Hey, How About This Well? Still Flowing Naturally -- EOG, Austin, Parshall Oil Field -- July 20, 2019

Note: a reader provided a series of replies to the last couple of posts. To make the replies easier to access, I have copied and re-posted those comments at this post. 

The well:

• 25374, 1,414, EOG, Austin 39-3204H, Parshall, 60 stages, 14.6 million lbs, 1920 acres, t9/13; cum 1,059,413 bbls 7/19; according to FracFocus, fracked from 7/6/2013 to 8/8/2013; went off-line as of 9/18; F; back on line as of 11/18; 

Still flowing naturally; not on a pump as of 5/19, latest data available.

There are several other "locations" in this section, but only one other production well, #17122, which is also a nice, short lateral, on a pump. See below the spreadsheet below.

Recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2019	31	5253	5231	85	25873	24918	451
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	5043	5029	80	25210	23776	960
BAKKEN	3-2019	31	5894	5825	97	25173	22013	2656
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	5824	5827	108	23842	22416	971
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	7205	7193	103	25963	24372	1087
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	7660	7677	200	25281	23789	988
BAKKEN	11-2018	17	2907	2780	437	16340	15524	553
BAKKEN	10-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2018	0	0	45	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	5039	5198	268	24097	17292	6313
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	5438	5451	123	24231	8704	15031
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	5600	5644	121	24277	22703	1090
BAKKEN	5-2018	22	4006	3964	111	16459	15855	260
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	6133	6072	110	22461	21674	303
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	6496	6563	112	22968	21969	496
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	6209	6059	99	20396	19722	220
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	6960	7009	129	22076	20797	778

The other producing well in this section:

• 17122, 581, EOG, Austin 23-32H, Parshall, t8/09; cum 669K 5/19; production profile of this well when the neighboring well was fracked:
  

  BAKKEN	1-2014	31	4079	4039	125	2625	2474	0
  BAKKEN	12-2013	31	4325	4270	129	2599	2448	0
  BAKKEN	11-2013	29	4503	4573	178	2538	2370	24
  BAKKEN	10-2013	31	6030	6070	282	3103	2643	305
  BAKKEN	9-2013	19	4121	4109	387	1978	1884	0
  BAKKEN	8-2013	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
  BAKKEN	7-2013	18	2666	2643	98	3302	3216	0
  BAKKEN	6-2013	30	4808	5158	192	5823	5673	0
  BAKKEN	5-2013	31	5173	4888	197	6190	5945	94
  BAKKEN	4-2013	30	5224	5224	305	0	0	0
  BAKKEN	3-2013	31	5689	5714	221	6826	6229	442
  BAKKEN	2-2013	28	5387	5362	200	6393	6187	70
  BAKKEN	1-2013	31	6293	6338	255	7354	7104	95
  BAKKEN	12-2012	31	6199	6189	231	0	0	0

The Petro-Hunt USA 2D-3-1H Well In Charlson Oil Field, An Update -- July 20, 2019

Note: a reader provided a series of replies to the last couple of posts. To make the replies easier to access, I have copied and re-posted those comments at this post.  

Back in early 2010, I posted this bit of trivia:

The most successful well to date in North Dakota sits in the Charlson: file #16059, the USA 2D-3-1H, a Petro-Hunt, LLC, well that was spudded in October, 2006. To date, it has produced 915,000 barrels of oil. That well targeted the Three Forks Sanish. [At $60/barrel = almost $55 million in about 3 years]. UPDATE: USA 2D-3-1H hit a record this past June, 2010: one million bbls of oil cumulative. 

I'm not exactly sure what that "most successful well to date" was based on. Other wells in North Dakota have out-produced #16059. Perhaps I meant the "most successful Bakken well to date." If that's what I meant, I doubt that is still true. Certainly other Bakken wells have out-produced this well (maybe I will check later). 

Whatever. It's been a great well. It was a very, very short lateral, and is still the only horizontal in that section. That won't last long: #36341 in that section is on the confidential list. Can't wait to see how that one plays out. It looks like it will be another short lateral that will parallel #16059 but in the opposite direction. Testing "halo effect"? [Later, bummer: #36341 was PNC'd 8/1/2019.]

The well:

• 16059, 729, Petro-Hunt, USA 2D-3-1H, Charlson field, t10/06; cum 1.727438 million bbls 5/19; still producing 4,000 bbls/month; it appears this well was never fracked (based on two corroborative forms in the file report); recent production:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2019	31	4499	4432	488	7316	0	7316
BAKKEN	4-2019	30	4006	4016	791	6843	0	6815
BAKKEN	3-2019	31	4152	4166	573	7344	0	7128
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	3727	3720	398	7179	0	6984
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	4285	4285	449	9005	0	8789
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	4239	4232	525	7874	0	7658
BAKKEN	11-2018	30	4129	4538	488	7814	0	7772
BAKKEN	10-2018	24	3498	3460	381	7877	0	7877
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	3740	3831	475	9472	0	9472
BAKKEN	8-2018	31	3791	3871	526	9585	0	9585
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	3865	4091	560	9335	0	9335
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	4107	3793	471	8912	0	8912

FWIW: US CO2 Emissions To Drop In 2019

Faux environmentalists can ride this horse for decades:

• climate changes are so subtle, "they" can say whatever they want; impossible to prove fake;
• global warming / climate change / extreme weather has simply become a religious cult; it is not science; was never science;
• atmospheric CO2 will continue to rise slowly for decades, maybe eventually plateau off but it will be long after most of those reading this will be long gone;
• George Carlin had it right

Link here.

US emissions, from EIA link above, 1.5 billion metric tons:

The slope of that bar graph "curve" tells me that the faux environmentalists can ride this horse for decades. Emissions in 1Q19 (most recent quarter where data is available): just short of 1.4 billion metric tons; five years ago, 1Q14, emissions were just slightly above 1.4 billion metric tons -- and that's after putting a lot of coal miners out of work, and decades of wind/solar development.

USA Today ranked the top 25 countries by CO2 emissions from fossil fuels:

• #1 - China: 9.8 billion metric tons
• #2 - US: 5.3 billion metric tons
• #6 - German: 0.8 billion metric tons

But look at this, change in CO2 emissions since 1992:

• China: 270% (no typo)
• US: 1.8% (essentially flat)
• German: - 17% (wow)

CO2 emission intensity (CO2 emissions / GDP per capita):

• US: 5.4 billion metric tons / $54K = 0.1
• China: 9.8 billion metric tons / $15K = 0.7
• Germany: 0.8 billion metric tons / $45K =  0.02

Germany, at 800 million metric tons is 5% of US and China combined.

China has an intensity of 35x that of Germany.
China has an intensity of 7x that of the US.

All Politics -- Let's See How Mainstream Media Handles This One -- July 20, 2019

To the best of my knowledge, President Trump has not interceded on behalf of Jeffrey Epstein, an old white man.

However, from The Daily Mail --

Doesn't seem to fit the profile of a white supremacist.

Tesla Selling Point: Re-Sale Value -- July 20, 2019

I could be wrong but I thought re-sale value was a huge selling point for Tesla.

The "official lowest" price for a Tesla Model 3 was $49,000 last summer (2018), multiple sources including this one.

July 20, 2019, from multiples sources, this via google: "prices for a Tesla Model 3 start at $35,000 before incentives."

So, before we even begin haggling, your Tesla that cost you $49,000 last year is now worth $35,000 (before incentives).

One word: ouch.

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ISO Not So ISO

ISO New England:

• 61% natural gas
• 17% nuclear energy; maxed out at 3.3 GW
• 6% oil  -- wow
• 2% coal -- wow

But look at this, from NYC:

• Long Island, Occasional-Cortex' backyard: $220
• West of the city, West-A: $112
• NYC-UJ: $73

$220 vs coal at $15? Long Island-K out to save the world. Can you imagine how much this would cost a high energy user like Amazon? Wow.  Occasional-Cortex saved Amazon from a debacle of Biblical magnitude.

Wow, wow, wow.

The utilities warned them.

MRO Almost Breaks All-Time IP Record In The Bakken -- July 20, 2019

The wells:

• 34859, 4,748, MRO, Rochelle USA 21-17TFH,  API: 33-061-04222, Reunion Bay, t5/19; cum 41K over 18 days; extrapolates to 68,440 bbls over 30 days;
• 34862, 6,026, MRO, Turkey Feet USA 41-17TFH, Reunion Bay, t5/19; cum 29K over 12 days; extrapolates to 71,010 bbls over 30 days;
• 34861, 5,243, MRO, Atkinson USA 31-17TFH, Reunion Bay, t5/19; 29K over 14 days; extrapolates to 62,104 bbls over 30 days;
• 34860, 7,889, MRO, Bruhn USA 21-17H, API: 33-061-04223; Reunion Bay, t5/19; cum 64K over 20 days; extrapolates to 96,615 bbls over 30 days;
• 35323, 9,614, MRO, Driftwood USA 41-17H, Reunion Bay, t5/19; cum 32K over 10 days; extrapolates to 96,270 bbls over 30 days;
• 34858, 4,866, MRO, Miriam USA 11-17H, Reunion Bay, t51/9; cum 40K over 20 days, extrapolates to 59,670 bbls over 30 days; 
• 20050,
• 20051,
  

The wells to the east:
19298,
19299,
35318,
35319,
35320,
35321,
35322,

The wells farther east:
34896,
34897,
34898,
34899,



From FracFocus:

• 34859, 33-061-04222: 7,463,738 gallons of water (moderate amount, not out of hte ordinary); 90%water in the frack
• 34860, 33-061-04223: 10,288,478 gallons of water (upper end, but not a record); 91% water; 

The graphics:

Really Nice Reporting And Headline From The Bismarck Tribune; Deserves A Shout-Out -- July 20, 2019

Re-posting. The original post was posted a few days ago; the update was added today.

Updates

July 20, 2019: a breath of fresh air. After the misleading headline and poor writing regarding a recent "pipeline leak/spill" (see original post), The Bismarck Tribune did a thousand-percent better with report of a second, similar leak, again east of Williston. Story here. Marked improvements:

• headline clearly states it was "produced water," not oil
• the lede provides very good description of location in general (3 miles southwest of Epping, and specifically (pastureland)
• in the lede includes owner of the pipeline
• leads with amount of leak in barrels (which we like but is not the industry standard) and then provides the industry standard (in gallons)
• really, really good reporting with perfect headline

Original Post

 
The Bismarck Tribune has a headline today: "Williams County pipeline leak spills into Missouri River tributary." Two things the headline conveniently left out:

• it was a "produced water" pipeline, not an oil pipeline (but yes, produced water probably has some oil in it)
• the name of the tributary (all we got was "about 20 miles east of Williston; in this day and age, someone would have the exact GPS coordinates)

It appears the leak occurred "on/in" the ground and then an unknown amount of the produced water made its way to a tributary of the Missouri River; this is much different than a pipeline transiting (above, below, or through a waterway).

I'm glad these stories still make headlines: it tells me such spills are incredibly rare, to still get a headline above the fold on the front page.

This particular pipeline was owned by a midstream company involved in wastewater disposal; it was reported the same day it happened; and, regulators are already in place to observe the clean-up and mitigation.

My hunch: it will be a non-story by tomorrow, and we will be fortunate to get some type of follow-up through the Tribune. 

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Only 123 Million Views

Tunak Tunak Tun, DahlerMehndi

Week 29: July 14, 2019 -- July 20, 2019

Top international non-energy story:

Top international energy story:

• Iran seizes two Brit-flagged tankers; WTI remains unchanged;
• Global energy consumption great at fastest rate in a decade
• China's insatiable energy demand; coal;
• Chinese crude oil refining hits all-time record;
• India's insatiable energy demand;
• China's CO2 emissions soared 50% over one decade (FWIW);

Top US non-energy story:

Top US energy story:

• DUCs in the Permian continue to build

Top North Dakota non-energy story:

• Taxable sales, 1Q19, up almost 10% for the state;

Top North Dakota energy story:

• North Dakota Supreme Court sides with state on mineral royalties;

Geoff Simon's top North Dakota energy stories:

• Natural gas constraints limiting crude oil production in North Dakota 
• Work set to begin on Williams County wind farm,
• Work on new Long X Bridge begins Monday; US Highway 85; south of Watford City; just south of entrance to North Unit, TR National Park
• Williston airport (XWA) still on track for October opening
• Persistent heavy rain
• North Dakota Supreme Court sides with state in mineral royalty dispute 
• Watford City voted the nicest place in North Dakota by Reader's Digest editors 

Director's Cut:

• "Meager May" 
• The Bakken is evolving
• Crude oil production up slightly
• Trends in the Bakken 

Operations:

• CLR has permits for a 12-well LCU Jessie pad in Long Creek
• MRO came close to breaking all-time 24-hour IP record 
• Hard to believe the Permian has better wells than these Bakken wells
• The staggering EOG Mandaree wells 

Flaring:

• FBIR capture rate: 69%;
• Texas controversy
• US ranks 44th in global flaring intensity

Bakken economy:

• Taxable sales, 1Q19, up almost 10% for the state;

Bakken economy:

• Williston emplanements up

Wind Project Soon To Break Ground -- In The Middle Of The Bakken -- July 20, 2019

Updates:

Later, 2:56 p.m. CT, from a reader:

Well, no actually not. More people are understanding that wind and solar power needs backup for the 70% of the time it's not producing electricity.

The latest hot button item for solving this problem is grid scale utility lithium battery storage. $100's of millions have already been spent worldwide, (including in surprise -- California), for this "new" technology (Exxon brought us lithium batteries 50 years ago).

Here's what the Manhattan Institute tells us about battery storage:

China already dominates global battery manufacturing and is on track to supply nearly two-thirds of all production by 2020.  The relevance for the new energy economy vision:

70% of China’s grid is fueled by coal today and will still be at 50% in 2040. This means that, over the life span of the batteries, there would be more carbon-dioxide emissions associated with manufacturing them than would be offset by using those batteries to, say, replace internal combustion engines.

Comment: so, batteries don't solve the problem either. This, ironically, will be the argument that renewables (wind and solar) will use when explaining why they won't include battery back-up in their projects. "Because batteries" don't solve the problem."

From Geoff Simon's top ND energy stories this past week:

Work set to begin on Williams County wind far, Tradewind Energy; 300-MW Aurora Wind Farm; northeaster Williams County; up to 121 turbines spanning 44,000 acres; centered five miles northwest of Tioga; range in size from 2.0 to 4.8 MW; includes construction of a 20-mile 345 KV transmission line; will terminate at Basin Electric Power Cooperative's Tande Substation east of Tioga in Mountrail County; $385 million.

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On Another Note -- 

Link here. Provided by a reader.

But it makes us feel good.