PennEnergy links break early, requiring a subscription for archives. The important point in this short note:
The Bakken Crude Express Pipeline, Oneok's first foray into oil, would be able to handle as much as 200,000 barrels per day and would combine with five other proposals to offer the region the ability to ship 900,000 barrels per day.
Original Post

Huge. (It was posted at Yahoo!In-Play at 9:02.)

"Tygar45" provided the map: note how much of the proposed pipeline follows existing pipeline corridor.  The pipeline appears to originate near Stanley area, goes west, then southwest into Montana; the pipeline follows the Montana state line south, the Wyoming state line south (staying outside of Nebraska), through northeast Colorado (D-J Basin), and then southeast through Kansas into Oklahoma, over to Cushing.

This is a huge story. And a huge "thank you" to a reader for sending me the link. I would have probably seen it evenutally, but I had not seen it until now.

The press release was released 3 hours ago.
ONEOK today announced plans to invest $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion between now and 2015 to build a 1,300-mile crude-oil pipeline with the capacity to transport 200,000 barrels per day (bpd).  The Bakken Crude Express Pipeline will transport light-sweet crude oil from the Bakken Shale in the Williston Basin in North Dakota to the Cushing, Okla., crude-oil market hub.
For those keeping track, ONEOK:
  • $1.8 billion for natural gas gathering and facilities in McKenzie and Williams County (for future reference, I will probably round this to $2 billion)
  • another $150 million for more gathering pipeline in Divide County (announced this month)
  • now, $1.75 billion for a new crude-oil pipeline (for future reference I will probably round this to $2 billion)
Meanwhile, the Obama-killed Keystone XL 1.0 morphs into 2.0N and 2.0S and no end in sight.

More from the press release (and, again, repeating, a press release):
"As producers continue to aggressively develop crude oil from wells in the Bakken Shale, more crude-oil pipeline takeaway capacity will be required," said Terry K. Spencer, ONEOK Partners president. "This proposed pipeline will provide producers with efficient and reliable transportation of their product directly to one of the largest crude-oil market hubs in the U.S."

"It also represents our entry into the crude-oil transportation business and utilizes our existing core capabilities of transporting and storing natural gas, natural gas liquids and refined petroleum products," he said. "Many of the supply commitments under negotiation are with the same producers in the Williston Basin that we currently serve."

Supply commitments for the proposed pipeline are in various stages of negotiation. Following receipt of all necessary permits and compliance with customary regulatory requirements, construction is expected to begin in late 2013 or early 2014 and be completed by early 2015.  Based on supply commitments prior to construction, the capacity can be increased.

Additionally, the proposed pipeline route will be well-positioned to transport crude-oil production from the Niobrara Shale.

The proposed pipeline route is expected to parallel more than 80 percent of the partnership's existing and planned natural gas liquids pipelines.  It will be designed, constructed and operated using proven technology, pipeline control systems and continuous safety monitoring.
ONEOK has a special place in the cockles of my heart. I knew nothing about ONEOK before I started blogging. I discovered ONEOK accidentally when I drove by Stateline I and saw something huge going up. I posted photos at the time. It was a bit of a learning curve for me as I posted live what I thought was going one. Some folks (a minority) wrote to tell me I was an idiot (they didn't read my disclaimer, I guess) but others provided me outstanding support and additional information. I don't recall if "anon 1" was one of those, but most likely.

ONEOK also holds a special place in my heart because it tackled a problem that others folks saw but didn't pursue: flaring. It still amazes me ONEOK jumped on this before MDU which is headquartered in North Dakota.

I'm impressed because it appears ONEOK did its homework well. The talking head analysts' view of the natural gas economic potential of natural gas in the Bakken oil field was 3 percent. Be that as it may, three percent of $4 billion/month going into the Bakken represents a bit of change (as in silver, gold, and sandwich coins).

Finally, ONEOK has a unique business model in an oil field -- not really unique, I suppose, but again, seeing an opportunity others passed up. It might be a stretch, but it sort of reminds me of NOG, another company (albeit much smaller, and comparing apples to oranges) that saw an opportunity others did not, and has a unique business plan.

But the biggest story that comes out of this press release: North Dakota currently produces 500,000 bbls/oil per day. An earlier post today, from Bakersfield.com, reiterated what others are talking about: 1,000,000 bbls/day in the out years from the Bakken. This one pipeline ONEOK is proposing will carry 200,000 bbls/day and will be built with potential to expand. This suggests to me that others agree, that the Bakken will eventually surpass one million barrels of crude oil/day.

Huge.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. I do this for my own education and enjoyment and elect to share it with others. I do not hold shares in ONEOK and probably never will.

But if you want to know where I might be headed (with regard to investing), re-read the Bakersfield article.

Oh, as long as I'm rambling. Everyone knows that Cushing is glutted with oil, and yet ONEOK is going to push another 200,000+ bbls of Bakken to Cushing. This suggests at least two things to me, but I've already rambled too long.